@patricksecon.bsky.social
Assistant Professor @ Imperial Business School, formerly LSE & Bank of England Macroeconomist interested in distributional effects of macro policy. patrickmschneider.com
Sahara desert also
14.12.2025 00:31 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This is a feature of pretty much any technology that reduces the cost of doing x -> lowers the expertise threshold to participate; for another example see Lime Bikes
06.12.2025 11:12 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Such a perfect dinner companion too RIP
21.11.2025 19:46 β π 11 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Iβd love to see this chart too if you can share
19.11.2025 06:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Also a reminder that βjoined up governmentβ sometimes means things like the Home Office giving dubious travel data to HMRC, so you just get βjoined up dysfunctionβ
30.10.2025 07:56 β π 66 π 7 π¬ 1 π 0Jaw-dropping reporting by Haaretz www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
27.06.2025 10:29 β π 2144 π 1198 π¬ 86 π 141AI is getting to be as smart as a PhD - the kind of PhD who would fabricate all the data for a research paper on the impact of AI.
amandaguinzburg.substack.com/p/diabolus-e...
As I note here, really zero reason to believe Elon is stepping away from anything. This is all a crisis comms campaign. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/dont-...
30.05.2025 19:08 β π 1389 π 352 π¬ 51 π 21The tragic landslide in Blatten gives me the excuse to tell you the story of how we found out Ice Ages existed. It's a cool story and the most important bit is rather similar to what's happening now.
29.05.2025 19:49 β π 956 π 416 π¬ 26 π 97You should team up with Matt Levine: everything is either a bank or securities fraud (and why not both?)
27.05.2025 21:51 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0One of the central points in Platoβs Republic, isnβt it?
27.05.2025 11:32 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0The real problem with the Supreme Courtβs expected Fed carve out is not that it lacks a principle but that the real principle isnβt articulated. The reason it will carve out the Fed is functional but it wonβt say that. And its jurisprudence doesnβt leave room to ventilate the functional arg.(1/8)
24.05.2025 11:18 β π 879 π 177 π¬ 29 π 12A man named Elias Rodriguez just shot dead two Israeli embassy staffers at a Jewish museum in DC, shouting βfree Palestine!β
An awful, criminal act that puts Israel back in a victim position. Iβve never seen a just cause attract such a high % of counterproductive βallies.β π§΅
Sigmund Freudβs βpsychologyβ is still getting parents in hot water
21.05.2025 11:25 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0In this paper my coauthor and I find you canβt rationalise mandatory contributions and tax concessions as an optimal policy *unless* the concessions solve a political problem (in our paper, theyβre necessary to get new workers to opt into the system)
tinyurl.com/mr8y9ph9
Why? As OP notes you canβt give the whole of society a tax break. Concessions on retirement contributions just mean higher taxes on something else -> optimal choice depends on the marginal social impact of each of these two taxes
17.05.2025 05:34 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Correct take. If itβs good to force people to save for retirement, we donβt need to also compensate with tax breaks.
This is true even if weβre only trying to force some people to save (eg because they have present bias)
My god. What an abomination. www.nbcnews.com/politics/nat...
16.05.2025 21:16 β π 654 π 239 π¬ 39 π 33Thatβs a remarkable level of hubris if so. The UKβs sluggish productivity growth was the main economic issue before being eclipsed (in the news) by Brexit and Covid
16.05.2025 11:08 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Which is stunning, given how their campaign promises all hinged on those unplanned policies getting growth going again
16.05.2025 10:33 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0The ISA landscape is so confused.
Exhibit 2: one of the main types of ISA is called βStocks and Shares ISAβ. Two words for the same security.
The ISA landscape is so confused.
Exhibit 1: you can keep funds in cash within a stocks and shares ISA. Removing the Cash ISA would just preference one type of institution over another (banks).
on.ft.com/4mjY2ZI UK ministers consider cutting tax-free cash Isa allowance
yeah on second glance I was wrong - the surpluses of the other countries add up to more than the UK and US deficits, so your OP was the right interpretation; apologies
14.05.2025 09:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The USβs deficit is the bit thatβs unexplained by the bars in the graph
14.05.2025 06:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Can confirm from my own experience - we always put my name first, but the doctor & school always call my wife first.
From the abstract: "Our findings underscore a process through which agents outside the household contribute to within-household gender inequalities." Indeed.
New NBER WP by @kbuzard7.bsky.social @laurakgee.bsky.social and @olgastoddard.bsky.social finds mums are 1.4x more likely than dads to get a callback from schools, despite no request for the skew.
12.05.2025 10:50 β π 5 π 3 π¬ 1 π 1This Labour governmentβs apparently policy in office is to somehow improve growth/productivity while attempting to force a larger share of the overall workforce into lower value add employment and undermining profit centres. Itβs definitively an unconventional approach!
11.05.2025 17:59 β π 230 π 62 π¬ 6 π 4This would *add* an inflationary bias into the optimal policy rule. The fed has no control over tax and spend, but the denominator and numerator act differently when thereβs inflation inflation soβ¦
09.05.2025 09:03 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0