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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming

@thenewstats.bsky.social

Open science, estimation statistics, and random thoughts from Bob Calin-Jageman and Geoff Cumming. https://thenewstatistics.com/itns/

291 Followers  |  184 Following  |  856 Posts  |  Joined: 09.11.2023  |  2.0708

Latest posts by thenewstats.bsky.social on Bluesky

Collaborative Registered Replication of Griskevicius et al.ย (2010): Can Pro-environmental Behavior Be Promoted by Priming Status Motivation? The present study presents the results of a collaborative registered replication of Griskevicius et al.ย (2010, Experiment 1). As part of the Collaborative Replication and Education Project, 24 student...

Another CREP study out in print: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art...

Congrats to all the students and dedicated faculty mentors involved, like @aggieerin.bsky.social ky.social and @jorowags.bsky.social

Get your students involved in CREP: www.crep-psych.org!

#stats #psychology

18.09.2025 15:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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thenewstatistics.com/itns/2025/09...

04.09.2025 00:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
What Weโ€™ll Never Know | Introduction to the New Statistics Message just in from James Pennebaker, President of the APS, about a sadly highly important project by Tim Wilson. Tim is collecting a bunch of short punchy videos on the theme of 'what we'll never kn...

What Weโ€™ll Never Know
thenewstatistics.com/itns/2025/09...
Use these to lobby your politicians, not only if you are in the U.S. Suggest further makers of videos: tdw@virginia.edu

03.09.2025 23:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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GitHub - dgbonett/vcmeta Contribute to dgbonett/vcmeta development by creating an account on GitHub.

New version of vcmeta (1.5) for R now out: github.com/dgbonett/vcm....

Some new functions and a few name changes.

vcmeta provides all the tools you need for variable-coefficient meta-analysis (no assumption of effect-size homogeneity; probably the best default option?).

#stats

26.08.2025 12:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Shibboleth Authentication Request

Cool paper about JASP's raincloud plots with nice examples of how they can be used, especially for complex designs.

I do wish JASP would supplement add to this visualizations of group differences and their uncertainty.

#stats

doi-org.proxy.cc.uic.edu/10.3758/s134...

20.08.2025 14:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump threatens to clear encampments in D.C. With D.C.โ€™s MPD now under federal control and the National Guard coming to D.C., the fate of people in encampments remains up in the air.

"โ€œI ainโ€™t ever bought no prostitutes. I ainโ€™t never raped nobody. I ainโ€™t never paid anybody off. None of that stuff,โ€ said G, a resident from one of the photographed tents.

โ€œHeโ€™s much more of a criminal than I amโ€"

streetsensemedia.org/article/home...

12.08.2025 14:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5147    ๐Ÿ” 1457    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 58    ๐Ÿ“Œ 65
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Introducing JASP 0.95: Sandboxing, Plotbuilder, ESCI, Parametric Survival Analysis, and Much More - JASP - Free and User-Friendly Statistical Software We are proud to announce that JASP 0.95 has been released and is now available on our download page. JASP 0.95 presents a big step forwards, as you can see from the full release notes. Some of the hig...

Just out: JASP 0.95! With sandboxing, a new plot builder, ESCI, and more.

jasp-stats.org/2025/08/02/i...

02.08.2025 10:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 39    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Investigations of forgetting in Caenorhabditis elegans The traditional view considered forgetting as a passive process where memory traces gradually fade due to the natural weakening of neural connections.โ€ฆ

Great new review of forgetting mechanisms in C. elegans -- lots of cool research I had missed (or maybe forgotten about?)

#neuroskyence

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...?

31.07.2025 12:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Alternative to the statistical mass confusion of testing for โ€œno effectโ€ | Journal of Cell Biology | Rockefeller University Press Morgan discusses how progress in cell biology is hindered by significance testing and the need for aย shift to effect size estimation.

Here's a nice paper in JCB on why testing for exactly no effect is not a great idea when studying biological systems, and how putting effect sizes at the front of our thinking can help.

Paper is by Josh Morgan at WashU St. Louis.

#stats #neuroskyence

rupress.org/jcb/article/...

31.07.2025 12:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Feel like an excuse to get that travel money for some sun and surf in November? Consider these two back-to-back meetings Down Under. 16-18 and 19-21 November 2025.
researchintegrityconf.com
aimos-inc.github.io/aimos.confer...

30.07.2025 22:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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esci: Estimation Statistics with Confidence Intervals A collection of functions and 'jamovi' module for the estimation approach to inferential statistics, the approach which emphasizes effect sizes, interval estimates, and meta-analysis. Nearly all funct...

Of course, esci remains available in R (cran.r-project.org/web/packages...) and as a modules in @jamovi.bsky.social. So whatever your preferred platform, you can generate estimates and beautiful estimation-focused figures. Enjoy!

#stats

29.07.2025 02:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

To use: Download JASP 0.95.0 for your platform, start it, and in the available modules list, scroll down to find and enable ESCI. Viola, you will have an ESCI menu.

(Note: the JASP team went with upper-case; guess they wanted to shout out how much the love the module)

#stats

29.07.2025 02:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
New release announcement for JASP 0.95.0 featuring inclusion of the ESCI module

New release announcement for JASP 0.95.0 featuring inclusion of the ESCI module

Look what you can find in the latest version of JASP:

**esci**

That's right, all your favorite estimation-focused analyses, strong hypothesis testing, and meta-analysis are available in the esci module for JASP 0.95.

#stats #metascience
Many thanks to the good people at @jaspstats.bsky.social

29.07.2025 02:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It is very hard to say what works with correct specificity. How would we ever detect these bizarre equipment effects if we didnโ€™t publish and think critically about failed experiments?

