ยซSamโ€ขForsytheยป's Avatar

ยซSamโ€ขForsytheยป

@polymetis.bsky.social

๐ŸŒฉ๏ธ Polemologist, Peircean & ฮผแฟ†ฯ„ฮนฯ‚ enthusiast. ๐Ÿ”Ž PhD on deception in international politics @prif.org. โœ’๏ธ IR - Critical Security - Intelligence Studies - Adversarial Epistemology - Science Communication.

256 Followers  |  319 Following  |  77 Posts  |  Joined: 30.05.2023  |  1.6617

Latest posts by polymetis.bsky.social on Bluesky

Pairwise overlap percentages between reliability categories. Each row shows the percentage of users who shared content (i.e. at least one tweet) in that row who also share content (i.e. at least one tweet) in the category in the column. Note that percentages do not add up to 100% because users can share multiple types of content.

Pairwise overlap percentages between reliability categories. Each row shows the percentage of users who shared content (i.e. at least one tweet) in that row who also share content (i.e. at least one tweet) in the category in the column. Note that percentages do not add up to 100% because users can share multiple types of content.

Surprisingly, we find that users who share unreliable URLs are more likely to share science. Moreover, this is particularly concentrated in more untrustworthy domains classified as fake/hoax or conspiracy theory. (3/10)

04.07.2025 10:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Beautiful in Another Context: A Counterintelligence Assessment of GTPROLOGUE - CSI

Good account of a KGB "dangle" to the CIA in the cold war. "GTPROLOGUE exemplifies CIAโ€™s troubled experience with hostile double agents during the 1980s, when a few select servicesโ€”particularly the Soviets, East Germans & Cubansโ€”badly burned the agency." www.cia.gov/resources/cs...

07.07.2025 13:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 91    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Just arrived in Krakรณw for the 2025 'EISA European Workshops in International Studies Conference'. Any friends fancy some pierogi? #EWIS2025

02.07.2025 15:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

CIA has published a lessons-learned review into the tradecraft behind the intel assessment that Russia "aspired" to help Trump win in 2016. The review highlights "multiple procedural anomalies" in that assessment.
cia.gov/static/a336f...

02.07.2025 15:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 106    ๐Ÿ” 25    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Do you think Trumpโ€™s insistence that it be called the โ€œ12 Day Warโ€ is because someone briefed him on the Six-Day War and he wants โ€˜hisโ€™ war to be bigger?

24.06.2025 20:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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When War Becomes a Tech Product: How Silicon Valley Logics are Reshaping Military AI - Untold AI-driven weapons born from venture capital logics treat war as a beta test and failure as progress.

Another short piece from me (apologies) on the pitfalls of military tech and VC logics and their fraught relationship to the realities of war. In this piece, I bring back Norbert Wiener to illustrate that technological progress should have ethical limits. untoldmag.org/when-war-bec...

23.06.2025 13:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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The World According to Military Targeting A revealing account of the prevalenceโ€”and alarming ubiquityโ€”of military targeting, and how it has become a self-propelling worldview driven by dominance, v

Iโ€™m halfway into this amazing work by Erik Rechborn-Kjennerud that just dropped. I assume it will quickly become a go-to book in the genre. If you are interested in how and with what consequences militaries wage war, do yourself a favor and grab a copy.

direct.mit.edu/books/oa-mon...

20.06.2025 12:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is one of the worst violations of research ethics I've ever seen. Manipulating people in online communities using deception, without consent, is not "low risk" and, as evidenced by the discourse in this Reddit post, resulted in harm.

Great thread from Sarah, and I have additional thoughts. ๐Ÿงต

26.04.2025 22:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1032    ๐Ÿ” 471    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 28    ๐Ÿ“Œ 29

excellent thread on our present political economy from my pal the Wolf

28.05.2025 08:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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AI as symbolic prosthesis Where LLMs might take us next

@thelastinstance.bsky.social weighing in on LLMs as symbolic prostheses: codepoetics.substack.com/p/ai-as-symb...

28.05.2025 07:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

i also like following the reconstruction of the author's own on-line reasoning. it presents their whole inquiry, and not just deductions from the results

28.04.2025 12:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

it's strange to read a scientific or scholarly paper and not find a single question mark. i can understand wanting to avoid a rhetorical style, but isn't addressing doubt the point of any inquiry?

28.04.2025 12:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

All eyes on Serbia today. Time for the EU to end its cynical & anti-democratic cooperation with Vuฤiฤ‡โ€”a man who was Miloลกeviฤ‡โ€™s actual propaganda minister.

