Abhisheka Dubey

New publication in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social!

Who perceives feminism as a threat, and why do a lot of women perceive feminism as threatening?

With @evaanduiza.bsky.social, we explore these questions in the context of Spain.

We find: ⬇️
doi.org/10.1017/S174...

Perceived inequality and populism | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core Perceived inequality and populism - Volume 65 Issue 1

65.1🦋

🆕 Perceived #Inequality and #Populism 🗣️

Evidence across Denmark, Germany and Italy show that people who perceive great inequality are more likely to hold #Populist attitudes according to @lstoetze.bsky.social, Johannes Giesecke & @heikekluever.bsky.social

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

Are the Politically Active Better Represented? - Political Behavior Political participation is considered an important path for people to influence politics. However, whether those who participate actually see more of their preferred policies implemented remains an op...

🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...

BJPolS abstract text discussing research on voting preferences among Asian Americans in the U.S., focusing on 'co-ethnic' (same ethnicity) and 'cross-ethnic' (different ethnicity but within the same racial group) political representation.

NEW -

Descriptive or Partisan Representation? Examining Trade-Offs for Asian Americans - https://cup.org/45Y91Bz

- John J. Cho, @miacosta.bsky.social & @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract examining Jair Bolsonaro's influence on anti-system political attitudes and job dissatisfaction using Brazil's RAIS database, discussing demographic, employment, and survey findings related to his supporters.

From November 2025 -

From the Factory Floor to the Ballot Box: Firm-Based Origins of Brazil’s Populist Right - https://cup.org/4r04qrj

- @matigiannoni.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

“These findings provide clear evidence that data collected on MTurk simply cannot be trusted.”

📈Inequality is rising, but taxes have not become more progressive. Why?

➡️ C Ballard-Rosa, R Rogowski, K Scheve & @nicolajthor.bsky.social find that information on inequality alone cannot fully explain why income taxes have not increased www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

BJPolS abstract from a scholarly article discussing social cohesion and individual perceptions within diverse neighborhoods. The text is set against a green background with a white border.

NEW -

A Two-Path Theory of Context Effects: Pseudoenvironments and Social Cohesion - https://cup.org/3MOPb55

- Cara Wong, Jake Bowers, @dktrdr.bsky.social, Mark Fredrickson & Ashlea Rundlett

#OpenAccess

New paper! @william-dinneen.bsky.social @guygrossman.bsky.social Yiqing Xu and I use GPT to code 91k articles from 174 polisci journals (2003–2023)and track research designs, transparency practices, and citations. How has the credibility revolution reshaped the discipline? doi.org/10.31235/osf...
🧵

BJPolS abstract discussing the nostalgia for empire in post-imperial European contexts, examining public opinion and attitudes towards imperial history.

NEWS -

The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA

"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"

- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Abstract It is widely accepted in political science – and remarkably established in public discourse – that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in people’s perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as “winners”. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.

New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.

🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Well, at least we didn't make online survey experiments the dominant methodological approach in major areas of the discipline

We actually have a paper that finds exactly that!

osf.io/preprints/so...

Photo of a masala dosa

Photo of a tomato onion uttapam

apparently i'm in delhi just to eat south indian food instead of carrying out field interviews

1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space.
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

Why do people turn to populist parties? 🤔

📣 Our new study just published at @ejprjournal.bsky.social shows it’s not just real inequality - it’s perceived inequality that drives populism.

📌 Blog: hu-govlab.de/en/perceived...
📊 Study: tinyurl.com/msnndnpn
🏛️ Funded by: @scripts-berlin.eu

@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:

🧵⬇️

if you'd like to read the working paper please reach out and say hi!

excited to be heading to #APSA2025 (this is my first APSA and first time in Canada)! looking forward to presenting my working paper titled "Relative Deprivation and Political Behavior Across the Spectrum: Explaining Choices Between Reactionary or Progressive Politics."

Ever asked yourself how to detect and extract social groups from texts with computational social science? @haukelicht.bsky.social and me have a solution for you out at @bjpols.bsky.social. You can also find the pre-trained models on huggingface!

A name tag that reads "Seoul IPSA AISP, Participant, Abhisheka Dubey, Seoul National University, South Korea"

A photo of a person presenting a slide that contains a graph from the Financial Times about the ideological divide between genders in South Korea, the US, Germany, and the UK.

very glad and grateful to have had the opportunity to present our co-working paper on dating preferences at #IPSA2025! we had a great panel and audience and i'm so excited to get this paper out there!

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Photo of a brown dog panting

now back home at seoul to 36 degrees and humidity with these two silly roommates

A name tag of ISPP 2025 that mentions "Abhisheka Dubey Seoul National University"

A night-view of Prague

A selfie of a person wearing a blue shirt and black slacks

A photo of a sunset

grateful to have had the opportunity to present my work at #ISPP2025! every research presented was so interesting, the mentoring and early career scholar sessions were inspiring and really informative, the conference was well organized, and prague is a beautiful city

Photo of the UNFPA Indonesia sign with their slogan: "Delivering a world where every pregnancy is wanted, every childbirth is safe and every young person's potential is fulfilled."

Photo of a plate with ayam geprek and teh tarik

we had an incredible time that was super insightful! met some helpful and kind people, and had some amazing food. now back to the drawing board for this project on internal migration in indonesia 💪💪

hello from jakarta! so happy to be on fieldwork again

Misinformation and Support for Vigilantism: An Experiment in India and Pakistan | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core Misinformation and Support for Vigilantism: An Experiment in India and Pakistan - Volume 119 Issue 2

From our new issue: "Misinformation and Support for Vigilantism: An Experiment in India
and Pakistan " by SUMITRA BADRINATHAN (@kharibiskut), SIMON CHAUCHARD (@SimonChauchard), and NILOUFER SIDDIQUI #APSRNewIssue www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Just published on APSR First View: "A New Measure of Affective Polarization" by Nicolas Campos and Christopher Federico. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

coming back from a hiatus to share that we finally received a R&R after the article was stuck in limbo for months!!

it's been two years since we adopted billy so we threw her a birthday party with a cute (and apparently tasty) cake