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Paul Graf

@paulginva.bsky.social

Retired lawyer. Moderate. Dog lover, cat tolerator. Grandfather. Vietnam vet. History, international relations, national security, high-profile litigation, economics, and a little politics.

4,477 Followers  |  1,892 Following  |  15,091 Posts  |  Joined: 08.11.2024  |  2.5968

Latest posts by paulginva.bsky.social on Bluesky


This image shows a collection of social media posts from Donald J. Trump between 2011 and 2013 predicting that President Barack Obama would attack Iran for political reasons.
The posts suggest that President Obama might start a war or attack Iran to win re-election or to save face.
One post specifically cites an "inability to negotiate properly" as a reason for potential conflict.
The predictions made in these posts regarding a war with Iran did not occur during President Obama's administration.

This image shows a collection of social media posts from Donald J. Trump between 2011 and 2013 predicting that President Barack Obama would attack Iran for political reasons. The posts suggest that President Obama might start a war or attack Iran to win re-election or to save face. One post specifically cites an "inability to negotiate properly" as a reason for potential conflict. The predictions made in these posts regarding a war with Iran did not occur during President Obama's administration.

Just thought I'd leave this here.

23.02.2026 02:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
This image displays a summary of major U.S. stock market indices and their performance at a specific time. 
The U.S. markets shown are the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US 30), S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 (US Tech 100), and Russell 2000 (Small Cap 2000).
As of 18:40, all major indices listed were experiencing a slight decline for the day, with losses ranging from -0.23% to -0.42%.
The data represents derived financial instruments based on the performance of these primary indices.

This image displays a summary of major U.S. stock market indices and their performance at a specific time. The U.S. markets shown are the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US 30), S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 (US Tech 100), and Russell 2000 (Small Cap 2000). As of 18:40, all major indices listed were experiencing a slight decline for the day, with losses ranging from -0.23% to -0.42%. The data represents derived financial instruments based on the performance of these primary indices.

BREAKING: US stock market futures open lower in their initial reaction to President Trump raising global tariffs from 10% to 15%.

23.02.2026 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Armed Man Shot Dead at Mar-a-Lago Was Fixated on Epstein Files, Text Shows The armed man shot and killed by Secret Service agents outside President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago property Sunday had grown increasingly obsessed with the Epstein files and was also a vocal supporter...

This guy was also a Trump supporter. Sadly, he will no longer be voting in the midterms this Fall.

23.02.2026 01:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Makes sense.

23.02.2026 01:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wow, you've gotten slammed this winter!

23.02.2026 01:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It only includes goods. No one has figured out how to tariff services yet. Consider this: A kid from the UK coming here to attend college (a service) pays tuition. That tuition is considered an export from the US to the UK. How can they tariff that?

Are talking about black market trade?

23.02.2026 01:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
23.02.2026 01:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This simply cannot be allowed.

23.02.2026 01:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Something didn't work as planned. We must do more of it. πŸ™„

22.02.2026 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
This image shows a vintage Fiat 126 minicar modified with a custom snow plow attachment and tire chains. 
Vehicle Model: A heavily modified Fiat 126, known for its small size and rear-engine layout. 
Modifications: Features a custom-welded front plow blade and chains on the rear tires for traction in snow. 
Purpose: Adapted specifically for snow removal on thoroughfares. 
Branding: Displays a "SCDOT" (South Carolina Department of Transportation) logo on the side.

This image shows a vintage Fiat 126 minicar modified with a custom snow plow attachment and tire chains. Vehicle Model: A heavily modified Fiat 126, known for its small size and rear-engine layout. Modifications: Features a custom-welded front plow blade and chains on the rear tires for traction in snow. Purpose: Adapted specifically for snow removal on thoroughfares. Branding: Displays a "SCDOT" (South Carolina Department of Transportation) logo on the side.

To my friends in the Northeast, stay warm. Help is on the way. The South Carolina DOT is sending its plow.

22.02.2026 22:44 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
This image features Virginia Giuffre, a prominent accuser of Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell. 
She played a key role in the investigations that resulted in criminal charges against Epstein and Maxwell. 
Giuffre authored a posthumously published memoir detailing her experiences titled "Nobody's Girl: A Memoir of Surviving Abuse and Fighting for Justice". 
She alleged sexual abuse by Epstein, Maxwell, and other powerful men, including allegations against Prince Andrew. 
Born Virginia Roberts in 1983, she died by suicide in April 2025.

