Dr Andreas Krieg

Die Hungersnot und ihre Profiteure Gaza ist eine Hölle, bevölkert von „wandelnden Leichen“, sagt das UN-Hilfswerk. Kinder verhungern. Menschen werden bei der Suche nach Essen erschossen. Doch das Elend bringt auch Gewinner hervor: Ein ...

"Es fehlt beiden Seiten am politischen Interesse, den Krieg zu beenden”, sagt der Nahostexperte @andreaskrieg.bsky.social vom King’s College London. „Alles hängt von Trump ab – doch der agiert unentschlossen"
www.focusplus.de/politik/hung...

I thought I'd be happier at the "we are finally noticing" stage of things.

Decades of AIPAC, Labour building their whole ideology around being pro Israel, Alg*meiner being pushed on Facebook to impressionable centrists, Shai Masot, the courting of the far right.

Only took genocide to get to here.

Israel’s Ministry of Subversion How Israel mirrors Russia's and China's information warfare playbook

Israel’s Diaspora Ministry is running a Russia-style info war on Europe’s democracies building networks of 'useful idiots' to shield its actions in Gaza and West Bank from accountability

Time to list Israel's Ministry of #Subversion as a threat

www.andreaskrieg.com/post/israel-...

"Rising desperation among the population could force [Hamas] to accept an interim deal to alleviate suffering."

- Dr Andreas Krieg on what Gaza's humanitarian crisis could mean for a truce 👇

🔗 newscentral.africa/gaza-truce-t...

@andreaskrieg.bsky.social

#GazaCrisis #CeasefireTalks

"What is on the table now is effectively just another prisoner swap deal, not a real ceasefire deal,” @andreaskrieg.bsky.social said.
www.arabnews.com/node/2609137...

YouTube video by Dr Andreas Krieg "#Israel is actively trying to undermine #Syria's consensus-building effort"

"Israel has an interest in keeping Syria in a state of limbo, undermining Al Sharaa's consensus-building effort. For them Al Sharaa as the mayor of Damascus is preferable to a prosperous Syria right on its border with a military that down the line could pose a threat"
youtu.be/4jrvXTj9whE

Israel’s Trojan Horse: The Druze and the Weaponization of Minority Solidarity Since the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, Israel has launched a full-spectrum influence campaign across southern Syria, cloaked in the language of humanitarian intervention. Under the guise...

@andreaskrieg.bsky.social: "But this is no innocent protection mission. It is a textbook case of subversion: a weaponized narrative campaign, calibrated to mobilize one community’s trauma and historical alliances ..

www.andreaskrieg.com/post/israel-...

Israel’s Trojan Horse: The Druze and the Weaponization of Minority Solidarity Since the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, Israel has launched a full-spectrum influence campaign across southern Syria, cloaked in the language of humanitarian intervention. Under the guise...

#Israel's Trojan Horse: The #Druze and the weaponization of minority solidarity

✍️I am looking at how Israel since December 2024 has been orchestrating information campaigns to exploit Druze grievances to legitimate IDF landgrabs in #Syria
www.andreaskrieg.com/post/israel-...

Syria’s future tied to Israel peace deal as billions in investment set to arrive Gulf Arab, Turkish and Western firms have pledged to invest in Syria to rebuild the war-torn country.

"With #Iran’s Axis of Resistance “dismantled, Western and #Gulf nations see a historic opportunity to reshape the Levant”@andreaskrieg.bsky.social said. Their investments “aim to cement a post-#Assad order that decisively excludes Tehran and curtails Russian leverage"
www.scmp.com/week-asia/po...

Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ A US-backed scheme forces hungry Palestinians to trek kilometres for food aid. Many never make it back

Huge kudos to @data.ft.com for putting together this forensic mapping of the utter vileness of the Israel-US "Gaza Humanitarian Foundation"

Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ www.ft.com/content/6c74... via @data.ft.com

YouTube video by Dr Andreas Krieg Is It All Over for Hezbollah? I Times Explains

Happy to contribute to this 11 minute @thetimes.com explainer about #Hezbollah's potential ability to rebound after #Israel's degradation in 2024

youtu.be/qyW-KSnp7xo?...

Iran Can Already Build a Dirty Bomb A bomb with uranium would be easy enough for Tehran to make—but may not make sense to use.

" @andreaskrieg.bsky.social a senior lecturer at King’s College London’s School of Security Studies, said that if Iran were to build and deploy a dirty bomb, it would amount to “strategic suicide.”
foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/08/i...

The Limits of Israel’s Degradation Strategy Against Iran’s Network State Iran's system is not a command-and-control state but a strategic web that is hard to map, harder to break, and built for survival.

✍️My new piece looks at #Iran as a 'network-state' relying on dispersed and heterarchical power centres/authority structure that is difficult to degrade

While #Israel was able to shock and paralyze the system in the first 24hrs, the network bounced back
www.e-ir.info/2025/07/05/t...

What do we know about the latest push for a Gaza truce? US President Donald Trump this week urged the Palestinian militant group Hamas to seize the opportunity for a 60-day truce in Gaza, saying Israel had agreed to the proposal.

"#Netanyahu is seen as having 'won' the war against Iran, his popularity is on the rise again across Israel, there is growing pressure from the military leadership to find an off-ramp in Gaza," @andreaskrieg.bsky.social said.
www.france24.com/en/live-news...

This is also the point where I would tell people if they want to know more about surrogate violence to go read @andreaskrieg.bsky.social work and book on the subject.

