Jack Sillin

Man that’s nuts even for always leaning cold

It’s always warmer than modeled aloft and colder than modeled at the surface in these setups

Seems to be a stronger warm nose than modeled… what a shock haha

classic case as you mentioned with the somewhat positively tilted trough. shame we couldnt get tomorrow's shortwave in here 48 hours faster haha

oh no! thinkin of ya man. hopefully nothing too serious

Stuck in Manhattan tonight but at least Maine’s cloudy too I guess

Whoa those satellite images are super cool! And those era5 plots look familiar don’t they haha

My Ioniq 5 is awesome, I’d never go back to gas if you paid me

this makes me viscerally angry. what a cool tool lit on fire for no reason

Some of Mamdani’s policies are good, some are bad, a few are terrible, but the way he does politics is so refreshing I would totally vote for him if I lived in NYC

Superensemble for sure

AI next

Recon last as tidbits and cyclonicwx already do very solid recon viewers

Knowing that RFK cries a little each time I get a vaccine makes it hurt a lot less

You versus the TC she tells you not to worry about

I’d take the other side of that bet

Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing!

I like cold and snow and mountains.

I do not like heat, humidity, and insane politics

Following up after a weekend of observing #Erin. The real track fell on the left side of the ECMWF Ensemble guidance envelope, but near a solid cluster of members.

Only one deepmind member showed a scenario remotely similar to what actually happened.

What else would you be looking for?

Like what?

This morning's ECMWF Ensemble forecast scenarios for #Erin (left) vs Google DeepMind (right).

Which do you think provides more useful information about tropical cyclone forecast uncertainty?

I’m glad I’m out of the (public) grand thought business haha

12z is also a bit of a jab at those confidently saying there’s absolutely nothing to worry about. But yeah lots of overconfidence in D7+ NWP output

Hardly even need the “P” based on satellite trends IMO

Trump’s Unforgivable Sin Voters have proved willing to tolerate corruption, but there’s one thing they won’t ignore.

"Americans already understood Trump to be corrupt, and proved themselves willing to tolerate that. But now they are coming to believe that he is inept. In American politics, that is an unforgivable sin."

www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

It’s been a really beautiful stretch for S2S processes

YouTube video by Sean Sublette Sean Sublette - Meteorologist for Congress: Welcome to Virginia

This is an unprecedented time in our nation's history.

Conspiracies, lies, and gaslighting are running amok.

We need more scientists in Congress.

I was born and raised here, and I am running to represent all Virginians from Chesterfield County to the Chesapeake Bay.

It is only a matter of time before this kills a lot of people

In 2028 my primary vote will go to whichever candidate promises the worst public humiliation for everyone involved in DOGE