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Michael Caley

@michaelcaley.bsky.social

I write the Expecting Goals newsletter (expectinggoals.com) and I'm gonna try to bring soccer analytics to bluesky. Let's see if it works. He/him.

14,087 Followers  |  624 Following  |  13,702 Posts  |  Joined: 10.05.2023  |  1.869

Latest posts by michaelcaley.bsky.social on Bluesky

Virgil van Dijk's goal from a Mohamed Salah corner clinched an important 1-0 win for Liverpool against Sunderland on Wednesday; Arne Slot talked up their improvement from set-pieces but what's it down to? Inswingers and the "meat wall" have been key

Virgil van Dijk's goal from a Mohamed Salah corner clinched an important 1-0 win for Liverpool against Sunderland on Wednesday; Arne Slot talked up their improvement from set-pieces but what's it down to? Inswingers and the "meat wall" have been key

we are making Meat Wall happen y'all www.skysports.com/football/new...

13.02.2026 13:08 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
Peter β€’
@notalawyer.bsky.social β€’ 2h
a seafood aversion is also outrageous

Larry Juana
@dylpickles626.bsky.so...
I know one person with a legitimate reason to have a seafood aversion (He was duct taped to a chair and force fed anchovies until he threw up as a child) but for everyone else it's fucking bogus.
6:22 PM β€’ Feb 12, 2026

Peter β€’ @notalawyer.bsky.social β€’ 2h a seafood aversion is also outrageous Larry Juana @dylpickles626.bsky.so... I know one person with a legitimate reason to have a seafood aversion (He was duct taped to a chair and force fed anchovies until he threw up as a child) but for everyone else it's fucking bogus. 6:22 PM β€’ Feb 12, 2026

POV you’re riffing on bluesky

13.02.2026 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2414    πŸ” 131    πŸ’¬ 81    πŸ“Œ 24

the sprint is gonna start in a few minutes here

check out this quick overview and when it's over you can listen to the whole @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social episode with the Penalty Loop guys and learn how to watch biathlon like an expert open.spotify.com/episode/1Jj6...

13.02.2026 12:59 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the power of Ailes era Fox News as a propaganda organ arose at least as much from what they didn't say as what they did say

when things were happening that made people want to vote for Dems, Ailes wouldn't have his channel try to convince people otherwise, he'd desperately look for another story

13.02.2026 12:57 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

broadly my opinion is that if left-libs in media and academia want to take influencing mass opinion more seriously, they need to pay more attention to what's *popular*

simply putting a left-lib spin on things doesn't move opinion if lots of the left-lib things you say are unpopular

13.02.2026 12:56 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Steven Mnuchin, the social democratic hero of the super dole?

13.02.2026 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

nostalgic for steve mnuchin, the CEO of Exxon, and "some guy he knows from the golf club named like Jeff Tobacco"

13.02.2026 12:39 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Current state of things: One Fox News host casually declares that Epstein’s money comes from β€œJewish billionaires” and a β€œJewish banking family,” another responds that he was a β€œsex rabbi.” www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/jes...

13.02.2026 12:25 β€” πŸ‘ 507    πŸ” 188    πŸ’¬ 52    πŸ“Œ 43

it's very funny how SBF could have filled the hole in the FTX books a hundred times over with their Anthropic investment if the timeline had been slightly different

12.02.2026 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

zero. i am a growd up

12.02.2026 22:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1057    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 142    πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
β€˜Hot Girls for Zohran’ Co-Founder Floated Conspiracy Theories About Israel

Regardless of what he said, my question is why the FUCK there was a man behind Hot Girls for Zohran

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/11/n...

12.02.2026 22:33 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
A tweet from Anthropic saying "We've raised $30B in funding at a $380B post-money valuation. This investment will help us deepen our research, continue to invest in products, and ensure we have the resources to power our infrastructure expansions as we make Claude available everywhere our customers are" followed by Elon Musk saying "Your AI hates Whites & Asians, especially Chinese, heterosexuals and men. 

This is misanthropic and evil. Fix it. 

Frankly, I don’t think there is anything you can do to escape the inevitable irony of Anthropic ending up being Misanthropic. You were doomed to this fate when you chose your name.

The Name of the Wind."

