Richard Dixon

One like. One bloody like for essentially the most important thing I've ever posted on here. You guys need a good talking to.

When I'm not using AI to help my terrible coding and making charts it would take me weeks to do without it, I'm using it to answer all the really important questions in life.

Mainly from people who've either not been to London or haven't been in years.

What's odd is that people may think that reading from a script seems polished, but it really doesn't come across that way to me. Well-prepared, yes, but polished? Nah. I think your slides should contain enough prompts for you to fill in the blanks of what you need to say.

100% this: plus talks read out verbatim from a script never sound as impactful.

I did do another plot that had 4 that used a different time base that I put on L*nk**In so I'm probably just confusing the two.

I'm sure it's snowy states with warmer temperatures = more snow. If you look at the "marginal" states (akin to England and Wales to a certain extent) a lot are dropping like stones.

No: I can't count.

Standard.

Some more fun on US snow depth changes. Exposure-weighted snow depth trend from 1989 to 2025 winter by *state* in the US, ordered from north to south in the image.

Positive trends (all 4 of them) in red. Label shows 2nd half mean / 1st half mean delta of winter average snow depth.

What, even plinth and ocelot?

OK interesting. Would love to see if there's any live stats available to compare some simple "end-user" values like temperature, rainfall to see how out model is with increasing lead time.

Clearly there is a decrease in the snowfall of 20-25% in the mean in the DJF main winter season between the two periods, but around the edges of the season, less of a signal.

As always a catastrophic event gets you thinking. This chart uses the Litpop dataset to exposure-weight US snowfall to see how it has changed in recent years. Plot shows the 25-75th percentile amount plus the mean the change in the mean on the secondary axis between 2002-13 and 2014-25.

I was probably thinking dynamic.

Would love to know if the T+>200 in the ECMWF IFS has a cold bias. 2nd half of winter appears to have had very regular threats of a cold blast: or it could just be that the die has fallen on the warm side each time and the risk genuinely is there.

Driftbait

Synthetic TC models are powerful - but may be hard to use outside climate science.

We release global coastal wind hazard maps from CHAZ, translating TC tracks into exceedance intensities and return periods.

Paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Data: datadryad.org/dataset/doi:...

YouTube video by Boston.com Boston.com is live from State Street

Looks fun in Boston: www.youtube.com/watch?v=W12W...

Snow is a great one to show up the curmudgeons easily.

I love the dots for precipitation on top of snow depth - great way to show the "live" accumulation.

Third World Police State. Anyone on here in the US help me understand why no Republicans in congress have a backbone to stand up and say "this is plainly wrong"? I'm not poking with a stick here as I fear the UK is next if (when) Reform and Farage with his Trump-parroting lines get into power.

There is a raft of model data - and it's the only place I can put model data, radar data, satellite data and observational data all plotted on the same map region to compare - e.g.

I bit the bullet a few years ago and pay £60 or so per year for meteologix. The customer service is terrible and either completely ignore or don't do any potential suggestions I have but there's a load of data on the site.

FEMA halts terminations of disaster workers as agency prepares for massive winter storm | CNN Politics The Federal Emergency Management Agency has abruptly halted ongoing terminations of hundreds of disaster workers as the agency prepares for an enormous winter storm expected to pound a large swath of ...

It turns out that having experienced emergency management staff is important during emergencies: www.cnn.com/2026/01/23/p...

I mean the biggest tragedy / horror about all this is the fact that he's boasting about himself in the 3rd person.

Given how Trump is a master of the quick friend-to-foe turnaround with people, I wonder

a) How long it'll be before these fall out?
b) What nickname Trump will give Farage?

It seems as though the storyline of late is anyone claiming that it'll take a timescale of the order of hours to do something fairly sizeable is all bluster (see also: Trump, Ukraine).

Election predictions since last general election in the UK scraped using the Internet Archive from the Electoral Calculus website. Reform have drifted from having an out-and-out majority in the last couple of months. Maybe these Tory defec(a)tions are making them less popular? I hope so.

Proper spoilt child in playground antics. Every day gets more and more removed from sensible, rational behaviour. Think I might do early retirement to enjoy life before the World falls to pieces, although not sure how long I'd have to enjoy it...