Peter Hamby

Is Trump Sick of Winning? Amid his blustering threats over Greenland and the ICE crackdown at home, only 33 percent of voters now say America is on the right track—Trump’s worst result since he returned to the White House last...

New @puck.news >

Our new poll with Echelon Insights asked voters if Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize

— By a 67-27 margin, voters say no
— Majority of independents (!) say ICE is making them less safe
— 58% say county is on wrong track

And more! puck.news/trump-pollin...

Support for ICE Is Collapsing Outside the right-wing echo chamber, polls tell the true story of an unprecedented drop in support for Trump’s immigration agency, which has swung 30 points in 12 months.

New @puck.news:

Public support for ICE is collapsing — trending down even before the Minnesota shooting — and powerful eyewitness videos are the reason why

puck.news/support-for-...

Support for ICE Is Collapsing Outside the right-wing echo chamber, polls tell the true story of an unprecedented drop in support for Trump’s immigration agency, which has swung 30 points in 12 months.

New @puck.news:

Public support for ICE is collapsing — trending down even before the Minnesota shooting — and powerful eyewitness videos are the reason why

puck.news/support-for-...

Manospheres of Influence The disaffected young men who helped elect Trump are fed up with high prices, worried about A.I., and frustrated by the president’s neocon turn. And, according to exclusive new polling data, they’re s...

New @puck.news >

A massive research project on young men shows them bailing on Trump, as he loses trust on the cost of living

- Just 22% say Trump is “fighting for them”
- 27% say Trump “hasn’t delivered”
- Vance has lower fave than Andrew Tate
- Obama is most-liked pol

puck.news/why-young-me...

Vance in His Pants Everyone knows that J.D. Vance is desperately positioning himself to become Trump’s heir apparent. But his popularity depends on his closeness to Trump, who could change his mind at any minute.

New @puck.news

Exclusive polling on the 2028 GOP Primary:

- JD Vance has a huge lead + higher faves than any Republican
- Coziness with A.I. leaders is a red flag for GOP voters
- Marjorie Taylor Greene's poll #s are terrible
+ more! >

puck.news/if-trump-sou...

The Newsom Succession In California, local politics is often national—and the governorship can be a path to the White House. But with a suffocating housing market, punishing taxes, and a persistent homeless crisis, the sta...

New for @puck.news

The overcrowded and underwhelming race for California governor.

Will any Democrat make their campaign about something other than Donald Trump?

puck.news/who-will-rep...

Bad Luck, Chuck New polling shows only 40 percent of Democrats approve of Chuck Schumer’s shutdown handling, while Hakeem Jeffries maintains stronger support among party voters.

New for @puck.news:

Exclusive new polling on Schumer & the shutdown

— Only 40% of Dems approve of Chuck’s shutdown handling
— But 55% approve of Jeffries!
— 53% of Dems opposed ending shutdown
— Dems crushed Trump on shutdown messaging

puck.news/chuck-schume...

How to Lose a Man in 365 Days Gen Zyn swung right for Trump in 2024, but last week’s elections show they’re beginning to question whether the president can make life more affordable. Whether Democrats can keep them remains to be s...

New for @puck.news

How Donald Trump fumbled young men

New polling finds that 47% of Gen Z men now say Trump is having a negative impact on their lives

Yes, Dems had a good election — but they can’t take young men for granted either

puck.news/young-men-dr...

The Dems’ Flight 93 Essay A new 2024 postmortem makes the case for Democrats cutting the cord with left-wing activists and winning back normie voters with a return to big-tent, multiracial, middle-class messaging—while learnin...

New for @puck.news —

A buzzy new report examining why Democrats lost in 2024 makes the case that doing more social media or more podcasts won’t fix a thing for Dems.

The problem is that voters don’t like Democrats.

The only fix? Fixing the message puck.news/whats-in-the...

Independent Voters Are Turning on ICE New data from Echelon Insights suggests that Trump’s ICE raids have actually broken through with voters, unlike any other storyline in the current political moment. But as the president doubles down o...

New for @puck.news

ICE is on thin ice with voters, per new polling from Echelon Insights

- Majority say agents shouldn't wear masks
- Independents & women oppose ICE raid tactics in a big way
- More see ICE as targeting people who aren't a threat

And more > puck.news/independent-...

Newsom Player Haters & The ’28 Proxy War Democrats have poured more than $140 million into the off-cycle ballot initiative to gerrymander California, counter Trump’s efforts to manipulate the midterms, and—perhaps most importantly—hand Gavin...

New for @puck.news >

Gavin Newsom’s anti-Trump crusade in California — how Prop 50 is winning, where it needs help, and what it all means for Gav 2028

puck.news/inside-newso...

How Democrats Finally Won the Internet After years of churning out digital cringe, Democrats finally seem to have found a human message during the government shutdown, leveraging the left’s messy creator ecosystem to beat the Trump meme ma...

New for @puck.news:

Democrats won the first round of the shutdown messaging fight, and there’s a big reason why — they’re finally starting to understand the content game

puck.news/how-democrat...

What College Students Really Think of Charlie Kirk New data from Generation Lab undercuts Trump’s mythmaking about his murdered ally, who was unquestionably a savvy organizer, even if he wasn’t at all popular on the campuses he loved to visit.

New for @puck.news

A new poll of college students finds that Charlie Kirk was almost universally famous on campuses. But he was not popular at all — with 70% of students saying they disagreed with Kirk’s views

puck.news/what-college...

