Moot Question

DC residents

Laughing and crying at the same time

Lot of Cool Zone news today huh

*TEXAS GOVERNOR ORDERS ARREST OF DEMOCRATS WHO FLED THE STATE

Ugh. Bondi has directed her staff to look into allegations from Tulsi Gabbard that the narrative that Russia interfered in the 2016 election favoring Trump was concocted by Clapper Brennan Obama et al,whom Gabbard has accused of treason. 100% ridiculous; 100% vicious; 100% political.Just an atrocity

A key question I have is of course “where”. It should be DC, but they may run into some … problems… with DC venire

I wonder if this is where they’re finally going for Marc Elias

They also serve the “we’re delayed three hours and need a comfortable place to sit” crowd, and somehow also manage to fail this often

Plausible, though many plot lines were about him picking fights with his audience

I’d make the case that those who won’t stand for them when scary or unpopular don’t have them at all

💯 agree. Congregate education is important. Homeschooling and unschooling etc are all bad. But it drives me nuts that the same people deep in the “neurodivergence” discourse pretend there’s no one on the high end. Harrison Bergeron was a dystopia, pals

I am definitely team “congregate schools are good” but also if your take is “gifted education is a salve for the egos of suburbanites” you better have the same position on all learning accommodations or I’m coming for you

The gifted children discourse is so funny to me as someone who 1. Grew up in a district without such designations and 2. Has a child that is now receiving the (barely different) services they desperately need to stave off boredom. Folks, maybe just let’s all go behind the veil of ignorance

lol they can’t even match GS-15

I always figured he’d be more of a Giordano’s guy

It’s like watching Jordan in his prime

I burst out laughing in my office at this one

Holy shit

Seems obvious they’re setting up for that, given secret wars leads to a universal reset in the comics

🤷🏻‍♂️

This is horrifying, reading to my child is my favorite time of every day

It’s possible with efficiency gains, or gains in market share at the expense of foreign companies from tariffs, among others. But there are limits to both

Yes this is why we’re eventually cooked

And no, I don’t try to time the market, because again, not idiot

Prices go up

Chart showing the net number of guidance raises (guidance raise - guidance lowered) for US stocks since 2001

"why are stocks rising instead of falling because Orange Man Bad" maybe because guidance raises outnumbered guidance cuts by 60 reports last week, 99th percentile since 2001. Absolute number of guidance hikes was 84, in the 98.9th percentile for all weeks since 2001. Crazy strong!

this is right but also i think we're (1) underestimating that trump has stepped in it here and (2) underestimating how hard rigging the numbers would actually be

Log back in to 37 notifications and they’re all one freak account with 37 followers trying to dunk on me because they think I’m being “outplayed” in the stock market.

(I only invest in index funds and let them ride, because I’m not an idiot.)

When I’m learning about a new industry, and there’s something that doesn’t make sense, I always question if it’s a market failure or there’s a reason I haven’t learned yet.

Stock market is the former.

The economy is on the precipice of recession. That’s the clear takeaway from last week’s economic data dump. Consumer spending has flatlined, construction and manufacturing are contracting, and employment is set to fall. And with inflation on the rise, it is tough for the Fed to come to the rescue. Unemployment remains low, but that’s only because labor force growth has gone sideways. The foreign-born workforce is shrinking, and labor force participation is declining. Telling is the economy-wide hiring freeze, particularly for recent graduates, and the decline in hours worked. It’s no mystery why the economy is struggling; blame increasing U.S. tariffs and highly restrictive immigration policy. The tariffs are cutting increasingly deeply into the profits of American companies and the purchasing power of American households. Fewer immigrant workers means a smaller economy. Any notion that the economic data misrepresents the reality of how the economy is performing is way off base. There are revisions to the data, even big revisions, but they universally say the economy is doing worse. That’s because it is. BTW, the DOGE cuts are a key factor in the revisions—not because BLS has cut staff, although that can’t help, but because the government often reports payrolls to BLS late. It didn’t matter when government employment was stable, but now that it’s declining, the cuts are picked up in the revisions.

Trump is panicking because the economic numbers are giving a recession vibe.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.