Jordan Leick

Congrats to the newly-elected board of @eastbankmpls.bsky.social, which represents far more residents than any other neighborhood org. After staying on board to help with the merger of neighborhood orgs, I’m grateful to these wonderful volunteers — the org is in (many) good hands!!

Thank you, I love the results!

Awesome!! What rough area of town, if you’re willing to share?

If it was East African kids from out of town bringing guns to Dinkytown and being part of a shooting homicide, are you arguing it’s wrong to say so publicly? Or is it the “not the poor kids who live in Minneapolis” part of his comments?

Closest park to Dinkytown. Also a small park, so “dinky” fits.

The park formerly known as Marcy is now officially Dinky Park! Thanks to neighbors who picked the new name, thanks to @eastbankmpls.bsky.social for leading the charge, and thanks to MPRB for approving the change.

Btw, working full-time at minimum wage in Minneapolis gets you >$30k/year. My apartment costs $10k/year. So at least in Minneapolis, that number doesn’t really make any sense unless the person is unemployed or retired, or maybe the sole provider for larger family that needs much more space?

Sorry, I didn’t mean to get away from my main point, that recent Minneapolis development helped keep housing costs down here. NYC hasn’t had that. Most of the US hasn’t had that. They should! I know that healthcare and childcare and transportation costs are super high. Extremely important to address

That’s a misuse of the word recession then: “a business cycle contraction that occurs when there is a broad decline in economic activity”. There has been no such decline, consumer spending is up since 2022.

Re Trump, ppl were mad about some prices up, even though their incomes were up even more.

Enabling the building of thousands of new units of student housing much closer to campus directly impacted demand for the units in my apartment complex.

Are you really arguing that we’ve been in a recession of the last 3 years? That’s undeniably false.

Cool! I feel like that’s exactly how it should work. People who want brand new nice apartments pay a premium, while budget options are available to those who want that instead.

In cities/areas where they don’t build new housing, more people have to compete for the old units, driving up those rents

Not many! 425? But the layout is ideal for a small studio. I have room for a queen bed, a large standing desk, my e-bike, a loveseat, 500+ vinyl records, a large closet, etc.

I just haven’t seen evidence that Minneapolis renter demand now is lower than it was in 2022. An incredible amount of housing has come online in the Dinkytown since then, so there’s probably less student demand for these older units 10-15 minutes farther (by bus) from campus.

Just got a rent renewal offer in Marcy-Holmes with zero increase in rent through Aug 2026. Adjusted for inflation, my rent will have *gone down* 8-10% in real terms vs 2022 when I moved in. $795 in 2022 vs $825 in 2026.

Grateful to everyone who has worked on housing abundance here over the years!

I was thinking about this as well!

Ward 3 changed quite a bit, even in addition to new construction. Dinkytown moved to Ward 2. In any case, the results of many elections (council, park board, mayor, county attorney, US house) are fairly consistent, and far more relevant than 2017 results.

Don’t forget about major redistricting after census though. Not valid to do Ward comparisons between 2017 and 2025

Ok but your previous post was 100% about candidates for this + next election — I think groups should aim to actually win elections! Pick candidates that are appropriate for the Ward.

The most first-choice votes Fateh got in any Ward 11 precinct was 24%. Whiting new hire to run to win there.

Constituencies of those wards are far more conservative/moderate. You can’t really run a DSA/progressive organizer there and win

Most of the rest of Killian’s thread seems reasonable.

I don’t see evidence to support this. Cashman/Burnett losses the biggest counterpoints. Progressive pickup in W8 would have happened regardless. Council already swung left w/o a mayoral race in 2023, now Park Board got their turn. 2021 had backlash to skyrocketing crime amidst Defund Police

But Mills also ran in 2023. He doesn’t really score any significant endorsements, even from groups who have strong reason to support a challenger to Rainville

Maybe! There were only 9 wards where I felt it was reasonable to do this comparison, and 4/9 of those moderate council candidates underperformed Frey’s first-choice %

Why mention Scott Graham at all if he lives blocks away?

Oops, sorry no mostly my fault. I think you got 21 of 25 possible points

Mayor 0/1
Council 12/13 (Cashman)
Parks 8/9 (Musich)
BET 1/2 (Fine)

If Rainville has a strong challenger like Cashman, then he could have lost. That +24 is mostly about the weakness of Mills as an opponent.

Haven’t looked, but possible that lots of voters simply left the council race blank

Only fact checking because you’re claiming the highest score so far, but I only see 19 correct, not 22?

19, so I likely won’t be Top 3. My turnout guess was 133k

Are you truly surprised by this?

54.3% of Ward 7 voters picked Frey as their first choice — Frey’s best Ward outside of Ward 13 — so while Katie Cashman did slightly outperform the Fateh/Davis/Hampton trio, it wasn’t enough.