:Anonymous (ID: jcplHDpb 09/12/25(Fri)06:24:48 No.515681187 so...is he /ourguy/? [Image of Tyler Robinson in his bedroom standing next to a desk with a computer] : Anonymous (ID: XaaieiTM) 09/12/25(Fri)06:27:41 No.515681608 Imao /pol/ was so convinced it was some Latino tranny

: Anonymous (ID: vly7yfAO 09/12/25(Fri)07:37:20 No.515693707 >>515691052 (OP) # Groyper confirmed. Nick is so fucked it's unreal. [Meme image of centurion groyper toad as a Roman era soldier]

And here are some posts from 4chan since Tyler Robinson was arrested for shooting Charlie Kirk.

via @peterhamby.bsky.social

MLB’s Rose War & An Upfronts Postmortem Podcast Episode · The Powers That Be: Daily · 05/16/2025 · 20m

. @peterhamby.bsky.social had me on his great The Powers The Be pod to talk about Rob Manfred’s decision to reinstate Pete Rose.

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m...

Dem & Dumber Despite Trump’s unpredictable, anxiety-provoking, market-rattling, ethics-pulverizing first 100 days, the latest Puck/Echelon poll shows he’s still more popular with voters than Democrats.

Despite Trump’s unpredictable, anxiety-provoking, market-rattling, ethics-pulverizing first 100 days, the latest Puck/Echelon poll shows he’s still more popular than Democrats with voters…

Read @peterhamby.bsky.social's breakdown of the full results of the poll:

UFC’s $1B Fantasy & a Green Jacket Mystery Podcast Episode · The Powers That Be: Daily · 04/15/2025 · 25m

.
. @peterhamby.bsky.social invited me onto his pod to dish on Augusta's deals and the UFC's negotiations.

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/u...

Trump’s Honeymoon Hara-Kiri While most presidents enjoy a post-inaugural boost to their popularity, the early post-Liberation Day polling shows Trump’s support on the economy collapsing rapidly.

New for @puck.news

Donald Trump’s poll numbers on the economy were already shaky - and now they’re absolutely terrible.

And we’re not even at 100 Days

puck.news/honeymoon-ov...

Gavin’s Roganitis The California governor’s podcast debut with Charlie Kirk, featuring Newsom’s very public reversal on the issue of trans women in sports, is being closely watched by Democrats as the party tests new m...

Gavin Newsom’s podcast debut, featuring the governor’s very public reversal on the matter of trans women in sports, is being closely watched by Democrats as the party tests new mediums and the bounds of its post-election repositioning.

From @peterhamby.bsky.social

This was the best piece, commentary, take I’ve seen so far on @governor.ca.gov’s reasons for this podcast.
Lifelong CA Dem here, and this is just ‘Gavin bringing Gavin’ at his best. He’s actually brave enough to test it out.

Gavin’s Roganitis The California governor’s podcast debut with Charlie Kirk, featuring Newsom’s very public reversal on the issue of trans women in sports, is being closely watched by Democrats as the party tests new m...

New @puck.news!

Gavin Newsom is charging ahead with his podcast, after few Dems condemn his trans comments:

- Charlie Kirk interview clips have over 7 million views across platforms
- Gav tells Michael Savage: “Trump and I are getting along!”
- Next guest: Steve Bannon

puck.news/gavin-newsom...

Smart takes from @peterhamby.bsky.social @laurensherman.bsky.social @puck.news about the Nike x Skims partnership.

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

We all thought the social video from 22 Senate Democrats yesterday was corny, but what @peterhamby.bsky.social presupposes here is what if it were effective?

The Boys of Bummer Exclusive new polling reveals how the Gen Z men who helped put Trump in the White House—Dave Portnoy types who are into sports, stocks, and crypto—are souring on his presidency as expectations for a s...

Exclusive new polling reveals how the Gen Z men who helped put Trump in the White House are souring on his presidency as expectations for a shiny new economy collide with our current, tariff-laden reality.

From @peterhamby.bsky.social

The Boys of Bummer Exclusive new polling reveals how the Gen Z men who helped put Trump in the White House—Dave Portnoy types who are into sports, stocks, and crypto—are souring on his presidency as expectations for a s...

New for Puck:

Young voters — including young men who want those stocks higher and crypto wallets fatter — are souring on Trump’s handling of the economy. New polling shows support for Trump handling of the economy among *Gen Z men* slipped -14 points between Jan and Feb

puck.news/is-trump-alr...

Elon’s Icarus Moment New focus groups of swing state voters found reserves of goodwill for Trump but deep distrust toward Musk, widely viewed as “weird,” “radical,” and “selfish.” Mostly, however, they just wanted to talk...

“Notably, several voters defined “headlines” as the titles of YouTube videos.”

@peterhamby.bsky.social’s report out from focus groups is worth a read… puck.news/what-swing-v...

Elon’s Icarus Moment New focus groups of swing state voters found reserves of goodwill for Trump but deep distrust toward Musk, widely viewed as “weird,” “radical,” and “selfish.” Mostly, however, they just wanted to talk...

New focus groups of swing state voters found reserves of goodwill for Trump but deep distrust toward Musk, widely viewed as “weird,” “radical,” and “selfish.”

From @peterhamby.bsky.social

The Pritzker Prize Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker on why Trump won the economic argument in 2024, and how Democrats can win it back with “simple, clear answers.”

@govpritzker.illinois.gov spoke with @peterhamby.bsky.social taking stock of where we are >>

"Here we are, nearly two weeks into the Trump administration, and they’ve thrown everything out there to cause a lot of chaos, but nothing that actually benefits working people."

puck.news/jb-pritzker-...

These hard truths are why Dems remain silent
The tide still favors the Felon - esp on his deportations

From @peterhamby.bsky.social

From @peterhamby.bsky.social @puck.news

The GOP might want to remember these facts when discussing CA wildfire aid 👇🏻👇🏻 #MAGA