i remember the 80s and 90s and there's a lot more crime on the news the past dozen years than i ever experienced irl
03.08.2025 17:35 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0@newqueuelure.bsky.social
physicist messing around with economic theory and science fiction; he/him; ALX; was @infotranecon on twitter; email is this profile's username @ gmail bsky DMs open econ: https://information-equilibrium.ghost.io/ sci fi: https://innerhorizon.substack.com
i remember the 80s and 90s and there's a lot more crime on the news the past dozen years than i ever experienced irl
03.08.2025 17:35 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0i mean i feel like crime is rising β look at the friggen government
03.08.2025 17:33 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Theyβre all good museums
03.08.2025 15:33 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0the international banana museum out on the salton sea (rip)
03.08.2025 15:20 β π 9 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0overall there does not appear to be any deviations in trends since mid-2022
(this is not to say something definitely isn't changing, only that it'd be hard to tell given the noise in the series)
FRED graph of CLF16OV (blue) and PAYEMS (green) showing roughly a log-linear growth path (CLF16OV) and a gentle curve (PAYEMS) respectively; the CLF16OV line has a discrete jump up in january 2025
the previous graph showed the ratio PAYEMS / CLF16OV; this one shows PAYEMS and CLF16OV separately
we can see the discrete rise in CLF16OV in jan of 2025 mentioned in the previous skeet
(these are not abnormal)
log scale graph of PAYEMS / CLF16OV showing the pandemic recovery reaching a log-linear growth equilibrium around sept 2022 and it has basically been following that until jan 2025 where there is a discrete jump down due a discrete jump up in CLF16OV; after that discrete jump the slope (i.e. growth rate) has been roughly the same as the "equilibrium" from sept 2022 to jan 2025
Not sure we want to "over interpret" the recent job numbers as there's no indication of a deviation from log-linear growth of the "employment rate" except for a discrete jump that is due to a discrete rise in the labor force
additionally, this ratio cannot exceed 1 so must "flatten out" regardless
single-issue anti-robot voter
03.08.2025 11:56 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0My favorite part is that AK stands for assault knife in Russian (Atakovat Knozh) and its just a coincidence it works in English too.
03.08.2025 11:34 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0"epstein's poorly dressed lawyer ... "
03.08.2025 02:01 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0LOL
03.08.2025 02:00 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0after dark
03.08.2025 01:59 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0gonna turn into menswear guy off brand clone account
03.08.2025 01:58 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0older man wearing pale khaki shorts (ugh) with a belt and a light white sweater with a blue stipe, sunglasses and a white baseball cap (ugh) standing on a dock with a fishing boat in the background
i don't necessarily agree with it but this is floor for men above a certain age and tax bracket in the vineyard
03.08.2025 01:58 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0omg man have some fucking self respect you have millions of dollars and you dress like that?
03.08.2025 01:53 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0A picture of a jar of piment dβespelette
Espelette prawns, mustard dressing salad with toasted hazelnuts, bread & pate, glass of rosΓ©
in case youβre on the edge of your seat wanting to know what happened next
02.08.2025 23:50 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0very exited that my piment d'espelette has arrived
02.08.2025 20:21 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0jebus itβs racist over there
02.08.2025 20:18 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This Kristol guy is really making sense
02.08.2025 20:12 β π 9 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0if you did that bellows thing from the princess bride a racial slur would come out
02.08.2025 18:03 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0larry summers is still on twitter tho
02.08.2025 18:00 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Merle Pomeranian looking excited and/or crazy
He has crazy eyes
02.08.2025 17:58 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Merle Pomeranian on a lavender silk sheet on a daybed
Heβs actually good about pooping in the litter box β itβs more of a dog barf thing
02.08.2025 17:56 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0relatable
02.08.2025 17:53 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0i mean ian goodfellow got his phd in montreal
02.08.2025 17:52 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0i mean they're clowns so who knows
02.08.2025 17:50 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0so if anyone does not recognize the name, this is probably the most famous living mathematician on earth. you basically fund his group to pay salaries and random shit like MRI machines becomes several times more efficient, like magic.
02.08.2025 06:23 β π 631 π 171 π¬ 18 π 9in the words of blagojevich "it's a fucking valuable thing" so should be able to negotiate a *much* better deal than that
02.08.2025 17:47 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0my theory remains:
02.08.2025 17:46 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0trying to understand the game theory here
like if she gets a pardon she'd be immune to prosecution if she ratted everyone out so given he was a client this would open him up to even more risk
but also if she gets a pardon for exonerating him that's going to be the least believable exoneration ever