Darrin Durant's Avatar

Darrin Durant

@darrinadurant.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Science & Policy @ University of Melbourne. Writes about experts, democracy, policy-making, disinfo, nuclear power & climate politics.

260 Followers  |  87 Following  |  203 Posts  |  Joined: 06.12.2024  |  2.3383

Latest posts by darrinadurant.bsky.social on Bluesky

If we imagined a CCA w/ legal (binding targets) & financial autonomy + transparency & accountability structures, most of us would say β€˜good’. The trouble is political insulation, which is in tension with Westminster norms and might pose ironic political capture risks (adverse selection problems).

06.12.2025 02:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

@matthewkearnes.bsky.social brought this thread to my attention (don’t know why). Before further replying, I just want to ensure I have Prof. Glabau’s thesis right: Collins, Evans & Reyes-Galindo are racists, favour elitism and should depart the field of STS?

02.12.2025 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

One complete cycle of a waveform?

02.12.2025 22:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The detailed answers from the panel seem to agree with you here, as they queried some extensions of claims.

Though IF they’re making inductive risk judgements, the values are not (super)imposed on the evidence, but playing indirect roles given uncertainties. Yes?

02.12.2025 21:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You would think the sparky would have built up a resistance to that one?

02.12.2025 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe one thing in Question A & B is they’re similar. Maybe designed to test a latent feature? Does the lack of statistical variability in β€˜Agree’ & β€˜Completely Agree’ suggest reliability?

02.12.2025 06:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A smartphone before age 12 could carry health risks, US study says Parents should think twice before letting younger children have a smartphone because of risks to long-term health and wellbeing, one of the largest-ever US studies on child brain development suggests.

FYI just reading an article reporting on a recent study that advises caution re: < 16’s and phone use.

My curiosity is still about what empirical claims the panelists mobilized, not whether the questions were perfect.
www.smh.com.au/world/north-...

02.12.2025 06:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe. Loaded questions forcing binary responses are not mitigated if the responses are not binary. Is that your claim here?

02.12.2025 06:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, I can see why you might think Q)a and Q)b are loaded. But do you think they’re egregious assumption traps? Is loading mitigated by a) the Likert scale, plus b) the detailed responses showing an unpacking of clauses in the queries?

01.12.2025 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Not optimism about value awareness, as self-awareness is so contingent. I just mean we, the analysts, could assess for inductive risk by treating the β€˜agents’ articulations (A & B earlier) as markers of inductive risk judgments?

01.12.2025 12:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

PS: seems doubtful that panelists are unaware of decision-making power asymmetry. I can’t see how that claim would stand empirically?

Might SocSci work on online engagement (good & bad) be a proxy for awareness that kid’s perspectives matter? We’ve called a similar thing virtual diversity

01.12.2025 05:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But the degree of realizing an inductive risk judgment is being made could at least be known in a preliminary way (sans ethnography) by looking at the cases offered for a) claims about social risks, and b) discussion of uncertainties in evidence?

01.12.2025 05:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I do not know if the panel thinks they are answering factual questions versus making inductive risk judgements. That itself seems an empirical question about which you might be making a value judgement about?

30.11.2025 11:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think overconfidence in a technological, free-market and autopilot energy transition also inspires a follow-on dismissiveness around governments approving, supporting or encouraging fossil fuel infrastructure (on the grounds that it won't compete with cheap renewables and therefore isn't a worry)

29.11.2025 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 115    πŸ” 28    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3
Post image

Let’s grant your claim that value judgments are present in both the statements & the evidence offered to support them. So? If values are baked into these inductive risk judgements, it’s their substantive nature we need to unpack not their mere presence?

30.11.2025 01:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Elon Musk’s Worthless, Poisoned Hall of Mirrors How X blew up its own platform with a new location feature

The β€˜About this Account’ feature on X reveals 1/2 of online MAGA = foreign trolls/bots & that X is:
- a β€œworthless, poisoned hall of mirrors”?
- β€œPost-truthification [where] nothing is true and everything is possible”?
- it’s a β€œRussian nesting doll of bullshit”?
www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...

24.11.2025 20:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Australia’s social media ban for > 16’s starts 10 Dec β€˜25. Does algorithmic opacity, inferential profiling & information asymmetry (@frankpasquale.mastodon.social.ap.brid.gy) render β€˜we can fix it’ (@crikey.com.au) unicorn thinking?
www.crikey.com.au/2025/11/10/f...

24.11.2025 02:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We can all imagine the disdain the recipient of the remark felt, but I do wonder whether the audience had enough sense to collectively groan and push back at such gaslighting?

15.11.2025 21:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Are Honest Brokers Good for Democracy? In Roger Pielke Jr.’s The Honest Broker (2007) he discusses different roles a scientist can adopt when giving advice to policymakers. The honest broker role focuses on clarifying and expanding the ...

Pielke’s ’honest broker’ ideal is nice rhetoric but basically smuggles in a non-reflexive account of scientific advice. Perfect for enabling the muzzling of scientists.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

15.11.2025 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
How did Australian universities go from free education to $50,000 arts degrees in 50 years? Thanks to the Job Ready Graduates scheme, an arts degree today will cost over $50,000. How have five decades of government policy taken us from free education to this?

Australia’s university system has somehow managed to devolve: from a free to an affordable education, but recently toward an inequitable and unfair funding scheme based on poor assumptions about both students and jobs.
theconversation.com/how-did-aust...

13.11.2025 05:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I reckon the most interesting subset of discourse here is when presumed [good] factors are actually either actually bad, or there to downplay or dismiss the bad even if the amount of good is way smaller than the bad.

A short thread to explain: on "training for electrification" + "demand response"

07.11.2025 12:19 β€” πŸ‘ 131    πŸ” 45    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 11

Name a single human frontier we didn’t pollute. It’s almost like (ignoring) environmental externalities is baked into the species, at least when commercial activity is involved.

Space is next?

07.11.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Seems a Pyrrhic victory to want Republicans, who failed to stop Trump & MAGA taking over the Republican Party, aim to take over the Democratic Party.

02.11.2025 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Nuclear power is a poor fit with renewables.
montelnews.com/news/1ea628e...

02.11.2025 11:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Nuclear power is a poor fit with renewables.
montelnews.com/news/1ea628e...

02.11.2025 11:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If the Blue Jays win the World Series in Game 7 vs two north-American teams does that mean Australia does not exist?

02.11.2025 04:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There’s a sort of Dunning-Kruger effect happening where people who read widely, consider various perspectives, and put in effort to understand views they disagree with worry that they don’t do that enough, while people who don’t do any of that accuse others of being in a bubble and call it a day.

01.11.2025 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1205    πŸ” 279    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 13
Post image

When Buzz Aldrin replied β€œit never happened” in response to whether β€œanything scary” happened during his moon landing, Kim Kardashian thought he was referring to the growth of her brain.
#moonlanding
#nasa

01.11.2025 06:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

When Trump refers to resuming nuclear weapons testing β€˜on an equal basis’, he just means the USA, Russia & China are already the big outliers vis-a-vis the Comprehensive Nuclear-Ban-Treaty and he is committed to keeping it that way.

30.10.2025 07:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Yes, without ever bluntly chasing out the absurdity of MAD, the writers captured the absurd spirit of β€œmay as well commit to wiping us all out just in case they’re committed to wiping us all out”.

30.10.2025 02:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@darrinadurant is following 20 prominent accounts