Krakek

/r/Preppers/ - Better safe than sorry Learning and sharing information to aid in emergency preparedness as it relates to both natural and man-made disasters. Discussion for those preparing to weather day-to-day disasters as well as catast...

Hey all y'all. Somewhat of a weird announcement, but I'm going to do an "ask me anything" (AMA) on the www.reddit.com/r/preppers/ subreddit. FYI, I do not believe in "prepping" for nuclear war (absolutely for earthquakes/etc.) but the mods that I've chatted with there are well informed. (1/?)

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Kara Sea Activity

Caveat: Preliminary findings.

On October 28th, when the Poseidon test was conducted according to Putin, there were 6 unidentified ships off the eastern coast of Novaya Zemlya, Kara Sea.

No NOTAM, no PRIP, but well off the path for any civilian traffic.

Such systems could greatly improve survivability of silos, while not impacting strategic stability in the same way as wide area BMD could.

Here you could see a post by Pavel, with the launcher depicted: (x.com/russianforce...)

Back in the late Soviet era there was work being done on an APS for silos (specifically R-36M2 silos).

This system used "shotguns" with tungsten rods to defeat enemy RVs in lower atmosphere.

It was successfully tested against RVs (Baikonur -> Kamchatka track) in late 80s.

It is not all *that* mysterious, if one were to assume that it is still work in progress that is.

“By dawn’s early light” is pretty good if you ignore how the war begins (Soviet false flag)

A somewhat confused piece in Politico re US plutonium by
@zcolman.bsky.social. These 25 tonnes of plutonium in pits is the material identified as surplus 30 years ago, no way it "plays a central role in the US nuclear weapons stockpile" (pits are not "highly radioactive" by the way) 1/

TBH this is more of a joke about how CENTCOM seems to hoover all available assets from other commands.

Escalation management is mentioned in the document, but I agree that the wisdom of ICBM use seems questionable, particularly in the context of omitting other tools, such as the Navy's LYT (the prudence of LYT use is a whole other can of worms, but atleast it is a tailored instrument)

It is from an official document, you could find it here: (www.doctrine.af.mil/Portals/61/d...)

It is unclear to me if the use would be tactical in nature, one could consider ie hypothetical ICBM use against Iranian nuclear project related sites.

So, is CENTCOM going to be the first to ever use nuclear armed ICBMs in a real armed conflict?

The joke we have is that you can’t bring your wife to the COG/COOP site… but you could bring your secretary!

What I also find amusing is over fixation on Yamantau, where there are many other, more relevant sites available, or on the possible sites co-located with residences.

It is amusing how instead of constructively engaging the proponents of the "Putin is in a bunker" narrative have blocked me when I challenged it.

It is what it is 🤷‍♂️

So, are there any plans and proposals for the new nuclear-tipped penetrators being written in the US? Or will the B61-13 be considered good enough? Or we might see B83-X? Or new fancy payloads for Sentinel and/or Dark Eagle?

#NukeSky

Did you find any? :)

So, err, like ERCS/Perimeter command missiles?

Many lessons were learned, ie about the PEOC limitations.

With what appears to be a network of advanced hardened deeply buried protective structures built in the decades since.

To be honest Russia expertise has not been strong even under Obama, ie remember the “overload”?

A random thought.

Let’s say that you are a Russian planner, you know that a lot of your SSBNs and TELs are on in base alert in a relatively normal situation.

You know that there is a LoW policy.

So, what is your target set for those RVs in a LoW scenario?

A photograph of a July 19, 1991, letter from the Department of Energy Albuquerque Operations Office responding to a Freedom of Information Act request from the author regarding “the last date on which the Pantex Plant assembled bombs/warheads using the final shipment of plutonium pits from the Rocky Flats Plant, which was received at Pantex on January 3, 1990.” The pertinent responsive paragraph reads, “… the final assembly date on which the Pantex Plant assembled bombs/warheads using the final shipment of plutonium pits from the Rocky Flats Plant was July 31, 1990 for the W-88 program.”

A rare color photograph of the Mark-5 reentry vehicle, used to carry the W88 warhead on the Trident II D5 submarine-launched ballistic missile. The carbon fiber-wrapped reentry vehicle is dark black and conical (its nose facing to the right).

A color photograph of a Trident II D5 submarine-launched ballistic missile breaking the surface of the ocean and igniting its first stage rocket motor at the start of a flight or shakedown test.

OTD 35 years ago, the United States assembled its last fully new nuclear warhead—a 455-kiloton W88 for the Trident II D5 SLBM—at the Pantex Plant in Amarillo, Texas. Since then, several thousand existing warheads and bombs have been significantly refurbished at Pantex, enhancing their capabilities.

@massiasthanos.bsky.social by the way, do you have any good data on the proposed USAF/SAC B-747 airborne command post, back in the early E-4 days?

Normies don't, use google chrome without add block and never delete cookies they got from visiting their brainrot website of choice.

Just saying that a VPN is far from being a panacea that VPN vendors present it to be.

Normies still get tracked in a myriad of other ways as they do not use hardened browsers for one thing.

Uh, the US used 150 THAAD interceptors (out of an inventory of 534) and 80 SM-3s (out of inventory of 400) in the 12 day conflict between Israel and Iran. More of these missiles have been used since the Oct attack in 2023.

Ignoring the numbers for a sec, theres a high chance that these systems also fired on the same targets two or three times. Integration of US BMD systems has been a long term problem and so far only THAAD and PATRIOT have progressed to a level of "true integration". US-Israel integration also sucks.

Knyaz Pozharsky, a submarine of the Borey-A/Project 955A class transferred to Russian navy russianforces.org/blog/2025/07... There was a delay, presumably to conduct a Bulava launch, which is normally part of the state acceptance trials. But it appears that the launch didn't happen.

For example while ELINT/SIGINT would have been useful in general - it would have limited utility due to the one way propagation of information (high level CP -> Monolith/Vyuga -> low level CP -> Efir -> launcher), mobile nature and short transmission times.

13/13

At the same time, despite those issues, I do not think that US could have reliably decapitated the Soviet forces at this point, due to the redundancies and survivability measures (hardening and mobility) though this was a risk for much of the earlier times of the Cold War.

12/13

Ofcourse there was movement towards fixing this - allowing attack and flight plan generation in the DSS scenario, but such efforts (Ie "Oreshek" mobile compute center for Divisions) did not bear fruit yet during this time period.

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