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StatsJew

@statsjew.bsky.social

Progressive Masorti/Conservative Jew. Statistician and US policy wonk recently laid off from the US government workforce. Married aroace with kids.

1,691 Followers  |  574 Following  |  4,860 Posts  |  Joined: 06.02.2024  |  2.534

Latest posts by statsjew.bsky.social on Bluesky

The number of people on the first boat make it at least plausible it was migrants. But the boat was too small to be headed for the US. (obs this doesn't make it not murder, but it does give an alternative motive)

05.12.2025 02:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The constitutional right for Republicans to win elections no matter how hostile the electorate is against them

05.12.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 713    πŸ” 97    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 2

just to drive home the point. Texas created this map in August. the lower court rendered its decision November. So three months later, a year before the election in question.

04.12.2025 23:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1388    πŸ” 312    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 10

The fact that a second strike like that in an armed conflict is definitely a war crime should not completely negate the fact that *there is no war* and ALL the strikes are cold-blooded murder. The whole chain of command are murderers.

05.12.2025 01:20 β€” πŸ‘ 10121    πŸ” 2440    πŸ’¬ 196    πŸ“Œ 91

The Supreme Court deciding it's entitled to its own facts is every bit as corrosive to democratic society as the breakdown of shared facts/reality caused by media fragmentation and negative partisanship

05.12.2025 01:31 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

What we know is that table stakes for EVERY Democrat running for office is SCOTUS reform that includes expansion, term limits, and mandatory retirement.

Whether to impeach any of corrupt 6 should be a conversation

04.12.2025 23:33 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

what's telling at this point is that this is also the consensus outlook of any serious legal observer

even people who spent years arguing about how there was a consistent legal philosophy, even if we disagreed with it, have now come around to "yeah they're just partisan hacks"

04.12.2025 23:37 β€” πŸ‘ 362    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

once again, "the supreme court will act as a bunch of partisan republican hacks" is the single most accurate heuristic for predicting its behavior, putting any coherent legal theory to shame

because fuck you, that's why

04.12.2025 23:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1330    πŸ” 256    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 5

also, Spotify doesn't pay royalties at all for tracks with less than a thousand streams.

and sometimes if an album gets a sudden surge of fan interest, Spotify deems it "unusual listening activity" and just removes the album, as happened to my last EP.

04.12.2025 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 232    πŸ” 145    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 6

The only frog boiling scenario that turned out to be true was the media's obscene obsession with the novel over the true

04.12.2025 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Depends on the course. I once had a foreign language final that was open dictionary and it felt like a reason not to learn the material.

04.12.2025 15:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My experience as well. So far we're 2-for-2 on kids having a largely bullying/abuse-free middle school experience. Not without bumpy spots of course, but light years away from what I endured.

My hot take: the anti-bullying stuff has really worked, which is why conservatives are pushing back at it.

04.12.2025 15:07 β€” πŸ‘ 977    πŸ” 109    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 23

Here in Boston, we’ve made it more costly for Fenway to abandon trans youth and trans adults by protesting in front of their clinic, by severing ties with them, and by disrupting their gala and public events.

I suggest local activists elsewhere investigate similar potentials for disruption.

03.12.2025 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 203    πŸ” 53    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

The one year anniversary of Yoon's failed martial law takeover just passed and lots of untold stories came out proving that THE ONLY REASON KOREA IS STILL A FREE COUNTRY IS BECAUSE PEOPLE DISOBEYED ILLEGAL ORDERS.

The coup was over in hours because people said no.

04.12.2025 08:58 β€” πŸ‘ 5096    πŸ” 1600    πŸ’¬ 44    πŸ“Œ 55

One of the most striking things about these ICE/BP raids is not that they’re all kitted out for war while going after people who didn’t do anything wrong and don’t pose a threat, but that they always bring a camera crew.