20.06.2025 13:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Estimating the Replicability of Sports and Exercise Science Research - Sports Medicine Background The replicability of sports and exercise research has not been assessed previously despite concerns about scientific practices within the field. Aim This study aims to provide an initial es...

New Replication Project in sport and exercise science shares it results: Out of 25 replication studies performed, 56% yielded significant results, but only 7 (28%) revealed a similar effect size. Several problems related to the quality of are discussed.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

16.06.2025 19:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 66    ๐Ÿ” 27    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
OSF

What stats software should you teach with?

Here's a super-comprehensive review of GUI-based options from Thomas Langkamp.

The winners (on very reasonable criteria)? JASP and jamovi.

Strongly agree!

osf.io/preprints/ps...

#stats #psychology
@jaspstats.bsky.social

16.06.2025 14:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I love this paper too!

The author, Rick Born, is part of the @comm4rigor.bsky.social which is developing educational units on topics like confirmation bias!

For anyone interested in learning more, check out the beta form of the unit at c4r.io (and give us feedback so we can keep improving it)!

13.06.2025 13:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Rigor and reproducibility in rodent behavioral research Behavioral neuroscience research incorporates the identical high level of meticulous methodologies and exacting attention to detail as all other scienโ€ฆ

Also worth re-upping this cool paper discussing the arduous process of doing good animal behavioral testing, using object recognition as an example.

Seems like object recognition is a subtle, fragile effect with validity issues. Why are we using it?

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

12.06.2025 14:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The curious interpretation of novel object recognition tests Novel object recognition tasks are commonly used to assess memory in rodents. These tests rely on an innate preference for exploring objects that are โ€ฆ

Here's a fascinating paper on the interpretation of novel object recognition tests: scores can reflect changes in novelty-preference, not just memory performance!

A nice reminder of the "neglected factors" in doing fruitful science.

#neuroskyence #stats

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

12.06.2025 14:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If we took these arguments seriously, then those making them should *also* be worried that they're providing additional fuel for bad-faith actors ("look, see, now the scientists are telling each other not to talk about their problems!").

12.06.2025 14:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A multi-group analysis of online survey respondent data quality: Comparing a regular USA consumer panel to MTurk samples With the exploding use of Internet surveys, research efforts and data quality are increasingly subject to the effects of respondents who do not give tโ€ฆ

There are lots of studies on this (eg www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...). Though it is a moving target what an online sample is.

10.06.2025 23:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€™s great! Ours fail attention checks as much as early MTurkers. Every year my methods students marvel at survey data mistakes from our participant pool: sat scores entered when gpa is requested, estimated hours a day exercising reported in minutes (120!) etc. & low effort on open ended qs.

10.06.2025 23:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Of course, after the first few years, MTurk and other platforms became really problematic: familiarity effects, proxies and language issues, and then bots. I am not sure there is any value in MTurk or other convenience sample platforms anymore.

10.06.2025 23:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Is there an increase in variability attributable to noise? Not an expert but I thibk there were several comparisons early on that showed essentially the same results with student pools (hard to be more inattentive than ugrads โ€œvolunteering โ€œ to be participants) as with MTurk.

10.06.2025 23:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Can Research Findings be Used in Clinical Neuropsychology? Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials of Working Memory Intervention for Children AbstractObjective. Working memory difficulties are prevalent in children with cognitive disorders, affecting their academic performance and quality of life

A depressing evaluation of RCT quality for working memory interventions:

"In our sample, only an average of 11.9 out of 45 CONSORT items were fully reported per article.. 36 RCTs were deemed high risk for bias, 10 had some concerns, and 1 was rated as low risk."

tinyurl.com/5647mu99

#stats

10.06.2025 13:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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CrossFilt: A Cross-species Filtering Tool that Eliminates Alignment Bias in Comparative Genomics Studies Comparative functional genomic studies are often affected by biased read mapping across species due to inter-species differences in genome structure, sequence composition, and annotation quality. We d...

We developed CrossFilt, a read-level, cross-species filtering approach that avoids these errors without sacrificing usable data. It outperforms all existing strategies and exposes just how much signal in comparative genomics has been misread.

doi.org/10.1101/2025...

07.06.2025 00:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 99    ๐Ÿ” 30    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Reproducibility in Cancer Biology: What have we learned? As the final outputs of the Reproducibility Project: Cancer Biology are published, it is clear that preclinical research in cancer biology is not as reproducible as it should be.

Such a great project!

It did, sometimes, use the crisis frame, though (elifesciences.org/articles/75830). Not that I mind! Or maybe that's the silliness of this new debate... what would or wouldn't have fueled these recent attacks? Who knows!?

(think we meet at a AAAS meeting years ago?)

28.05.2025 01:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I can understand the perspective. I see, for example, similar thoughts on DEI: that proponents need to reflect on how they fueled the current backlash. For me, personally, it's not how I see it. I don't think the rise of US fascism has useful lessons for how to do reform (social nor scientific).

28.05.2025 01:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The fascists who wrote this EO also wrote EOs aimed at making it harder to vote; they did this despite a lit showing voter fraud is rare. They are working to make it harder to enroll in medicade and fully manufactured "evidence" of abuse. Why imagine their war on science needed the reform lit?

27.05.2025 12:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Even if the current science reform literature is the perfect cover for this bad-faith EO, what does that tells us? That the current reform lit shouldnโ€™t have been published? That if it had been more nuanced the EO authors would have been like โ€œdang, canโ€™t use this!โ€?

27.05.2025 12:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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