👍 @joshpasek.com deserves an extraordinary amount of credit and gratitude!

There's going to be a lot of focus on the topline -- that polling was more accurate than in 2016 and 2020 but still biased towards Dems on average by 2.7 pp -- but I want to highlight some of the other findings I found most interesting

❤️

if your response to this - a basic statement of sympathy about an attack on a synagogue - is to bring up Israel, please delete your account

i've been having this same thought too. i checked the Roper iPoll archives last week and not 1 single poll even mentioned his name, which is a pretty big sign in and of itself.

Today i learned that most of my friends (aka. educated adults who are neither political scientists nor political journalists) have no idea who Charlie Kirk is.

I'm horrified to hear that Charlie Kirk was shot at an event in Utah.

Democratic societies will always have political disagreements, but we must never allow America to become a country that confronts those disagreements with violence.

Mark and I are praying for Charlie's recovery.

more likely because middle school and high school each encompass fewer grades than elementary school does. smaller overall population.

the Census switched to this model somewhat recently i thought 2010 but maybe it was 2020) because it was seen as a more inclusive way to categorize race

the US Census has been asking for country of origin under racial group since i think 2010

accountant?

join our revolution! [insert arrested development "there are dozens of us!" meme here]

and, i swear, extremely easy. there has not been 1 second over the last 10 years when either of us have wished we had a smartphone.

mostly here to +1 your smartphone ban. my husband + I got rid of our smartphones when i was pregnant w. our first kid (10+ years ago). no smartphones around kids is a great life choice!

i'm no journalist but this feels like a grossly inappropriate combination of headlines

for me, it was Boyhood losing to Birdman. i'll never get over it.