Effle's Avatar

Effle

@effle.bsky.social

70 Followers  |  54 Following  |  432 Posts  |  Joined: 01.12.2024  |  2.5771

Latest posts by effle.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image

The dude lived the 70s/early 80s.

17.11.2025 03:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If he thinks he’s going to appease a base mad about Epstein by entering a foreign war that looks like a pretty obvious sham, I don’t think he understands his base well (or is getting terrible advice). That’s just another strike. *pun intended*

16.11.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Can you add another post clarifying this issue more? It sounds like you’re saying adding a home port advantage through higher demand isn’t good for scale economies in manufacturing/services.

13.11.2025 12:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/effl...

13.11.2025 00:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Current Fed Leaders

What will this page will look like by 2028?

www.federalreservehistory.org/people/curre...

12.11.2025 15:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Overview - Threads API - Documentation - Meta for Developers You may use the Threads API to enable people to create and publish content on a person’s behalf on Threads, and to display those posts within your app solely to the person who created it.

It died when they let bots run amok despite literally having the ability to verify real humans from their Facebook history. It’s almost as bad a cesspool now as Twitter. The API is the bot gateway.

developers.facebook.com/docs/threads...

11.11.2025 16:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

WTF happened to that guy? Wasn’t he generally respected for a bit? What happened to all these formerly sane people?

11.11.2025 16:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Hold my beer.

09.11.2025 16:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
two men are sitting in a car and one of them is pointing at the other . ALT: two men are sitting in a car and one of them is pointing at the other .
09.11.2025 16:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Imagine filing a lawsuit to avoid feeding hungry people with other people’s money.

Oh, but I’m sure he loves and cares about *you*.

07.11.2025 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We’re the same because hearing the word β€œillegals” sparks an emotional response.

Our differences reside in the why.

06.11.2025 15:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
two men are standing next to each other and talking to each other . ALT: two men are standing next to each other and talking to each other .

The law is wrong Bob.

06.11.2025 05:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

He continues to punish Americans with inflation he refuses to take the pain to control. That’s the data.

05.11.2025 21:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The shareholder counteroffer should be to not file a lawsuit noting the violation of duties of loyalty and care with the ask of returning the xAI corporate opportunity as compensation.

05.11.2025 02:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

These business owners are using the PPP loans to buy houses, to buy Teslas, to go on vacation. This is a really ugly program.

GOV: we really need to forgive these loans.

*ppp = 10 years of SNAP budget

03.11.2025 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Technology capital projects have been the largest beneficiary of what appears to be underpriced corporate credit riskβ€”the same conditions we saw forming in prior periods like 1997-99 and 2005-7 and 2022. We know how these all ended, with 2022 less severe because fed let inflation run higher longer.

31.10.2025 18:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
https://www.michaeldbauer.com/files/risk.pdf

https://www.michaeldbauer.com/files/risk.pdf

Ample evidence exists showing the relationship between risk appetite and monetary policy, even if we haven’t studied the transmission mechanisms sufficiently. Technology has just positioned itself through (often BS) narrative construction to be the biggest beneficiary of the risk taking.

31.10.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My personal view is that the entire Fed hasn’t caught on to the fact that lower rates (and tight credit spreads from repeated risk bailouts) are fueling some of the labor displacement by enabling $1T in project financing (and an equity bubble kicker) for AI to do the work instead.

31.10.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Entering an interesting monetary policy time where lower rates likely FIGHT the goal of maximum employment by enabling faster labor disrupting technical (*cough* AI) investments through both cheaper financing and elevated equity valuations….

28.10.2025 22:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Here at the moment and can confirm no one has left.

28.10.2025 22:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Threads isn’t far behind now.

28.10.2025 16:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah. Ground. Didn’t really shop around but was surprised at the number.

28.10.2025 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Related, I just shipped a 6lb small box for like $45. That was $26 5 years ago, and fuel prices don’t explain it.

28.10.2025 13:56 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That was a divestiture, but more broadly, they’re doing what everyone isβ€”jacking prices up as volumes fall. And the growth was still mostly internationalβ€”not US.

We have an inflation problem helping corporate revenues. And yet we still want to cut rates. It’s punishing.

28.10.2025 13:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

A rate cut this week into this GDP view and rebounding inflation is a convincing argument for everyone who believes 3% is the new 2%.

27.10.2025 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The secret to capitalism is to have government take equity stakes and lower interest rates into rising inflation.

27.10.2025 13:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Another person who thinks we have a β€œmarket economy.” Come on, now. The balance of evidence doesn’t support that conclusion.

26.10.2025 16:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So… a cut to 3-3/4 to 4% is clearly indicated here.

24.10.2025 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Finally, the 14th Amendment tried to avoid EXACTLY what’s happening now with party spirit running high...

24.10.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Further, one of the reasons birthright citizenship was codified with the very high bar of a Constitutional Amendment was to clearly make it the law of the land. Want to end birthright citizenship? Pass a Constitutional Amendment.

24.10.2025 19:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@effle is following 19 prominent accounts