Galip Dalay

The Middle East That Israel Has Made Why Washington will rue the costs of Israeli aggression.

Important piece about the realignment that is taking place in the Middle East as a result of Israel's new "forward defense doctrine." Since October 7, Israel has struck at least 6 countries in the region. Whereas Arab states used to be concerned about Iran, most regional actors now fear Israel.+

The Middle East That Israel Has Made Why Washington will rue the costs of Israeli aggression.

If Washington wants to foster regional stability in the Middle East, it must stop ignoring Israeli revisionism—and “anchor U.S. policy in support of a just resolution of the Palestinian question,” argue @galipdalay.bsky.social and Sanam Vakil.

Why the Global South Won’t Give Up on China The United States is pressuring developing countries to make a binary choice without making itself a better choice.

Attempts to roll back or counterbalance Beijing are now shaping Western strategies toward the global south — but the global south will not give up on China or make binary choices.

Read @galipdalay.bsky.social's latest analysis for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️

Why Putin Won’t Stop His Quest for the Black Sea "The Black Sea will define the future of the European security order for generations to come," write Galip Dalay and Natalie Sabanadze.

The way hostilities end in the Black Sea will redefine the regional order, Russia’s global future &the European security order for generations to come. Our new piece for TIME “Why Putin Won’t Stop His Quest for the Black Sea”-cowritten w Natalie Sabanadze time.com/7310503/puti... @chathamhouse.org

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a significant escalation but not a shift in Moscow’s strategic outlook – one rooted in resisting EU and NATO influence in the Black Sea.

Read @galipdalay.bsky.social and Natalie Sabanadze's latest for @chathamhouse.org .

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a significant escalation but not a shift in Moscow’s strategic outlook – one rooted in resisting EU and NATO influence in the Black Sea.

Read @galipdalay.bsky.social and Natalie Sabanadze's latest for @chathamhouse.org.

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

A fascinating new report by @galipdalay.bsky.social and Natalie Sabanadze for @chathamhouse.org.

It covers the ambitions of Russia in the Black Sea region, 🇷🇺🇹🇷 ties, the invasion of Ukraine and China's regional interests also.

A brilliant read on one of the world's most contested maritime domains⤵️

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a significant escalation but not a shift in Moscow’s strategic outlook – one rooted in resisting EU and NATO influence in the Black Sea.

Read @galipdalay.bsky.social and Natalie Sabanadze's latest for @chathamhouse.org.

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

The Black Sea is integral to Russia’s reimagining of its neo-imperial identity, its pursuit of great power status & its broader geopolitical calculus. “Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy” Our new paper for @chathamhouse.org, co-written w Natalie Sabanadze www.chathamhouse.org/2025/07/unde...

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

Report | Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy

The EU and NATO have misjudged 🇷🇺’s strategic intentions in the Black Sea and underestimated Moscow's resolve to achieve them.

With a declining US footprint in the region, the risks to Black Sea security are mounting.

Read our latest research⤵️

Understanding Russia’s Black Sea strategy How to strengthen Europe and NATO’s approach to the region

📢 NEW | Understanding Russia's Black Sea strategy

For nearly 20 years, the EU & NATO have underestimated Russia's Black Sea ambitions, write Natalie Sabanadze & @galipdalay.bsky.social in new @chathamhouse.org research.

📑 Read the paper for how to strengthen policy approaches to the region:

“From Bandung to Middle Power Internationalism: How to Remake the World” My debrief with Körber Stiftung,
informed by our workshop in April. koerber-stiftung.de/site/assets/... @fbigge.bsky.social @faisaldevji.bsky.social @woidelko.bsky.social @koerberhistory.bsky.social @koerber-ip.bsky.social

Why has the PKK ended its armed struggle? Members of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party lay down their arms after decades of war with Turkiye.

📰Sunday extras:

"Why has the PKK ended its armed struggle?" with @galipdalay.bsky.social , Mohammed A. Salih, @DavidLPhillips and Adrian Finighan. [1/5]

There was a lot of talk about the #Bandung spirit at the recent #BRICS summit in Rio. In our latest Debrief, written by
@galipdalay.bsky.social, we revisit the 1955 Bandung Conference and ask: Can its legacy inspire a cross-regional, middle-power agenda today? 🌍👉 koerber-stiftung.de/site/assets/...

“Bring back the spirit of Bandung”. Delighted to coauthored this piece w @faisaldevji & @NathalieTocci via @ForeignPolicy
The 1955 conference’s value-based approach to international affairs offers a model for middle powers today. t.co/3HvIfzgqbh

"This will lead to a reimagination of Turkish citizenship, the idea of the Turkish nation and Turkey's geopolitical identity."

@galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the disarmament of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and what it means for 🇹🇷, via @aljazeera.com

Europeans Start to Look to a World Order with “Less America” Donald Trump’s return to the White House has deepened doubts about US global leadership. Now, Europeans have a multitasking job ahead of them.

A good piece by Julia Ganter premised on surveys in some of key middle powers on how Europe needs to be better at multitasking at a time when the US is no longer interested to play its traditional role. @koerber-ip.bsky.social @koerberhistory.bsky.social
ip-quarterly.com/en/europeans...

"The mayor of Istanbul is the second most important elected office in Turkey after the president's office. Imamoglu is seen as the most formidable rival for Erdogan in 2028."

@galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the arrest of Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in Turkey, via @cnn.com.

With Trump’s inauguration, the EU and Turkey must finally get serious about security cooperation Trump’s commitment to NATO is questionable. The EU cannot hope to deter Russia effectively without closer cooperation with Ankara.

“For (a post-US) European security, Russia remains the most immediate threat, and Europe cannot afford to have a security order that is set against Moscow and excludes Turkey simultaneously.” My piece from Jan @chathamhouse.bsky.social www.chathamhouse.org/2025/01/trum...

Thank you Sinem

Thank you :)

🇪🇺 🇹🇷 🇬🇧 This Monday: Join GMF South for a lively discussion on foreign policy and security cooperation among the EU, Türkiye, and the UK.

🎥 Watch Live on GMF's YouTube channel: bit.ly/4jnuKrx

Russia Just Lost Its Great-Power Status | by Galip Dalay - Project Syndicate Galip Dalay explains why the fall of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad has diminished the Kremlin’s global influence.

Middle Eastern countries have grown accustomed to the geopolitical balancing act needed to navigate a post-Western world. But Russia’s humiliation in Syria might diminish its position as one of the poles of attraction, notes @galipdalay.bsky.social. bit.ly/4gNgINJ

#GlobalAkademiSöyleşileri bu ay #ÖzlemTür'ün kolaylaştırıcılığında #MelihaAltınışık ve @galipdalay.bsky.social ile "ABD seçimleri ve Orta Doğu" konusunu ele alıyor.

📅 4 Aralık 2024 🕖 19:00 📍 Zoom Webinar

Kayıt için:
us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...