A tweet from Anthropic saying "We've raised $30B in funding at a $380B post-money valuation. This investment will help us deepen our research, continue to invest in products, and ensure we have the resources to power our infrastructure expansions as we make Claude available everywhere our customers are" followed by Elon Musk saying "Your AI hates Whites & Asians, especially Chinese, heterosexuals and men. This is misanthropic and evil. Fix it. Frankly, I don’t think there is anything you can do to escape the inevitable irony of Anthropic ending up being Misanthropic. You were doomed to this fate when you chose your name. The Name of the Wind."

real, "sir, this is a Wendy's" moment here

12.02.2026 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 434    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 3
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hell yeah baby premier league football we've got two innovators doing innovations at each other

12.02.2026 20:39 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

this is kind of a fun take on "traditional field is not very good at moving votes" -- that traditional field is also relatively scalable with enough money so is it so bad it's not so helpful?

and likewise the problems in scaling relational point to it being harder to buy

12.02.2026 20:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Had so much fun doing this.

12.02.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Frank Out | The Double Pivot Podcast Get more from The Double Pivot Podcast on Patreon

for @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social subscribers we did also cover, yknow, the big football news

Thomas Frank sacked by Spurs, where did this go wrong, how much was this all baked in to much larger dysfunctions at Tottenham, and what will it take to dig the club out? www.patreon.com/posts/frank-...

12.02.2026 17:40 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Biathlon Analytics with the Penalty Loop Podcast - The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary That's right. For the Winter Olympics we have a whole podcast dedicated to biathlon, joined by Jordan and RJ of the Penalty Loop Podcast to teach us all about how to watch biathlon like an expert, und...

big new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social on Biathlon!

it's my favorite winter games sport and we found the perfect guests, RJ and Jordan from the @penaltyloop.bsky.social podcast to get us the expert's view of the sport

cannot wait for tomorrow's race, I'm ready www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...

12.02.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Footballer Thomas Partey facing two additional rape charges The former Arsenal midfielder is set to appear in court on 13 March.

right at that horrible intersection of so awful and so predictable www.bbc.com/news/article...

12.02.2026 17:34 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Shameful, dumb and self-defeating by @washingtonpost.com
They consciously gave up one of their very best in @ishaantharoor.bsky.social

12.02.2026 09:55 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This episode has been a nightmare for my city and state, but I hope people realize it’s also a profound defeat and political catastrophe for Trump and DHS, who are slinking away having accomplished nothing. Minneapolis simply wouldn’t bend to them and they lost

12.02.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 4131    πŸ” 838    πŸ’¬ 192    πŸ“Œ 49

It's corny as hell but the solution to fascism is loving thy neighbor

12.02.2026 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1581    πŸ” 288    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 18

oh yeah relational organizing absolutely has those kinds of effects

12.02.2026 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

yes. it's yet another way I am narrow-casting.

12.02.2026 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

WE HAVE AN OLYMPIC SCORING SCANDAL! I REPEAT, A SCORING SCANDAL!

We have never been more back

12.02.2026 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 73    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
French duo Beaudry and Cizeron beat US stars Chock and Bates in controversial Olympic ice dance The new French ice dance team of Laurence Fournier Beaudry and Guillaume Cizeron has claimed Olympic gold at the Milan Cortina games.

"Cizeron made several mistakes, including a glaring one during his twizzle sequence, while Chock and Bates were nearly perfect. Yet the French judge favored the French skaters by nearly eight points..., while five of the nine judges favored the American team." -- apnews.com/article/mila...

12.02.2026 16:10 β€” πŸ‘ 68    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah lol agreed

I will say that I feel good that LLMs still more or less suck ass at writing words that anyone would ever pay to read so at least that part is mine in the same way more or less

12.02.2026 16:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

the way I saw someone put it is that LLMs can make you into a manager, which is a big change, but a manager still needs to understand the systems at a pretty granular level, even if they're not making every on the ground decision, in order to make sure the project ends up where it needs to go

12.02.2026 16:01 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

there should be some kind of coupon or code word that's good for like 3 free cans of soup that you only find out about at the end of the nightly news

12.02.2026 15:41 β€” πŸ‘ 709    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 1

Rand Paul knows better than most politicians what happens when you go too far

12.02.2026 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 685    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 38    πŸ“Œ 4

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