Benjamin Guinaudeau

Are you a CSS researcher using LLMs for text annotation tasks? Do you integrate the results into downstream statistical analyses?

Turns out, even with SOTA models you have a 31-50% chance of coming to wrong conclusions this way!

Learn more about this and mitigation strategies in our new preprint 👇

TODAY Aug 28 - "Politics in 60 Seconds: Short-Form Video, TikTok, and Political Communication" at #APSA2025 -

2 PM, VCC West Ballroom B

Chair: @eunjikim.bsky.social. Discussant: @mollyeroberts.bsky.social

Just made this little diagram and it's so pretty! {ggdiagram} is really neat for these types of graphics #rstats

(code here: gist.github.com/andrewheiss/... )

Quite a strong final statement: "Descriptive research is important and it is a pity that the general obsession with causal estimates disincentivizes researchers from attempting to publish careful and detailed description."

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

Proportion of Papers by Year and Team Type

Excited to kick off #EPSA2025 on Day 1, Panel 1! 🎉

I’ll present my co-authored research with @michaelimre.bsky.social on 50 years of gender representation in political science publications. We analyze nearly 100,000 articles across 72 journals to uncover long-term trends. 🔍

@epsanet.bsky.social

Currently in FirstView: In “Crowdsourced Adaptive Surveys,” @yamilrvelez.bsky.social introduces a methodology (CSAS) that converts open-ended text from participants into survey items and applies a multi-armed bandit algorithm to determine which questions should be prioritized in the survey.

If you know me, you know I am obsessed with building dashboards. 😅

Well, I am excited to share that @ernesto-deleon.com, Max Paulus, & I were awarded a small grant to build an #rstats package to make them accessible to other researchers.

And we’re hiring a Research Assistant to help us do that!

Ryan speaks so well to this moment - how we the faculty have held our universities to a higher standard, how we can move them to right action by speaking loudly and together, and how universities will only continue to on the right side of history through our effort.

Excited to present our large-scale algorithm audit study where our team collaborated with 30 political parties to investigate bias in political ad delivery at the #AlgoSoc2025 conference!

Come to the poster session at 17:30 today if you want to know more :)

favstats.github.io/EuroAlgos/po...

🧵 Germany is heading toward a new ⚫️🔴GroKo, and Merz and SPD are pushing through a constitutional reform that will allow €1.000 billion in new debt. What happened to the CDU’s promise of budgetary rigor?
Our WP with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social sheds light on this. Let’s talk coalition politics.👇

Just run the wordfish model. I was not aware of such ideological segregation among supporters

The flyer shows the overview of the programme for the Text-as-Data Spring Term Speaker Series 2025, which usually takes place on Wednesdays at 5pm Berlin time.

The #TaDa Speaker Series is back for the spring 🎉 We're looking forward to an exciting line-up of talks by @prashantgarg.bsky.social, @miriamschirmer.bsky.social, @chdausgaard.bsky.social, @taniseceron.bsky.social, @lukashetzer.bsky.social, and Catarina Pereira! More infos at tada.cool & on Slack ⬇️

To universities: He pushed you to rewrite websites, he is pushing you to the next line.

What are you going to do?

a group of minions are standing next to each other with the words welcome to the club ALT: a group of minions are standing next to each other with the words welcome to the club

🥳

New WP with @vincentab.bsky.social @ryancbriggs.net. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8

Il y a des tweets qui vieillissent mieux que d'autres

The French Parliament has just brought down Michel Barnier’s government via a vote of no confidence – a first since 1962. A 🧵 on what is happening, what to expect next - and how the far right is capitalizing on the crisis.

Wrapper for the AT Protocol Behind Bluesky Wraps the AT Protocol (Authenticated Transfer Protocol) behind Bluesky <https://bsky.social>. Functions can be used for, among others, retrieving posts and followers from the network or posting conten...

As more #rstats folks arrived here recently: you can use the Bluesky API for free and there are several packages for it. You can find the one @benguinaudeau.bsky.social @favstats.bsky.social and I wrote here:

jbgruber.github.io/atrrr/

And a fun bot project: www.johannesbgruber.eu/post/2024-01...

I didn't even notice CRAN already approved it, but our (@benguinaudeau.bsky.social & @favstats.bsky.social) #rstats package to interact with 🦋 got an update 😁

Seriously? Not a single woman instructor, presenter, or organizer for a two week workshop. Do better.

www.law.northwestern.edu/research-fac...

Excited to share my latest paper out at PSRM
"Attitudes toward automation and the demand for policies addressing job loss: the effects of information about trade-offs" with Peter Loewen, @bartbonikowski.bsky.social, @sborwein.bsky.social and @blakelw.bsky.social.Open access here: bit.ly/49gEWg3

Our Bluesky #rstats package has made its way to CRAN 🥳

@benguinaudeau.bsky.social @favstats.bsky.social

Wrapper for the AT Protocol Behind Bluesky This package wraps the AT Protocol (Authenticated Transfer Protocol) behind Bluesky <https://blueskyweb.xyz>. Functions can be used for, among others, retrieving posts and followers from the...

We had to rename our ATproto/Bluesky #rstats package as CRAN does not allow submitting packages that already existed at some point (even archived once).

So here we (me + @benguinaudeau.bsky.social and @favstats.bsky.social)(re-)introduce {atrrr}: jbgruber.github.io/atrrr/

Genuinely opening a colleague's script to smoothly transition again into working after the X-Mas break. When suddenly... 🤌😵

Congrats!!

Inspired by the monotony of my review queue, here are 10 open American politics research questions that DO NOT involve the attitudes of Democrats and Republicans and can be answered with public data

Please, study literally anything other than the attitudes of Democrats and Republicans.

Here we go!

🇫🇷📊 Si 62% des Français pensent que le RN sort renforcé de ce vote, plus d'un Français sur deux jugent que E. Macron (52%), E. Borne (50%) ou leur parti Renaissance (53%) en sortent au contraire affaiblis. Les LR sortent plutôt renforcés (37%) aux yeux des Français.

Can't wait for the chapter on the *FLYING DUTCHMAN*. If only they had known that *E=MC2 TROOPER*
#AoE

Ukraine war: How TikTok fakes pushed Russian lies to millions The BBC uncovers a vast Russia-based network of fake TikTok accounts pushing disinformation about Ukraine.

A vast, covert Russian influence operation on TikTok involving 12,800 fake accounts spreading disinformation about the war in Ukraine to millions of users in Germany, France, Italy, Poland, Israel and Ukraine, has been uncovered by BBC Verify and @dfrlab.bsky.social.