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Spencer Davis

@spencerlp79.bsky.social

Attorney / Writer / Former Music & Movie Blogger. Opinions expressed are probably my own (unfortunately).

60 Followers  |  211 Following  |  40 Posts  |  Joined: 17.11.2024  |  2.1614

Latest posts by spencerlp79.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image 17.06.2025 23:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No one told me that one of the new realities of old age was gonna be that "hungry," "thirsty," "tired," and "nauseous" would basically become indistinguishable from one another.

17.06.2025 12:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Youโ€™d have thought the lesson from horror movies wouldโ€™ve been more obvious from the start: chainsaw-wielding maniacs arenโ€™t too picky about who they like to chainsaw.

05.06.2025 11:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Really stupid way to frame the questionโ€”which plays right into his preferred narrative. Itโ€™s not a question of โ€œbad guysโ€™โ€ rights. The question should be, โ€œwithout due process, how do we know youโ€™re not doing this to the good guys too?โ€

28.05.2025 13:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m sure polls like this are out there, but this is where our energy needs to be directed. What Iโ€™m pushing back on is the reflex to think weโ€™re already right about everything, because polls say so, so we just need better messagingโ€”as if better ads or better media or Tik Tok will magically cure all.

25.05.2025 18:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Seeking out specific issues on which we need to improve. Or probing alternative policies from among the liberal set of options. What do we need to talk about more? What do we need to talk about less? What issues do you think *both* parties are ignoring?

25.05.2025 18:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Actually, you make a great point here. But *how* we poll matters. Rather than seeking validation that weโ€™re already right about individual issues, or polls that are framed with D/R as binary alternatives, letโ€™s ask voters this: what does the Dem Party need to change to earn your vote? /1

25.05.2025 18:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And itโ€™s made even worse when we further qualify it by only counting the *right* kind of pollsโ€”the ones that arenโ€™t distorting, or are conducted individually, or that tell the voter what Republicans are โ€œactually doing.โ€ Great! But those arenโ€™t the conditions under which actual elections happen!

25.05.2025 18:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I agree with you on a great many points. But this constant reflex of vindicating ourselves with polls that tell us what we want to hear, even as we keep losing, is a great part of the reason *why* weโ€™re losing.

25.05.2025 18:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So the proof that polls rather than electoral outcomes are the best measure of the popularity of Democratic policies comes from โ€ฆ more polls? Do you not see the circularity of the argument?

25.05.2025 17:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

To put it another way, if it really were the case that our messaging happens to align with the most popular policies on *everything* but we are still managing to lose multiple elections, that would be some epic political malpractice. OR we could instead suspect that this strains credulity.

25.05.2025 16:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

(Iโ€™m sure youโ€™ll say thatโ€™s also because of poor messaging, combined with gerrymandering and the Rep bias of the Senate. And youโ€™d be correct in large part. But explanations that always happen to exclude *any* need to reexamine policy priorities start to ring as self-rationalization after a while).

25.05.2025 16:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thereโ€™s certainly some truth in that too. Of course that wouldnโ€™t explain why Republicans also took the House and Senate, though, would it?

25.05.2025 16:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The truth is in between. A politician who never tries to use persuasion to change public opinion merely preserves a stale status quo. One who thinks they can defy public opinion on *everything* loses their seat. The key is picking the right fightsโ€”the one or two issues that are ripe for persuasion.

25.05.2025 15:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So Iโ€™m not trying to minimize AOC; Iโ€™m criticizing everyone else! Sheโ€™s giving them all the playbookโ€”one thatโ€™s easily replicable. We need a new generation to take over, one thatโ€™s capable of using these tools as effortlessly as AOC does!

24.05.2025 18:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

My comment was taken as a slight on AOC, and thatโ€™s not what intended. So let me restate: in a party that didnโ€™t have a leadership problem, we would have a lot of other people who are able to do what AOC does so effectively. She should not stand out so easily; she should be the norm. /1

24.05.2025 18:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Itโ€™s not even AOC herself, necessarily. The point they should be taking is that if they had a healthy bench of young, energetic candidates who are skilled at communicating and ready to fight, any one of those options might now be the face of the party. AOC stands out precisely because she is alone.

24.05.2025 15:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I only wish the Dem establishment was smart enough to understand why AOC is seen as the leaderโ€ฆand to embrace itโ€ฆand to realize those pushing back on her and her message are the problem.

24.05.2025 15:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 570    ๐Ÿ” 120    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 37    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Itโ€™s not even AOC herself, necessarily. The point they should be taking is that if they had a healthy bench of young, energetic candidates who are skilled at communicating and ready to fight, any one of those options might now be the face of the party. AOC stands out precisely because she is alone.

24.05.2025 15:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Well put. A list of issues is not a narrative.

19.05.2025 19:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The irony is, one of the worst things you can do as a negotiator is make it this well-known that you really, really want to announce a dealโ€”and any deal will do. You give away all your leverage! โ€œArt of the deal,โ€ indeed.

14.05.2025 13:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Why does Scott Bessent make the same face in every interview that Will Ferrell made when he was playing Harry Caray and asking someone, โ€œif you were a hot dog, would you eat yourself?โ€

06.05.2025 23:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Who knew that โ€œmove fast and break thingsโ€ wasnโ€™t a mantraโ€”it was a warning!

30.04.2025 14:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The best part of this is, even as he calls out the mistake, he, Axios and the media are repeating it in real time. Because the mistake, both then and now, was credulously reporting whatever the WH says, even when we have good cause to know itโ€™s not true, in the name of preserving media neutrality.

27.04.2025 23:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Imagine thinking demons are real and dangerous and responsible for every evil in the world, but that they can also be defeated simply by telling them firmly to stop.

05.04.2025 13:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Empty victory, not worth the paper itโ€™s written on. DOGE does not have to reinstate anyone already fired or any contracts already axed. And Acting Admin Rubio can โ€œcureโ€ DOGEโ€™s illegal actions by ratifying them in writing. Judge practically gave a road map for how to circumvent his own decision.

18.03.2025 20:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m confused. I thought all wildfires were caused by liberal government run amok?

15.03.2025 20:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m confused. I thought wildfires were caused by liberal government run amok?

15.03.2025 20:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Why not run as a Dem yourself? Bring your own expertise to the side where you can still have a positive influence. Lead by example. We need people like you to be willing to put past labels aside for the greater good.

05.03.2025 18:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Because it wasnโ€™t exactly a secret before this that some members of Congress might cherry pick numbers in bad faith? But even setting that aside, what news/informational value was there in even publishing a readers poll that you already know is both unauthoritative and misleading?

24.02.2025 19:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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