04.12.2025 02:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1556    πŸ” 407    πŸ’¬ 126    πŸ“Œ 31
clown 18th hole, nutty-putty, old forge, new york, 2002

clown 18th hole, nutty-putty, old forge, new york, 2002

clown 18th hole, nutty-putty, old forge, new york, 2002

04.12.2025 11:36 β€” πŸ‘ 149    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 8

Yesterday the President fell asleep, yet again, during a televised fake Cabinet meeting staged so that each of his courtiers could heap praise on him, praise for which he couldn't stay conscious. He woke up just long enough to spew racism. Why is this not being treated as an emergency? >

04.12.2025 01:30 β€” πŸ‘ 14224    πŸ” 3305    πŸ’¬ 452    πŸ“Œ 166

She eventually let me keep it on, but I had to lie a little bit and say my passport photo was from before I got married (rather than from before I started wearing tichels).

04.12.2025 01:43 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Never believe the fuckers who say "why bother, they already won"

03.12.2025 22:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3885    πŸ” 1227    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 12
Galaxy brain meme.

Panel 1: Jonathan Harker found paprika hendl spicy because he is pathetically English.

Panel 2: Hungarian paprika ranges from mild to very spicy; it's perfectly possible our friend Jonathan was served the spicy stuff

Panel 3: "paprika hendl uses sweet paprika" recipes change quickly over time an dplace, Jonathan may have been served a regional variant

Panel 4 (text running off bottom): PAPRIKA USED TO BE SPICER holy shit it used to be spicier before sweeter peppers were cultivated in the 1920s. plus the machine to remove the spicy pith and seeds was only invented in the 1860s. 19th century Hungarian cuisine was simply spicier than its modern counterpart. not to mention how even "mild" paprikca can cause indigestion which is why it's so frequently served with sour cream

Galaxy brain meme. Panel 1: Jonathan Harker found paprika hendl spicy because he is pathetically English. Panel 2: Hungarian paprika ranges from mild to very spicy; it's perfectly possible our friend Jonathan was served the spicy stuff Panel 3: "paprika hendl uses sweet paprika" recipes change quickly over time an dplace, Jonathan may have been served a regional variant Panel 4 (text running off bottom): PAPRIKA USED TO BE SPICER holy shit it used to be spicier before sweeter peppers were cultivated in the 1920s. plus the machine to remove the spicy pith and seeds was only invented in the 1860s. 19th century Hungarian cuisine was simply spicier than its modern counterpart. not to mention how even "mild" paprikca can cause indigestion which is why it's so frequently served with sour cream

WELCOME TO THE DRACULA PAPRIKA DISCOURSE!!

(meme from tumblr, not my own, original link seems to be dead now)

03.12.2025 20:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1397    πŸ” 483    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 18

As a reminder: The USIP building was raided and taken over by DOGE (with assistance from federal and local law enforcement) despite being an independent agency and owner of the building. Litigation is ongoing, but Trump does not own this building.

03.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1865    πŸ” 374    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 14

Yes. I wore a plain black one on purpose, so it is not even super obvious it's not just dark hair.

03.12.2025 20:10 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Then she asked if I had any paperwork proving I needed a religious accommodation. But she dropped it when I asked what kind of paperwork.

03.12.2025 20:04 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Everything about our current reality would’ve been considered hack sci-fi writing in 2015 but the Donald J. Trump Institute for Peace is next level

03.12.2025 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 424    πŸ” 74    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 4

Got a new ID today. The clerk had the nerve to tell me that my tichel "is not what Jews wear" when I asked to keep it on for the picture.

03.12.2025 20:01 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Exactly. There are a LOT of bad interviewers out there who like to make potential employees jump through weird hoops and the sooner people realize that this is a co-equal process where everyone in the process needs to approach it in good faith, the better.

03.12.2025 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

At the last MN Council of Non-profits conference, I sat in a session that was about accommodating autistic people in the workplace and this was something I found incredibly important: Job Interviews do not have to be a test of how good a person does 1:1 with surprise questions.

03.12.2025 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 72    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image Post image Post image

Trump's white nationalist aides are churning out vile videos glorifying migrant suffering. But Trump-MAGA are *losing* the online culture wars over deportations, because the humane side is info-warring better.

Check out @paulwaldman.bsky.social and me on this:

newrepublic.com/article/2038...

03.12.2025 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1371    πŸ” 352    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 22

Really think we should be saying this more to counter the defeatism and doomerism out there. We're winning these information wars:

03.12.2025 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 207    πŸ” 61    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

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