π’ Save the date: Wie kΓΆnnen Europas Haushalte zukunftsfΓ€hig und krisenresistent gestaltet werden? #ZEW Lunch Debate am 13. November 2025 in BrΓΌssel mit Zsolt Darvas @bruegel.org, @bmarzi.bsky.social, Andreas Schwarz @ec.europa.eu sowie ZEW-Γkonom Friedrich Heinemann.
www.zew.de/VA4720-1/?tw...
29.10.2025 13:49 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
The China consumption shock!
24.04.2025 12:46 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Modeling a US-EU trade war: Tariffs won't improve US global trade balance
America could narrow its merchandise trade deficit with EU countries by imposing tariffs on them, but at a cost of higher inflation and lower GDP than otherwise for the US and nearly all the other EU ...
Our modelling of 25% tariffs on the EU shows that such tariffs would backfire on the US, pushing up prices & slowing economic growth. Thatβs before likely EU retaliation.
And it would likely have little impact on the global US trade deficit.
26.03.2025 19:38 β π 28 π 12 π¬ 2 π 0
The literature on the economic origins of political radicalism revolves largely around the βChina shockβ. Yet, trade not only causes shifts in the labour market but can also affect living standards via the expenditure channel. This column shows that the relative consumption loss of the European middle classes, who benefit less than low-income consumers from cheap imports from China, and the associated perceived risk of societal decline can explain the large success of right-wing political radicalism in the last three decades, above and beyond standard effects on the supply side.
Post- #China shock relative consumption loss of the European middle classes and the associated perceived risk of societal decline can explain the large success of #right-wing political radicalism in the last three decades.
@bmarzi.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
26.02.2025 09:25 β π 6 π 5 π¬ 0 π 2
π
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
11.02.2025 17:58 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
Unique opportunity!!!
25.11.2024 14:35 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
A new stylized fact about firm growth: The shift from labor to intermediate inputs reflects high substitution elasticity and monopsony and pushes down the labor share, from Matthias Mertens and Benjamin Schoefer https://www.nber.org/papers/w33172
24.11.2024 16:00 β π 11 π 6 π¬ 1 π 0
ZEW β Leibniz-Zentrum fΓΌr EuropΓ€ische Wirtschaftsforschung Β· GF: Achim Wambach, Claudia von Schuttenbach Β· Impressum: http://zew.de/impressum
Professor of Political Science & Public Affairs & Director of European Studies, University of Wisconsin - Madison. International political economy, international relations, & international finance. πΊπΈ & πͺπΊ politics & economic policy. Tradeoffs in everything.
PhD candidate in the history of finance at Princeton. Working on early-modern Atlantic currencies. Writing a trade-press history of the dollar and a dissertation about the guinea. I used to be a journalist. I used to be a lot of things.
Senior fellow at Bruegel and at Corvinus University of Budapest
https://www.darvas.online/
International macroeconomist. I specialize in exchange rates, trade balances, monetary policy, and inflation.
Leading international journal dedicated to the systematic exploration of IPE from a plurality of perspectives.
The European Central Bank is the central bank for Europeβs single currency, the euro. Its main task is to maintain the euroβs purchasing power.
Director πͺπΊ, Bertelsmann Stiftung, Berlin
Ex-BMWK, Jacques Delors Centre, ECB
Official account for the College of Europe, Bruges campus #alifechangingexperience
Assistant Professor LSE European Institute | Programme Director LSE-Bocconi 2xDegree | Non-resident Fellow Institute for European Policymaking Bocconi University #PoliticalEconomy #LabourMarkets #Migration
http://www.lse.ac.uk/european-institute/people/
European economics editor @TheEconomist. London via Berlin, Stockholm and Cologne. Have no plans to write a book.
Director, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Nonresident Scholar, Carnegie Europe, Co-editor Government & Opposition. Re-post β endorsement.
The European University Institute (EUI) is an international organisation and a university dedicated to research and higher learning in social sciences and humanities.
Connecting minds, π΄π©π’π±πͺπ―π¨ π§πΆπ΅πΆπ³π¦π΄.
International hub of high quality research and reflection on the European Union.
More at π europeangovernanceandpolitics.eui.eu/.
Part of the @eui-schuman.bsky.social, @eui-eu.bsky.social.
Acting Co-Director of Jacques Delors Centre at the Hertie School Berlin| think-tanking on European economic policy | wwww.delorscentre.eu | www.nilsredeker.net
Institute Professor, MIT Economics. Co-Director of @mitshapingwork.bsky.social. Author of Why Nations Fail, The Narrow Corridor, and Power & Progress.
Director Istituto Affari Internazionali, Adjunct Professor European University Institute, Honorary Professor, University of TΓΌbingen. Views my own
