@engelcap.bsky.social
Chief Economist, ECB & Fed watcher, Engel Capital, London, UK systematic macro quants. RT≠Endorsement. For expert commentaries, professional enquiries -> Direct DM
Your P(L)OT-US has lost the plot
28.09.2025 11:59 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Another #Fed Cook amicus brief from distinguished economics and law professors. It reads like a Fed Jackson Hole invitation list: Judith Chevalier, John Coates, Darrell Duffie, Claudia Goldin, Jeffrey Gordon, Oliver Hart, Simon Johnson, Kathryn Judge, 1/2
25.09.2025 20:19 — 👍 22 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 1This is thinly disguised homophobia by Farage.
The same far-right figures who have spent years coming for my trans friends & colleagues are emboldened again against anything different from their "normal."
Today and everyday I stand with the whole LGBTQIA+ community.
Your struggle is my struggle.
Their waists and hands were tied together, forcing them to bend down and lick water to drink. The unscreened bathrooms contained only a single sheet to cover their lower bodies. Sunlight barely penetrated through a fist-sized hole, and they were only allowed access to the small yard for two hours. Detained by US immigration authorities for eight days, the workers and their families expressed shock, describing human rights violations and absurdities they could not have imagined as ordinary Koreans living in 2025.
korean reporting is nightmarish on the conditions Korean workers were contained in
14.09.2025 18:06 — 👍 25186 🔁 10261 💬 92 📌 1353
All hail VICTOR!!! He's a real-life hero whose selflessness & courage is an inspiration to us all.
Wishing you a complete & speedy recovery.
I salute you, sir! 🫡
Important words from an honorable statistician who suffered for his government's meddling.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
Nice switching on to watch you, we’re converging a lot on our respective opinions over the Fed’s policy stance in the course of the next few months anchored towards more policy neutralising given more pronounced slack effects on the supply front of the Us economy ca late ‘25
25.07.2025 12:47 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0So much to unpack and scrumptious amount of food for thought 👏🏻👏🏻
23.07.2025 18:12 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Major props to @ernietedeschi.bsky.social and his dinosaur on @bloombergtv.bsky.social just now. (Oh, and the economic analysis was good, too).
01.07.2025 17:53 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0🔵 Watch live: the #ECBForum policy panel with:
🔹President Christine Lagarde
🔹Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
🔹US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
🔹Bank of Korea Governor Chang Yong Rhee
🔹Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
europa.eu/!9F4cq3
#BoJ forced to slow down its tapering to support #JGB market may delay the rate hike further
aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...
The whole world
12.06.2025 19:41 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Are we great yet?
03.06.2025 18:59 — 👍 19375 🔁 6110 💬 3099 📌 1083You’ve left out Greece and the Southern Aegean
29.05.2025 15:21 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Why are you still considered a first world country ?
15.05.2025 15:58 — 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Hell to the Yeah, to be more precise
13.05.2025 22:36 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0New Dynare working paper by Stéphane Adjemian and Michel Juillard, which describes and evaluates the stochastic extended path method implemented in Dynare
www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...
I was deeply honored to meet President Zelensky via Zoom when he asked me to become an ambassador for UNITED24 to raise funds for surveillance drones. I'm proud to have walked this road with @u24.gov.ua to support the sovereign nation of 🇺🇦 & so grateful to all who have donated! 🙏❤️👍
#SlavaUkraine
Recession negative gdp
30.04.2025 12:31 — 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0Conference board expectations index plummeted to 54.4
All eight states and the us are likely now in recession
This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP
Opening the week in #Asia for @BloombergTV with comments on #Fed, #Mar-a-Lago #Accord, #China and #trade war. Trump blinking first, in my view!.
www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...
The 4th Dynare Workshop for Advanced Users will take place in person from 17-19 September 2025 at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (Italy).
It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare.
www.dynare.org/events/dynar...
In case you missed it..
15.03.2025 12:18 — 👍 10 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0Good news for researchers - don't miss out!
We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...
W
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I cannot agree, as economists we never said that there will be a recession under Biden, a premise I professionally refuted. Many amongst us predicted a probability of a recession due to the monetary policy tightening by the Fed in its combat to bring inflation down to its 2% target, eg soft landing
10.03.2025 17:14 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0We’re talking about rookie amateurs with the worst kind of economic vandalism fetish. As if the US were a developing economy to require such a “rebalancing” cocktail; as they are well now declining into one, they aren’t even worth their credit rating as it currently stands. When you know, you know
10.03.2025 13:57 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The Heritage Foundation is now planning to destroy the EU - with the help of Polish and Hungarian partners
vsquare.org/heritage-fou...
Mes réflexions pour Les Echo Investir : "J'interprète cela comme 'nous avons besoin de baisser les prix mais nous allons continuer d'exporter dans cet environnement déflationniste car la #Chine se doit d'exporter peu importe les droits de douane en place'. "
investir.lesechos.fr/marches-indi...
Trump/Vance’s move away from Ukraine is not just revisionism.
It is something more insidious—a calculated reprogramming of the public mind, where virtue is punished, loyalty is submission, and the greatest sin is defying the leader’s chosen reality.
Reminds me of Silvio Berlusconi