No deal with Vuฤiฤ‡ & Rio Tinto for lithium (DE); no sale of fighter jets (FR); no cooperation with repressive Serbian intelligence.
#pumpaj

15.03.2025 16:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Standing with #belgrade - at least live on TV.
The estimated number of 800,000 participants has just been announced on N1 - that was compared in percentage terms to 4,000,000 people taking part in a demonstration in Germany.
#pumpaj

15.03.2025 14:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Extraordinary scenes in Serbiaโ€™s capital Belgrade right now.

Around 500,000 people are on the streets in what may be the biggest protest in Serbian history. All demanding the resignation of President Vuฤiฤ‡ & his government.

What began as a student protest is now a full democratic uprising.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ

15.03.2025 16:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9088    ๐Ÿ” 2642    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 171    ๐Ÿ“Œ 419
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US Halts Defensive Cyber Activities Against Russia: A Digital โ€˜Withdrawalโ€™ from Europe - PRIF BLOG In a major shift in U.S. cybersecurity policy, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has ordered U.S. Cyber Command to halt all planning against Russia, including offensive cyber operations. This policy chan...

A digital โ€˜withdrawalโ€™ from Europe? The U.S. halted all cyber operations โ€“ marking a stark shift from the previous administrationโ€™s cybersecurity strategy. On #PRIFblog, @cyberpeace1.bsky.social takes a close look at the consequences and why this policy shift matters. blog.prif.org/2025/03/13/u...

13.03.2025 14:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

the only thing that can stop a Bad State with a weaponized security apparatus is a Good State with a weaponized security apparatus

12.03.2025 22:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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sending thoughts and prayers to my CIA #FOIA request. this was already the expected completion date even before the current regime

06.03.2025 11:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There's a view that I call (for lack of a better expression) 'psychologism about the manifest image,' which expects most philosophical-sounding questions about entities outside of math and physics to be best addressed by discussing quirks or pathologies of human cognition

19.02.2025 11:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

psychologism almost always a cover for nominalism imo (letting ppl avoid having to admit they reject generals by focusing on widely distributed particulars)

19.02.2025 11:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Over several years of phd work on deception in international relations, my own feelings about the geopolitical significance of disinformation, lying, manipulation etc, have swung from "very important!" to "mostly trivial..." to "no one knows [shrug]?" and, most recently, "Falsehood is Our Episteme".

02.02.2025 13:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I worry about a world (we haven't seen it yet) in which the node deletion is targeted according to network centrality etc, rather than random, making tariff-type measures far closer to the kinds of weaponized interdependence that @abenewman.bsky.social and I have described in our research.

02.02.2025 13:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 63    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Error and attack tolerance of complex networks Many complex systems, such as communication networks, display a surprising degree of robustness: while key components regularly malfunction, local failures rarely lead to the loss of the global inform...

See e.g. arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat... for a sense of how much more quickly things could get bad if governments start using some of the supply chain data that they have been gathering for offensive purposes.

02.02.2025 13:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

canโ€™t wait to have deepseek reviewer 2 the paper chatgpt wrote for me

28.01.2025 12:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

a close friend was told over and over by specialists that his undiagnosed epilepsy was burnout, psychosis, or simply imaginary. the greatest resilience how has shown through it all has been the tenacity to push through the hubris of experts who have no sense of their own limits

15.01.2025 16:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

archive.ph/fp0cH

15.01.2025 16:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

if i was Peter Thiel and wanted to endear myself to regime sceptics by demonstrating that i was not a deranged and racist pseud but rather an erudite and discerning leader, i would probably not publish an OpEd that reads like you prompted a Straussian LLM to mimic Nick Land but thatโ€™s just me

15.01.2025 16:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A syllabus for the new global politics Clashing information orders and what they mean

Here's my Clashing Information Orders syllabus in case there is anything worth cannibalizing from it www.programmablemutter.com/p/a-syllabus...

06.01.2025 13:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Morphogenesis of Symbolic Forms: Meaning in Music, Art, Religion, and Language This book presents a morphogenetic perspective on human culture and focuses on visual communication, music, religion, and language

Wolfgang Wildgen's last book:

10.12.2024 13:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

RIP Wolfgang Wildgen: cognitive linguist and semiotician, sociolinguist, and theorist of evolutionary linguistics.
His work beinging together Peircean semiotics with Renรฉ Thom's catastrophe theory challenged me to push my learning into fields i never imagined.

Below a list of his publications:

10.12.2024 13:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@polymetis is following 20 prominent accounts