Really hoping we can wringe a good wetting rain out of this. I’m not overly optimistic about the remainder of the wet season
20.11.2024 18:42 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Snapshot from GOES satellite of bomb cyclone and atmospheric river over northeastern Pacific today.
Remarkable view of #BombCyclone west of Oregon & Washington and associated #AtmosphericRiver west of California this PM. Fortunately, the strongest winds will remain well offshore, but very heavy rainfall is likely across portions of northern CA into weekend. #CAwx #ORwx #WAwx
19.11.2024 23:46 — 👍 299 🔁 76 💬 9 📌 12
‼️ SoCal rain ⁉️
Confidence is increasing that Southern California will see it's first notable rain (atmospheric river??) of the wet season early next week. A frontal boundary will provide lift to tap into ample moisture aloft. Deep warm cloud processes will result in efficient rain rates. #cawx
20.11.2024 18:37 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
You’re the man, thank you! Glad they are moving to a new core for RRFSv2, it has been clear RRFSv1 is not fit for operational use (yet)
25.10.2024 14:11 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Any word on what will replace the RAP?
25.10.2024 13:26 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
For more information: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
Data available at: wiki.iri.columbia.edu/index.php?n=...
23.10.2024 18:45 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Fire Index Ratings per regime. Pacific Ridge is WR4. Note the increased fire potential across SoCal.
Feast or Famine in SoCal with the upcoming Pacific Ridge weather regime. This pattern tends to promote inside sliders which are often on the drier side for California. Surface high pressure behind these systems can create #SantaAna & #Diablo winds.
Monitoring for now. #cawx
23.10.2024 18:43 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I’m starting to wonder if that trough is a smoke screen for the one after it… EC/AIFS/CMC all suggesting that.
That being said the GFS has been king recently and it shows nothing of the sort.
22.10.2024 19:55 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Supercell & tornado over Wenworth, NC, May 6 2022
Tornado near Blacksburg, VA, 2021
San Diego Aurora show, May 2024
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I originally studied and storm chased in the Mid-Atlantic. Look forward to weather analysis, occasional chasing, and subseasonal musings here!
21.10.2024 20:20 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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