Diplomacy or a bomb? The future of Iran’s nuclear program The Israeli-US war has raised questions about what is left of Iran’s nuclear program, and whether Tehran will now race for a bomb or re-engage in diplomacy

" @andreaskrieg.bsky.social said efforts by Qatar and US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff are laying the groundwork for renewed talks. Iran may return to negotiations if post-war conditions include security guarantees, economic relief, and an expanded regional role"
www.newarab.com/analysis/dip...

Le Qatar, médiateur « sacrificiel » de la guerre entre Israël et l’Iran Le Qatar joue un rôle de médiateur

"En permettant à l'Iran de sauver la face par un geste de
représailles à faible impact, le Qatar a contribué à désamorcer les risques d'un conflit plus large, commente
@andreaskrieg.bsky.social , professeur au King’s College de Londres"
www.lorientlejour.com/article/1466...

Iran could still build a dirty bomb - but it would spell disaster for the regime Building a radiological dispersal device would be 'strategic suicide' for Tehran

“A dirty bomb’s traceability removes plausible deniability, a cornerstone of Iran’s asymmetric strategy. Thus, the weapon is theoretically possible but practically unusable,”
@andreaskrieg.bsky.social said. “Using a dirty bomb would be strategic suicide for #Iran”
inews.co.uk/news/world/i...

Iran's military strength is a fraction of Israel's. Tehran still has 3 key cards it can play if the ceasefire falls apart. Iran retains several strategic options should the fragile ceasefire with Israel, first announced by President Donald Trump, collapse. None are good.

"In practice, the ceasefire has mostly existed on social media, with each side using digital platforms to declare restraint while continuing activities that fall short of open warfare,
@andreaskrieg.bsky.social said"
www.businessinsider.com/iran-israel-...

"The Iranians don't want to escalate this further than they need to, as in they don't want to get the US involved in an all out, long lasting, protracted conflict...They want to keep this within certain boundaries...after all, the number one priority is regime security and regime survival."

Western leaders call for diplomacy, but they won’t stop this war – they refuse to even name its cause | Nesrine Malik The political centre sees the US and Israel’s war on Iran as a crisis to be managed, while the gap between their detached politics and bloody rhetoric widens, says Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik

“Iran is a country which, in the eyes of a liberal establishment, is never fully sovereign because it has diverged from western interests…Israel, on the other hand, is a super sovereign, and never culpable.” As always, brilliant from @nesrinemalik.bsky.social

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Outcome of Israel’s war with Iran is uncertain even if US joins conflict American involvement is not guaranteed to secure Israel’s objectives – and may lead to unintended consequences

“Another sceptic is @andreaskrieg.bsky.social: What we’re seeing is not a strategic approach but one that is operational using air power, and the operational approach is starting the consume the strategic one which should be about the political endgame. #Iran
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...

"TACO" Trump and War in Iran - Between Madman Theory and Madness As Trump enters a volatile phase of his second-term foreign policy, his erratic leadership style casts doubt on his ability to manage potential war in the Middle East. What resembles madman theory is,...

"One might mistake Trump's predictable unpredictability as a deliberate application of the madman theory – yet, without discipline and institutional accountability, it is just madness. Regional security is in the hands of a strategic procrastinator"

www.andreaskrieg.com/post/taco-tr...

“The assessment of what the Israeli intelligence says, we only have it filtered through the government, and the government obviously has an intention to say ‘they’re very close,’ to say this was a preemptive strike,” @andreas_krieg said.
thehill.com/policy/defen...

YouTube video by Dr Andreas Krieg "Trump's madman posture makes him a difficult negotiation partner"

"The #Trump administration is a one-man show and the Israelis having been actively working on him to swallow the false narrative that #Iran was days away from having a bomb, which contradicts US and 5 Eyes assessments"
youtu.be/dZhwKE98ySY

Israel attacks Iran: Will Gulf states lead or be left behind? The region is at a pivotal crossroads. If Gulf states do not seize this moment to exert strategic influence, they will be left cleaning up the ruins of the Middle East

✍️My take for @MiddleEastEye

Israel’s assault on Iran is an earthquake for the regional order. While Netanyahu is breaking the old order, Gulf states must choose: proactively shape the Middle East as architects or be left behind cleaning up the ruins
middleeasteye.net/opinion/isra...

Israeli air power reigns over Iran, but needs US for deeper impact Israel's command of Iranian air space leaves few obstacles in the way of its expanding bombardment, though it will struggle to deal a knock-out blow to deeply buried nuclear sites without the U.S. joining the attack, experts say.

@andreaskrieg.bsky.social said even the heaviest U.S. bunker-busting bombs might struggle to penetrate Iran's deepest sites - in the event President Trump decides to join the attack - suggesting special, commando-style forces might be needed on the ground"
www.reuters.com/business/aer...

What risks does Israel face by targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure?

“Without diplomatic closure, this war too may end with root causes unresolved, setting the stage for an even more dangerous future conflict.” - Dr @andreaskrieg.bsky.social

Read more:
bit.ly/4jQ8LIP

Israel’s Attack on Iran Is Reviving Regime Change Mania Israel can inflict massive damage on targets in Iran thanks to its US-supplied technological advantages. But the old neocon fantasy of building a new Middle East through endless war is still as delusi...

My extensive interview with @jacobinmagazin.bsky.social about regime change mania in the US and Israel over the war in #Iran
jacobin.com/2025/06/isra...

Visualizing Israeli airstrikes on Iran and retaliation in maps | CNN CNN is tracking where the attacks are happening and which Iranian nuclear facilities have been targeted.

New from CNN's graphics and OSINT teams: We visualized the fighting between Iran and Israel in a set of maps and annotated satellite images here: www.cnn.com/world/middle...