Magnus Öberg

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

What drives differences between the conflict events datasets UCDP and ACLED? Contrary to previous claims, @magnusoberg.bsky.social and Mert Can Yilmaz find most differences are due to auxiliary coding rules and standards for source evaluation, not sourcing strategies or inclusion thresholds.

… we show that most of the differences are due to auxiliary coding rules, standards for source evaluation and misrepresentations of UCDP data in the Raleigh et al article (4/4)

… and how strategies for dealing with uncertainty and ambiguity impact the data. Contrary to Raleigh et al claims, the differences between ACLED and UCDP are not primarily due to differences in sourcing or inclusion thresholds. Analyzing the same cases … (3/4)

In the article, we investigate their claims about what drives differences between UCDP and ACLED. In the process we address some general issues arising in event data collection, including the importance of stable definitions, how demands on sourcing varies with the type of data collected, … (2/4)

My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...

People who sent that GIF might be thinking of the norm against territorial conquest, now questioned or violated by the three militarily most powerful states in the system. It is, in my view, a more fundamental norm.

Bild av Magnus Öberg & erik Melander i Almedalen som presenterar utvecklingen av organiserat våld i världen

Presenterade den dystra omvärldsutvecklingen, de ökande konfliktnivåerna med data från Uppsala konfliktdataprogram @ucdp.bsky.social , och diskuterade framtidsutsikter med @erikmelander.bsky.social i Almedalen. #Almedalen

Organized violence 1989–2024, and the challenges of identifying civilian victims - Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg, Magnus Öberg, 2025 This article examines global trends in organized violence based on new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). In 2024, the number of state-based ar...

Since 2010, the number of conflicts involving states has almost doubled, and the total number of deaths has increased five-fold. Read more about the new UCDP data in this @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social open access article:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Message and screenshot of the www.usip.org homepage, featuring a photo of the USIP headquarters building.

👋 Hello, we're the United States Institute of Peace (USIP)! We are very happy to join @bsky.app, and thrilled to announce that our website, www.usip.org, is back online! We look forward connecting here and bringing you useful content, resources and opportunities for peacebuilders around the world.

Rapport: Svårare att avgöra om dödsoffer är civila eller stridande Det har blivit allt svårare att avgöra om dödsfall i konflikter är civila eller stridande, visar en ny rapport.

www.dn.se/varlden/rapp...

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

The full analysis by Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg and @magnusoberg.bsky.social (all @uupeace.bsky.social) is open access in Journal of Peace Research – read it here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

UCDP: Sharp increase in conflicts and wars The number of armed conflicts in the world reached a historic high in 2024. This is shown by new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) at Uppsala University. Despite a marginal decrease i...

New data from UCDP shows the highest number of active conflicts ever recorded, press release found here: www.eurekalert.org/news-release...

Right now at the #DemscoreConference:
Final panel - How to deal with uncertainty in #conflict data collection and forecasting?
@uupeace.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social
@viewsforecasting.org‬‬‬ @uupeace.bsky.social ‬

#SocialScience #Polisky #PoliSciSky #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky
🧵1(3)

#DemscoreConference Panel 3: Measurements, Methods, & Infrastructures
@paulbederke.bsky.social, @magnusoberg.bsky.social, & Melina Liethmann (@demscore.bsky.social) discuss current problems and solutions for data merging, with examples from #PartyFacts, #UppsalaConflictDataProgram, and #Demscore
1/2

Supporting Our International Students and Scholars We have just filed a complaint and a motion for a temporary restraining order will follow. As we pursue legal remedies, we will do everything in our power to support our students and scholars. We have...

My institution will not concede to the lawless and unwarranted retaliation of the Trump administration. In addition to terrorizing our students, this is just the latest in a string of actions meant to destroy Harvard and reshape all of US higher ed in Trump's image. www.harvard.edu/president/ne...

🎉Congratulations on completing your #Master’sThesis!
Did you use data from at least two of DEMSCORE's partnering modules?
🏆 Submit your paper for the DEMSCORE Best Master Thesis Award!
📆 Deadline: May 25
See www.demscore.se/events/demsc...

#polisky #PoliticalScienceData #PoliSciSky #SocialScience

Ukrainians know what they’re defending—it’s not just land.

It’s their kids, their families, their communities.

The dividends of peacekeeping may extend to improved local economic development in post-conflict societies, our new research in @bjpols.bsky.social shows 👇

Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."

🕊️The thematic dataset on #Peace is an essential resource for those interested in analyzing the dynamics of peacebuilding, conflict prevention, and the mechanisms that sustain societal harmony.

Learn more: www.demscore.se/data/themati...
4(4)

🩺The thematic dataset on #Health is an essential tool for exploring how health systems function, the impact of public health interventions, and the broader societal implications of health and wellness.

Learn more: www.demscore.se/data/themati...
3(4)

💹 The #EconomicDevelopment thematic dataset is a valuable resource for researchers, policymakers, & practitioners interested in analyzing the drivers, patterns, & impacts of economic growth and development worldwide.

Learn more: www.demscore.se/data/themati...
2(4)

#Demscore version 5 offers three new thematic datasets on #EconomicDevelopment, #Health, and #Peace respectively.

Explore all Demscore thematic datasets at www.demscore.se/data/themati...

More in 🧵1(4)
#PoliticalScienceData #Polisky #SocialScienceData #PoliSciSky #SocialScience

Misinformation, Narratives, and Intergroup Attitudes: Evidence from India | The Journal of Politics: Vol 87, No 2 Much research examines citizens’ beliefs in misinformation and whether these beliefs can be corrected, but we know far less about how misinformation impacts social attitudes. We propose that misinform...

My article with @hannefjelde.bsky.social & U Daxecker is now published in V87(2) of @thejop.bsky.social. Here is 🧵summarizing our findings:

We argue that misinformation can induce affective shifts that increase out-group animosity and fuel polarization.

doi.org/10.1086/732979

The Ethnic One-Sided Violence Dataset is an actor-year dataset with information on the ethnic identity of civilian victims of direct and deliberate killings by state and non-state actors from 1989 to 2013.

www.demscore.se/data/static-...
4(4)

@qoginstitute.bsky.social
@vdeminstitute.bsky.social

The Deadly Electoral Conflict dataset (DECO) is a global, geo-referenced event dataset, based on UCDP data, identifying electoral violence with lethal outcomes from 1989 to 2017.

www.demscore.se/data/static-...
3(4)

@prioresearch.bsky.social
@medem.bsky.social

The Cities and Armed Conflict Events dataset is an extension of UCDP-GED, Which covers individual events of organized violence. The CACE extension provides a systematic coding of whether these armed conflict events took place in cities.
www.demscore.se/data/static-...
2(4)
@magnusoberg.bsky.social

DEMSCORE version 5.0 includes additional datasets from UCDP: The Cities and Armed Conflict Events (CACE), Deadly Electoral Conflict dataset (DECO), and the Ethnic One-Sided Violence (EOSV) Dataset.
Explore at www.demscore.se/data/

@ucdp.bsky.social
#Polisky #PoliSciData #SocialScienceData
🧵1(4)

#Demscore version 5.0 includes 161 datasets with 25,299 unique variables.
Among these are the updated #REPDEM Basic datasets, providing detailed information on #governments and #PoliticalParties in 33 parliamentary democracies from 1945 until December 2024.
#Polisky #poltheory #PoliSkyData
🧵1(2)

Läste en rapport, ringde ett samtal, skrev en bit om demokrati