This image features Virginia Giuffre, a prominent accuser of Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell. She played a key role in the investigations that resulted in criminal charges against Epstein and Maxwell. Giuffre authored a posthumously published memoir detailing her experiences titled "Nobody's Girl: A Memoir of Surviving Abuse and Fighting for Justice". She alleged sexual abuse by Epstein, Maxwell, and other powerful men, including allegations against Prince Andrew. Born Virginia Roberts in 1983, she died by suicide in April 2025.

If anyone wants to do this without the caption at the top, here's a photo.

22.02.2026 22:25 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

PA you need to reject this woman outright. You simply cannot have a Gov that hangs out with the likes of Steve Bannon. That man tortured the families of murdered children, supported the coup attempt on Jan 6, & was buddies with Epstein.
Stacy Garrett has poor choices when it comes to her friends.

22.02.2026 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 437    πŸ” 256    πŸ’¬ 39    πŸ“Œ 7

Another real world example of the damage inflicted on We The People by the Trump Administration.

22.02.2026 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Section 122 tariffs Trump says he's going to put in place are illegal. Pass it along.

22.02.2026 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This isn't just an abstract legal issue either. There have been real world damage to businesses across the board arising from these lies. Nils Skiwear is far from the only casualty here.

22.02.2026 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I feel a little sorry for the DOJ lawyers in these cases. They didn't make up these representations on their own, they were told what the government's position was and dutifully reported it to the courts. Now, they're the ones who will be crucified for lying to the courts.

22.02.2026 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | What Trafficked Girls Think of Jeffrey Epstein and His Pals

#ProudBlue v
It's high time America accepted the fact that child sex trafficking isn't just an Epstein problem. Last year the National Center for Missing & Exploited Children received >113,000 reports of child sex trafficking. Free link: www.nytimes.com/2026/02/21/o...

22.02.2026 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 240    πŸ” 134    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 9
Preview
People Are Tired of Pretending Everything is Fine. This is a Rational Response to Broken Systems Most people are not ready for what comes next.

"You’re not crazy for feeling hopeless. Things are scary right now. Anyone paying attention is probably worried. But hopelessness assumes there’s nothing worth protecting. Nothing worth building. No possibilities left. That’s not true."
medium.com/p/if-you-fee...

22.02.2026 17:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I like this framing.

22.02.2026 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | Ukraine Has Passed a Point of No Return

This is a very well done report by Masha Gessen on the current state of affairs in Ukraine as it enters its fifth year under seige with no end in sight. It should be read.

22.02.2026 18:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I'll never forget the question that retired General Jim Mattis, then CENTCOM commander continually asked the hotshots in the Obama Administration who were trying to come up with a war plan for Iran, the one that eventually got him fired: "What happens then?" I don't think anyone is asking it now.

22.02.2026 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't know that it's the inequality itself. It seems like it might represent the scoreboard rather than the game. It seems like we need to correct the conditions that gave rise to the inequality rather than chopping down the scoreboard. If we do it right, the score will go down by itself.

22.02.2026 18:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I saw somewhere that Landry was going to send a riverboat up to Greenland. Seemed hind of implausible that anyone would be interested in captaining a riverboat in the North Atlantic in the middle of winter but what do I know? I'm not a MAGA.

22.02.2026 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We're sorry.

22.02.2026 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The best I can say about him is that he's consistent. He's easy to predict. Just pick the dumbest thing you can think of and that's his ceiling. He will never do anything less dumb than that.

22.02.2026 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I meant something a little different. In my war, the workhorse aircraft were the F-4, the F-105, and the UH-1. Each generation of aircraft following them offered substantial technological improvement over the prior one. On the F-35, I agree, that thing has been a monetary black hole since the get-go

22.02.2026 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

and when W came into office, they became the "borrow and spend party", which in much, much worse.

22.02.2026 15:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If you're old enough to remember that, you probably remember that Republicans used to accuse Dems of being the "tax and spend party" (honestly, they weren’t entirely wrong). After the Gingrich revolution in 1994, the wheels came off that charge

22.02.2026 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

the exchange rate. Thus there need never be an imbalance in the balance of payments in a floating system.

Make sense?

22.02.2026 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

for domestic currency. This would lead to a reduction of foreign reserves and hence a balance of payments deficit. In a floating system, an imbalance between supply and demand in the private foreign exchange market can be relieved by a change in

22.02.2026 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@paulginva is following 20 prominent accounts