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Andy Berner

@andybrnr.bsky.social

Meteorology PhD, data scientist, ski mountaineer, GSP dad

359 Followers  |  779 Following  |  1,247 Posts  |  Joined: 27.07.2023  |  2.2662

Latest posts by andybrnr.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Outbidding and Outbluffing Elite Humans: Mastering Liar's Poker via Self-Play and Reinforcement Learning AI researchers have long focused on poker-like games as a testbed for environments characterized by multi-player dynamics, imperfect information, and reasoning under uncertainty. While recent breakthr...

More recently, you have the example of Solly, trained specifically on Liar's Poker: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03724

14.02.2026 01:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Anyone currently involved in federal immigration enforcement, every officer, every bureaucrat, every lawyer, every judge, is a member of the most evil group of people this country has seen since Reconstruction. Darkness personified, every one. Doing this to children is beyond depraved.

13.02.2026 20:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4656    ๐Ÿ” 1598    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 27    ๐Ÿ“Œ 41

Vandalism.

13.02.2026 03:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Andrej Karpathy was cursed by a witch to write smaller and smaller GPT implementations until he finds one that fits in a single character. We can only guess at what he did to earn such a fate

12.02.2026 03:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 201    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

The "you gave a chimp a machine gun?"-ass administration. bsky.app/profile/clan...

12.02.2026 01:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 150    ๐Ÿ” 37    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

We are ruled by willfully stupid and ignorant people, as this characteristic has allowed them to enrich themselves through various forms of bribery (both โ€œlegallyโ€ in the form of political donations or by paper bags of cash), to the detriment of the rest of us.

11.02.2026 21:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

US military aid to Ukraine was the single most effective military spending weโ€™ve had since aiding the Mujahideen against the Soviets in Afghanistan. We reduced Russiaโ€™s military by like half for circa five percent of the annual Pentagon budget. Thatโ€™s a goddamn bargain.

And Trump has spoiled it.

11.02.2026 20:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 692    ๐Ÿ” 224    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15
Post image

Adult Great Blue Herons have the contrasting feathers on the upper wing surface.

11.02.2026 04:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I loved drawing birds as a kid, but definitely not an ornithologist, either. The beak, head, and neck are what I focused on - stork heads are โ€œscalyโ€ and without plumage, and the beak has a bit of curve to it. Herons have feathers on their head, with the dark stripe over the eye and a straight beak.

11.02.2026 04:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m pretty sure thatโ€™s a heron rather than a wood stork? But lovely photo!

11.02.2026 04:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Europeans think all the random loot in Fallout is because of a nuclear war but America is just like that. Yesterday, I found a rocket launcher looking for my phone charger.

10.02.2026 14:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 542    ๐Ÿ” 114    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Thank you so much for this very thorough answer! Classic โ€œneeds an interdisciplinary approach, but the relevant disciplines arenโ€™t interested in each otherโ€™s problem setโ€ kind of situations.

10.02.2026 18:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Also, in terms of methodological soundness, what groups/teams have you been most impressed with? The METR study and recent work from Anthropic seems good, but again, frontier is moving rapidly and the results have pretty narrow applicability.

10.02.2026 16:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not that I think itโ€™s the main issue (and perhaps it was dealt with, I havenโ€™t read the paper under discussion yet), but with state of the art moving so quickly, is a meta-analysis still sensible? The underlying state of the world canโ€™t possibly be considered stationaryโ€ฆ

10.02.2026 16:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In a similar vein (and I know you sadly have first hand experience, as well), I have found indoor plumbing to be a mistake. The water just doesnโ€™t stay where itโ€˜s supposed to, and water where itโ€™s not supposed to be isโ€ฆ not great.

10.02.2026 16:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
a man wearing glasses says " or incredibly stupid " Alt: Gif of Gene Hackman delivering the line โ€œyouโ€™re either incredibly smart or incredibly stupidโ€ to Will Smithโ€™s character.
10.02.2026 16:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Once upon a time I was taking a train from East Berlin to Budapest. It was crowded to start with, and I was sitting on the floor, but everything got worse in Dresden, when many rowdy young E. Germans got on. They spilled beer on my head. They tripped over me. It was 2am and I didnโ€™t want a fightโ€ฆ

10.02.2026 15:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 137    ๐Ÿ” 40    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 14
A deep dive into an NSO zero-click iMessage exploit: Remote Code Execution - Project Zero Posted by Ian Beer & Samuel GroรŸ of Google Project Zero We want to thank Citizen Lab for sharing a sample of the FORCEDENTRY exploit with us, and...

The full exploit chain here was nuts, but the part where โ€œwe build a VM inside a PDF with image compression librariesโ€ isโ€ฆ something.

projectzero.google/2021/12/a-de...

10.02.2026 09:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In terms of what theme, from your PoV? I remember being acutely aware of the Chinese COVID newsflow via Twitter and being highly confident everything was about to become very fucked, even as the world continued normally around me for another month and change...

10.02.2026 06:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The richest people in the world are in a group chat, sending each other snuff films and sorting out the logistics to commit crimes. Meanwhile I have to go into the office tomorrow to deliver value for clients and then coach rec bball and generally carry on a normal life. The dissonance is...a lot

10.02.2026 03:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 108    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€”dangerously-skip-permissions has consequences.

09.02.2026 05:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Disturbingly detailed analysis of my first rewatch incoming

09.02.2026 02:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6000    ๐Ÿ” 1794    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 107    ๐Ÿ“Œ 927

That so many of the folks who claimed to care so much about campus free speech in yesteryear are suddenly uninterested today when the problem is just flagrantly, obviously worse (but entails costs in their social circles) tells me they are hypocrites, and I will not listen to them again.

09.02.2026 03:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 251    ๐Ÿ” 16    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

SB!!!!!!!

09.02.2026 03:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Next yearโ€™s halftime show: Weird Al Yankovic and the Wu Tang Klan. Itโ€™s time.

09.02.2026 02:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 83    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

My Spanish is terrible and reggaeton isnโ€™t exactly my thing, but i loved that. Just an amazing show. Simultaneously joyful and defiant in a way you have to look like an asshole to object to.

09.02.2026 01:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Lmao

09.02.2026 01:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For real. The production value is off the charts.

09.02.2026 01:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Skijoring on untracked, freshly groomed corduroy snow through snow covered pine trees. Blue sky and puffy clouds are visible in the narrow gap between the trees lining the cross country ski trail on either side. Wally, a black and white male German Shorthaired Pointer is harnessed on the right next to Riley, a black female Eurohound. They are pulling straight ahead down the trail, the orange bungee leash connecting them to their skier extending from the bottom of the frame.

Skijoring on untracked, freshly groomed corduroy snow through snow covered pine trees. Blue sky and puffy clouds are visible in the narrow gap between the trees lining the cross country ski trail on either side. Wally, a black and white male German Shorthaired Pointer is harnessed on the right next to Riley, a black female Eurohound. They are pulling straight ahead down the trail, the orange bungee leash connecting them to their skier extending from the bottom of the frame.

Itโ€™s a really fun way to spend time with your pups.

08.02.2026 09:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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