Peter Neefs

"In reality, the industry probably needs a revenue range that is closer to the $320 billion to $480 billion range, just to break even on the capex to be spent this year."

The Devil wears Palantir.

I agree. I've seen Putin described as risk-averse; I don't think that's right. He takes risks that other leaders wouldn't, but only when he assesses that the likelihood of an effective response is low. The West has yet to change his assessment that he can keep pushing us back.

Casually announcing plans to murder American citizens for wrongthink.

Hongaarse premier Viktor Orbán bespioneert al jaren EU-instellingen in Brussel De Hongaarse inlichtingendienst gebruikt al jaren een geheim spionagenetwerk in Brussel. We leggen bloot hoe premier Viktor Orbán opereert met schijndiplomaten en mollen binnen de EU-instellingen. Dat...

Viktor Orbán heeft een geheim netwerk van inlichtingenofficieren ingezet om de EU-instellingen te bespioneren.

De spionnen zijn al jaren actief in Brussel, onder de dekmantel van diplomaat.

Dat brengt ook de huidige Hongaarse eurocommissaris in opspraak.

www.tijd.be/politiek-eco...

Belarus rarely makes Western headlines — but it should this week.
A quiet move by the Trump administration has just handed Alexander Lukashenka, and indirectly Vladimir Putin, an unexpected gift.
🧵👇

“We moeten besparen. België geeft te veel uit. Vooral aan sociale bescherming en zorg. Nieuwe belastingen? Kan niet. We zijn al belastingkampioen! En die raken enkel de middenklasse & schaden de economie.”

De onuitgesproken uitgangspunten van de begrotingsdiscussie. Kloppen ze? 🧵

The core problem with Merkel's argument remains the same it's always been: If you believe that (a) Russia was a significant threat and (b) that good relations with Moscow were necessary to buy time for Ukraine, why would you prepare neither yourself nor Ukraine for conflict?

"Europeans, let's wake up!" — Defend Democracy “We have been incredibly naive in entrusting our democratic space to social networks.” President Macron on the occasion of German Unity Day, 3 October 2025.

1/Striking speech by Macron: The future of European democracy depends on taking back its digital information space. A remarkable turn from Silicon Valley as source of enlightenment to being a purveyor of slop. And the stakes aren't just ad revenue but the nation.
defenddemocracy.eu/macron-democ...

“The proposed rules will force Russian diplomats posted in EU capitals to inform other governments of their travel plans before crossing beyond the border of their host country.”

"The liberation lens would have more accurately captured the arduous, uneven and slow process of extrication both from state socialism and from Russian imperialism, including the dangers of revanche and reversal."

In a digital world, talking to sensitive sources is nearly impossible without encryption. The EU’s #ChatControl plan is an attack on accountability journalism - and a gift to surveillance

Заседание дискуссионного клуба «Валдай» Владимир Путин принял участие в пленарной сессии XХII ежегодного заседания Международного дискуссионного клуба «Валдай».

Yesterday at Valdai Putin said it was "stupid" for Sweden & Finland to join NATO, there were "no problems" between them & "all agreements had been signed."

In 2003 Putin signed the Treaty on the State Border with Ukraine & in 2008 said “Russia has long recognized the borders of modern-day Ukraine."

Voor de miljoenste keer: het plan staat haaks op het principe van individuele privacy. Het is ONMOGELIJK om een veilige achterpoort in een E2EE-systeem in te bouwen.

Experts zeggen dit al 50 jaar (it's the maths, stupid), maar politici willen gewoon niet luisteren.

Richard Sakwa on the first panel at Valdai.

Did you know Russia's Valdai Club is still being held, and is still attracting Western academics who are naive, unscrupulous or shameless enough to appear on its stage? This year's jamboree ended yesterday.

Goodreads Discover and share books you love on Goodreads.

Boekentip over Winteroorlog 1939 en Finlandisering: www.goodreads.com/book/show/12...

Zie ook dit uitstekend beargumenteerde draadje van @alanderminna.bsky.social hierover:
bsky.app/profile/alan... 3/

In datzelfde gesprek geeft hij zelf aan dat Poetin heel Oekraïne wil domineren.
Oekraïne heeft voor Poetin duidelijk een veel groter belang dan dat Finland van belang was voor Stalin. 2/

Toch heel vreemd (en onduidelijk) wat Stoltenberg juist bedoelt met dat "Finland-scenario": "Finland kreeg een grens en veiligheid". Finlandisering zorgde voor een neutrale status van Finland.
Denkt hij dat een neutrale status voor Oekraïne een oplossing zal zijn voor het huidige conflict? 1/

New mock Taiwan government buildings spotted at mainland Chinese military base Japanese media report says simulated Taiwanese government compound for training PLA soldiers has expanded nearly threefold since 2020.

Beijing has built more structures resembling Taiwan’s key government buildings at its military base in Inner Mongolia, according to satellite images, a move that suggests more systematic training for a potential conflict across the strait
www.scmp.com/news/china/m...

❗️Putin's logic:Poland has provoked Hitler who wanted to find a peaceful solution:

Poland made many mistakes.Germany offered to resolve the issue of Danzig&the Danzig Corridor peacefully.The Polish leadership at the time categorically refused&,in the end, became the first victim of Nazi aggression

The administration has two main impulses: kleptocracy and reactionary ideology. The kleptocrats just want to squeeze as much money as possible out of the government. The reactionaries are utopians who think that if they roll back the enlightenment then power and prosperity will magically happen.

Impressive how one political party can control the White House, the House, the Senate, and the Supreme Court, but not bear responsibility for whether the federal government functions. Neat trick.

It's easy to see this speech as just weirdly performative, but there's a lot more—and a lot worse—going on here.

The meeting & speeches are part of a larger project aimed at promoting the military leadership’s partisan alignment with the administration.

How? 1/

Putin's escalation is far worse than we thought - Europe's drone wall is not enough Europeans have little idea of the true scale of Russia’s 'hybrid attack' campaign against them – this must change if we are to respond adequately

Spoiler: "Putin's escalation" is not "far worse" than anybody thought, if they have been paying any attention at all.

But there's no doubt it *will* get "far worse" without effective and determined deterrence from Europe.

inews.co.uk/news/world/p...

Na de hevige Russische luchtaanvallen op Oekraïne en schendingen van het NAVO-luchtruim: moet Europa gevechtvliegtuigen sturen, zoals Polen voorstelt?

Mijn opinie in @tijd.be over de zin en onzin van Europese gevechtsvliegtuigen boven Oekraïne.

Morgen in print, nu online.

👇

The treaty delienates a new Soviet-German borderline through the territory of the “collapsed, erstwhile“ Polish state.

Something that seems to be emerging in Germany with generational change is a new kind of GDR nostalgia that is no longer connected to lives experience but a kind of fan culture based on an internet curated mishmash of contextless imagery and state produced texts.

Pro-EU party in Moldova set to win vote mired in claims of Russian interference The election was seen as critical for Moldova's EU path, and President Maia Sandu warned the country's future was in danger.

I'm finally looking forward to Russia's disinformation campaign no longer emailing us endless fake news videos about Moldova and Maia Sandu. Guess they won't be getting their bonuses
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Far-right Facebook groups are engine of radicalisation in UK, data investigation suggests Rioters were influenced by network that exposes hundreds of thousands of Britons to racist disinformation, Guardian research indicates

Far-right Facebook groups are engine of radicalisation in UK, data investigation suggests www.theguardian.com/world/2025/s...