Robin Murray

Labour has now come in from 10/1 to 5/1 in Gorton and Denton, with Reform at 3/1 against, and Greens odds-on.

NB: these are prices (reflecting betting patterns) not predictions

(There has been no representative polling of the constituency published during the campaign + no hard data).

Fascinating. Will the opponents of protofascism have learned enough from Caerphilly?

Scrapping equality law could trigger EU trade retaliation - as this would breach the standstill clause on equality and employment law under the Trade and Cooperation Agreement

(As regards Northern Ireland, it also would breach the withdrawal agreement)

One of the more hopeful signs in UK politics is that Reform consistently struggles to poll above the mid-to-high 20s - despite a deteriorating economy, the simultaneous implosion of both the traditional parties and a pet TV station.

Reform is not some unstoppable force. It's eminently beatable.

Nigel Farage makes Robert Jenrick, who he previously said was a "fraud", and told his followers that "this man is not to be trusted", his Shadow Chancellor

@bagleycartoons.bsky.social

Authoritarian populism
Taking you back to the good old days...

YouTube video by A Different Bias The Tories' Brexit Trap Just Got Worse

youtu.be/TzuDtnjzo70?...

The anti Brexit stance is something this Labour gov is getting RIGHT 👏
I hope they move as fast as possible to be as close as possible because we SHOULD NEVER HAVE LEFT THE EU,
And to those that say the vote was democracy - I say “B*llocks” it was a 🇷🇺/fascist backed lie.

Such a great actor who appeared in many memorable roles. Boo Radley in to kill a mocking bird. Tom Hayden in the God Father. Also in Lonesome Dove and so many more.

In case you missed it ...
Here's the polling guru Sir John Curtice explaining how anti-Brexit and pro-EU British voters have become.
#RejoinEU 🇬🇧🇪🇺

👏 "In defence and economics, Britain’s interests lie in closer cooperation with its neighbours."

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/editorials/keir-starmer-munich-europe-putin-trump-b2920478.html

BREAKING: Donald Trump has reportedly been fuming all weekend over how everyone keeps calling his administration the “Epstein Administration.”

Cheers, Chris Mason is crying now

I think we are going to have a Democratic-controlled Senate.

And all we will need for the leadership of that Democratic Senate to do is hold actual, real, impeachment trials.

As the Constitution requires.

Not the bullshit fake trials like the ones that the Senate held in 2020 and 2021...

I think Zelinsky is more clever than you give him credit for. It would be unwise to underestimate him. He is not setting up Ukraine for failure he is setting up Trump to to be confronted with his own idiocy in trusting Putin to do anything towards peace. Zelensky is playing the long game.

I’d go further and say that he will NOT give up the land but is just buying time with Trump. Time is Putins and Trumps worst enemy. Russia is collapsing as the days tick by, and the November midterms will take up more and more of Trumps/Bannons focus.

Europe Is Now in Position to Replace U.S. Intelligence Support Within months, if required

Europe Is Now in Position to Replace U.S. Intelligence Support
open.substack.com/pub/shankarn...

The UK was declared measles free in 2017.

Vaccine programs completely eliminated it.

Since then, pro sickness conspiracy theorists and anti science idiots have enabled its return.

The heads of Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla all joined Trump at his inauguration.

Since then, largely thanks to Trump's Big Ugly Bill, their companies have reaped $51B in federal tax breaks — paid for by huge cuts to our social safety net.

This is what oligarchy looks like.

Navalny Was Poisoned With Frog Toxin, European Governments Say

Navalny was most likely killed by a poison drawn from toxin found in a South American frog not natural to Russia, European governments conclude, debunking Moscow's story that he died in prison of natural causes. @lynseychutel.bsky.social Anton Troianovski www.nytimes.com/2026/02/14/w...

The words from the precious and unique Navalny, said-- "We must do what they fear-- tell the truth, spread the truth. Thus is the most powerful weapon against this regime of liars, thieves, and hypocrites. Everyone has this weapon. So make use of it." Alexei Navalny, deceased activist from Russia-- who fought Directly against Putin. Navalny knew the Value of speaking truth.

As the precious and unique Navalny, his words taught us.....
#truth #speakTruth #Navalny

Five European nations have determined that Russia poisoned Alexei Navalny.

This was a cowardly act from a frightened leader.

Russia has long acted as a terrorist state, relying on terrorist methods.

Poisoning political opponents.
Silencing journalists.
Invading peaceful neighbors.

This is the true face of Russia today.

We honor the memory of Alexei Navalny and of all those whom Putin’s Russia has violently silenced over the years

Russia used poison from a tropical frog to kill opposition leader Alexey Navalny in prison, say five European nations.
https://cnn.it/4kBC2c8

Russia killed opposition leader Alexei Navalny using toxin from dart frog, UK says There is no innocent explanation for the toxin being found in samples taken from Navalny's body, Foreign Office says.

Russia killed opposition leader Alexei Navalny using toxin from dart frog, UK says

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Russia killed Alexei Navalny with frog toxin, UK and allies say Former opposition leader’s death while in Arctic jail at age of 47 result of mixture of diseases, according to Moscow The Foreign Office has blamed the Russian state for the death of opposition leader Alexei Navalny, which it said was the result of poisoning from a dart containing frog toxin. The frog poison – called epibatidine – is said to have been used when Navalny, 47, died suddenly on 16 February 2024. Continue reading...

Russia killed Alexei Navalny with frog toxin, UK and allies say

What a murderous evil man Putin is. The man that Farage admires. Putin the murderer, the man Trump admires or fears.

The Russian regime must be held accountable for the cold blooded murder of political prison prisoner.

In the meantime, we must reject and condemn his appeasers

We all know why Farage is making these wildly misleading and completely inaccurate claims - I know it and in your hearts you know it too - so however you decide to vote in this by- election please don't be taken in by the politics of division offered by Reform

These charts show how Trump is isolating the US on the world stage Analysis shows that the world is moving closer to China, as Trump’s isolationism rears its head at the United Nations

Key allies are moving away from the US.

The Brexiteers' promise of a close relationship with the US never materialised - and left us isolated.

We need closer relations with the EU.

‘Handmaid’s Tale future’: Reform’s Matt Goodwin sparks outcry with fertility comments Byelection candidate accused of indulging ‘alt right fantasy’ by suggesting women need ‘biological reality’ check

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

This is beyond horrifying. I am extremely worried (understatement) about this person with his terrible politics squeezing through in the D and G byelection.