@ericnovik.bsky.social
Pragmatic Bayesian | Statistics Faculty @ NYU
Vide-coding pentagon tiling "game" and finding it pretty addictive. You can play with it here: ericsgames.tiiny.site
10.01.2026 20:23 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Probabilistic Modeling and Biomedicine: generable.substack.com
29.12.2025 14:44 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
CVCT 2025 and Bayesian Model Guiding Iterative, Personalized Anticoagulant Dosing Decision-Making www.generable.com/post/cvct-2025
15.12.2025 19:38 โ ๐ 6 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Beware of lower limits of detection or quantification by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/lloqs
Remarkable that Igor Savelyev credits Lenin with the definition of matter! Being a Soviet scientist was a tricky business -- even physics books needed to pass the censor.
27.11.2025 15:42 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Modeling and numerics: could we do something better? by Juho Timonen.
www.generable.com/post/modelin...
Personalized dosing decisions beyond clinical trials: www.generable.com/post/improvi...
17.10.2025 14:05 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Nonparametric statistics: Gaussian processes and their approximations by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/nonpara...
If you are interested in meta-analysis (Bayesian or non-Bayesian), check out @rlgrant.bsky.social Robert Grant's nice StanBio Connect talk available at
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbZ1...
in which he also advertises his soon-to-be shipping book "Bayesian meta-analysis"
www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Met...
StanBio Connect 2025 free online conference May 30 stanbio.org
... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty
Things I read listened to, and saw in 2024: ericnovik.com/2025/03/book...
22.03.2025 16:21 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
The Scientific Method Vs. AI: Is There Still Room For Theory? My take here: www.forbes.com/councils/for...
18.03.2025 01:17 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Thanks, Robert, I added it to my queue; I love reading biographies of scientists, particularly in math, stats, and physics. The last one I read was "Hawking Hawking", which is not so much a biography, as a more honest take on Steven Hawking's life -- disintangling the myth from the man, so to speak.
14.03.2025 23:04 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
StanConnects are a series of one-day online conferences for the application of Stan to specific areas. This year, we're kicking off with Stan for biology (broadly defined), co-organized by @ericnovik.bsky.social and @vianeylb.bsky.social, on 30 May '25!!
stanbio.org
โIn the fall of 1972, President Nixon announced that the rate of increase of inflation was decreasing. This was the first time a sitting president had used the third derivative to advance his case for re-election.โ (Notices of the AMS, Oct. 1996, 43(10), p. 1108.)
29.01.2025 16:06 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Turns out there Bayesian BioPharm Meeting 2025. bnp14.org/bbp2025/. Anyone going?
25.01.2025 17:46 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
My daughter's pork belly ramen is the best I've ever had.
12.01.2025 21:56 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0I was just talking to an experienced probabilistic modeler who said: "After working with a few probabilistic programming languages, Stan is my fave: everything is typed and everything just works." It's a pain to get things in and out of Stan, but it's usually worth it.
11.01.2025 00:14 โ ๐ 8 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 02025 is a 2, 3, 4, 5 kind of year. Why? Because 2025 = 3^4 * 5^2
08.01.2025 16:36 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 by Koลczyลska et al. ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...
07.01.2025 15:49 โ ๐ 5 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0"When you are playing a point, it's the most important thing in the world. But when it's behind you, it's behind you..." -- Roger Federer
27.12.2024 16:29 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Thrilled to share our new @pnas.org paper using active learning ๐ค to optimise disease testing ๐ฆ and support public health ๐.
Press release by @imperialsph.bsky.social: imperial.ac.uk/news/259573/...
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Joint work with some stellar collaborators!
If you are interested in doing a #PhD with me at Imperial College London and qualify as a home student, please reach out (before end of 2024)! Potential topics: spatial statistics, applied deep generative models, probabilistic programming and more.
19.12.2024 14:21 โ ๐ 7 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Why is a bullshitter worse than a liar? Because he is not even wrong!
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Bull...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_eve...
A lot of people heard about John von Neumann but not about Alexander Craig Aitken, but Aitken was quite remarkable particularly if you are a statistician. For example, he independently derived Cramer-Rao lower bound, a very nice result in (frequentist) statistics.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexand...
Traveling salesmen are still out of luck, but the commercial movers finally caught a break with this breakthrough!
phys.org/news/2024-12...
Statistical wars inside the frequentist camp:
According to Neyman, though, the argument began because Fisher demanded that Neyman lecture only from Fisherโs book. When Neyman refused, Fisher promised to oppose him โin all my capacities.โ - The Theory That Would Not Die
Ahh, Indox zero.
11.12.2024 15:58 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Why do CS people write nice-looking code while statisticians don't? For a computer scientist, code is the product; for a statistician, code is a byproduct.
06.12.2024 19:39 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
A new release of Stan is coming discourse.mc-stan.org/t/cmdstan-st....
Highlights:
New constraints for stochastic matrices and zero-sum vectors
Easier user-defined constraints
Improved diagnostics
New distribution, beta_negative_binomial
