Back in 2017, the Tennessee Democrats nearly pulled off a huge upset by flipping #SD17, a Trump+48 district east of Nashville.
In a super low turnout special election, Republican Mark Pody only defeated Democrat Mary Alice Carfi by 300 votes!
@uncrewed.bsky.social
Writer of Grand Old Primary/Uncrewed's State Legislative Election Watch. Lauren Underwood Stan. Some people may know me as Chris. (He/Him)
Back in 2017, the Tennessee Democrats nearly pulled off a huge upset by flipping #SD17, a Trump+48 district east of Nashville.
In a super low turnout special election, Republican Mark Pody only defeated Democrat Mary Alice Carfi by 300 votes!
Just nuke the account at that point
25.11.2025 03:23 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0In legislative races this year, both special and regular, Dems have flipped 24 seats from the GOP across the country. Republicans, well... docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
24.11.2025 23:34 β π 158 π 51 π¬ 3 π 6The closest State House election in Illinois in 2024 came in #HD52 in the northwest suburbs of Chicago.
This Harris+5 seat saw Republican incumbent Martin McLaughlin hold on by just 47 votes over Democrat Maria Peterson! Peterson's running again in 2026.
He is, at worst, slightly to right of the median Democrat.
Way more left wing than Manchin and Sinema. Low bar, yes, but a conservative? No way.
He's heavily anti-tariff (even back in 2018-19 when it wasn't killing the economy like it is now), defended Tlaib & Omar after they were denied entry into Israel, pro-public option, and opposed Trump's tax bill back in 2017.
Cute try eh? Again, words have meaning!
Yeah the pro-choice, pro-LGBTQ, pro-Paris Climate Agreement former Senator is a conservative.
Words have no meaning anymore
Am I under the impression that Doug Jones will beat Tommy Tuberville? No.
Do I think having a very credible Democrat at the top of the ticket will help Democrats in several downballot races? Yes.
LET'S GO!!!
www.al.com/life/2025/11...
New York City Councilman Chi Osse does NOT get the DSA endorsement against Hakeem Jeffries in #NY08
23.11.2025 03:24 β π 25 π 3 π¬ 1 π 1I would say being an infomercial guy with a shady legal past and a weird history with women would disqualify him, but he is running in the Republican primary
23.11.2025 01:40 β π 203 π 16 π¬ 20 π 5The Virginia Democrats flipped the last Republican-held seat in Loudoun County blue this year when they won #HD30.
John McAuliff was the one to do so, winning this Trump+1 district by two points. This makes him the most successful Virginian named McAuliff(e) this decade
Mike Testa when he has the best opportunity to elect a Republican Governor in his entire time as the head of the Cumberland County GOP:
21.11.2025 23:10 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Down in Virginia's #HD49, we saw a very close race in a Trump+8 district. That's where Republican Danville City Councilman Madison Whittle beat his fellow City Councilman Gary Miller by six points.
Miller ran even with Spanberger despite no outside help from the state Dems!
Track AIPAC's own website has his contributions listed at $0 and here's an article describing their support for Fine:
loyolaphoenix.com/2025/10/pro-...
Well it's a good thing he's not!
AIPAC is pushing Fine in this race and have sent out emails attacking both Biss and Kat
Those three polls have been this one, a Biss internal, and a Kat Abu internal.
Laura Fine has also been stuck around 10% in third lagging in all three of them too. She's really going to need some major help if she wants to win (maybe from AIPAC?)
I don't think Biss is that low, but that's now three polls in the last few months that have had Biss and Kat Abu at 1st and 2nd respectively in #IL09
20.11.2025 23:48 β π 12 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Virginia's #HD86 looked like it was going to be a competitive district, but then Republican incumbent A.C. Cordoza was revealed to be a predator towards underaged girls.
Cordoza never really was able to claw back from that and ended up losing this Harris+2 district by eight.
Despite having over 30 years of incumbency on his side (alongside being in a Trump-won district), Virginia Republican Delegate Bobby Orrock still lost re-election in #HD66 earlier this month.
He lost his district to Spotsylvania school board member Nicole Cole by four points.
Pretty much final results in the Georgia #SD35 (Harris+56) special election:
Jaha Howard (D)- 32.6%
Roger Bruce (D)- 25.4%
Josh Tolbert (R)- 17.6%
Erica-Denise Solomon (D)- 17.3%
John Williams (D)- 5.3%
Corenza Morris (Ind)- 1.8%
Howard & Bruce advance to an all-Dem runoff!
Early/Absentee votes in for the Georgia #SD35 (Harris+56) special election:
Jaha Howard (D)- 32.7%
Roger Bruce (D)- 27.4%
Erica-Denise Solomon (D)- 20.1%
Josh Tolbert (R)- 11.5%
John Williams (D)- 6.5%
Corenza Morris (Ind)- 1.8%
Easy Dem hold, but nobody will get over 50%. Dem v Dem runoff ahead!
It's special election night in Georgia's #SD35! This Harris+56 district in western Atlanta has four Democrats, a Republican, and an Independent running.
Only question is if a Democrat can crack 50% (probably recently retired State Rep Roger Bruce) or two Dems advance to a runoff
Alabama just selected a new State Senate map for the Montgomery area after the old one was struck down by the courts. This makes #SD25 a very marginal Trump-won district, while keeping #SD26 safely Democratic.
Alabama Democrats now have a top tier pickup opportunity in 2026!
I don't know how much of that is an online thing vs an IRL thing. Have to see more proof of it
18.11.2025 02:24 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0I am completely fine with Amy Acton as the nominee
18.11.2025 02:15 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0They're doing this to me on the other site for thinking that Jared Golden and MGP are being performative centrists over the Chuy Garcia situation
18.11.2025 02:06 β π 20 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0The north side of Chicago/northern suburbs of Chicago have so little Republicans left that this is probably going to be their nominee for #IL09.
And they wonder why no one takes them seriously
bsky.app/profile/katm...
IL-04: "Oh, Chuy's retiring and anointed his own successor? Kinda machine-y, but that's politics I guess"
The Online: "HOW DARE HE! THIS IS AN OUTRAGE! A DICTATORSHIP! MGP IS MY HERO EVEN THOUGH SHE VOTED FOR A BUDGET THAT WILL RAISE HEALTHCARE COSTS FOR MILLIONS!!!!"
Actually being on the ground in #IL04 has made me realize how much of a beltway issue the whole Chuy Garcia coronating his own successor thing is.
Like, outside of a few Independents who are trying to potentially launch runs now, it has not really resonated here at all