Janyce McGregor's Avatar

Janyce McGregor

@janycemcgregor.bsky.social

Reporting on Canadian politics and international trade for @CBCNews. Raising three great kids with @michaelpetrou. "Heavy rotation on the CBC. Whatever in hell that really means." (Kathleen Edwards)

847 Followers  |  185 Following  |  59 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024  |  1.7952

Latest posts by janycemcgregor.bsky.social on Bluesky

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What my kids school assignment (and Bayesian logic) teaches us about Trump's trade deals.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

03.08.2025 02:46 β€” πŸ‘ 725    πŸ” 220    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 11
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Trade-Offs in Trump’s Trade Policy President Donald Trump’s tariff policies create conundrums that challenge his other stated goals of winning the AI race, reindustrializing the United States, and reducing trade deficits.

Trade policy must always cope with inconsistency and unintended consequences, but Trumpian trade policy is an extreme outlier. I’ve never seen so many inconsistencies amid a profound lack of clear objectives. A negotiator’s nightmare.

03.08.2025 07:31 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump calls for firing of senior Labor official after job market weakens in July Trump called for the firing of the Labor statistics official after data earlier showed employers added just 73,000 jobs in July, while job gains for the previous two months were largely erased.

The job market weakened sharply during the late spring and early summer as Trump's tariffs began to take effect. Trump responded by calling for the firing of a key labor statistician.

01.08.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 482    πŸ” 163    πŸ’¬ 51    πŸ“Œ 21
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The Looming Legal Risk Facing Trump’s Tariffs Inside the room with the judges who will decide their future.

"The Looming Legal Risk Facing Trump’s Tariffs: Inside the room with the judges who will decide their future"

Good piece on yesterday's IEEPA tariff hearing (make sure to read the interesting footnote at end!)

01.08.2025 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
a map of Trump's new tariff rates

a map of Trump's new tariff rates

Here's what Trump's new tariff hikes look likeβ€”another 5% on major allies like the EU, Japan, & South Korea. Another 10% on large trading partners like India, Vietnam, & Canada. Some rather insane choices like 39% tariffs on Switzerland, 41% on Syria, and of course 50% on Brazil.

01.08.2025 00:30 β€” πŸ‘ 246    πŸ” 63    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 14
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How Trump Let $1 Trillion Worth of Imports Escape His Tariff Hammer Exclusions reflect conflicting goals: to rip up the rules of global trade while cushioning US consumers. But the process isn’t transparent, and not everybody wins.

Ever since Trump on April 2 announced the biggest tariff increase in modern history he’s insisted there’s no exclusions available.

The thing is Trump has granted exclusions to imports worth more than $1 trillion, as we reveal in this
@bloomberg.com Big Take:

www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

31.07.2025 21:45 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
Will Trump's Trade Deals Increase U.S. Exports? One of the criticisms of the Biden administration on trade policy was that it didn't put enough effort into improving access for U.S. producers to foreign markets. The Trump administration, by contras...

Understandably, the focus of the analysis of Trump's tariffs/trade policy has been on the impact on imports into the U.S., but the Trump administration is also pushing for better access to foreign markets. In my latest blog post, I suggest this is another metric by which to judge his trade policy.

31.07.2025 11:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"Why I Signed the Economists’ Amicus Brief Challenging Trump’s Emergency Tariffs" www.cato.org/blog/why-i-s...

31.07.2025 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

"There are concerns that the United States may be 'moving the goalposts' by imposing new tariffs after agreements on the threatened ones have already been reached," writes the CSIS Economics Program and Scholl Chair in International Business.

Read here: www.csis.org/analysis/sec...

31.07.2025 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Big q on Trump Russia statements is not just whether he feels ok re oil market impact but if he is ready to countenance financial sanctions (primary +secondary) or if he is still focused on less credible secondary tariffs. working w europeans on enforcement could be more impact.

29.07.2025 19:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some thoughts about the Eu-US framework and where we are in the trade war. Tldr: tariffs are up significantly since January, meaning US costs too, many questions remain including on Eu market access for ag products. USG will view approach as success

rziemba.substack.com/p/new-phase-...

27.07.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I would like to submit a request that there be no more trade deal press conferences until a trade deal is actually done. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

27.07.2025 22:09 β€” πŸ‘ 735    πŸ” 105    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 6

The EU-US trade deal is here - it's probably not the end of uncertainty as the details are ironed out, but it's a momentous deal. In sum, it's a political defeat for the EU, but in economic terms I see it as, under the circumstances, a win of sorts. 🧡

27.07.2025 19:00 β€” πŸ‘ 249    πŸ” 104    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 30

Deal reached #EU #US #tarrifs πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈMy first assessment:not satisfactory.This is a lopsided deal.Concessions have clearly been made that are difficult to accept. Deal with significant imbalance. Furthermore lot of questions still open.E.g. Standstillclause? More concrete numbers?

27.07.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Library of Congress

27.07.2025 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Took a break from Epstein coverage to go for a walk in downtown DC. These pix are from the outside of the DOJ building. The irony of America breaks my heart sometimes.

25.07.2025 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 117    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 3

Australia to allow NAFTA beef:

"Since 2019 Australia has allowed US beef into the country but had concerns about cattle born in Mexico and Canada that was slaughtered in America, resulting in no beef coming from the US to Australia because supply chains are largely integrated between the countries"

23.07.2025 21:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Will all the digital firms that have been proactively collecting the cost of the DST from their customers for months now in anticipation of today’s remittance now be refunding these extra inflationary charges?

30.06.2025 15:08 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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how times have changed. G7 Kananaskis chair's summary comments on trade and climate change, 2002
1/4

18.06.2025 12:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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In crokinole country

IYKYK:
www.cbc.ca/newsinteract...

09.06.2025 18:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Lazy days of summer? Not for these MPs | CBC News We know what some of your MPs did last summer... because we asked for their best stories about what they've been up to since the House of Commons rose in June.

Marc Garneau's passing sent me back to a more personal interview I did with him for this story I wrote over a decade ago. Turned out to be a treat to re-read in retrospect for all sorts of reasons... so re-upping in case you want to join me on memory lane:
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...

05.06.2025 13:30 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

To everyone chattering about how Canada should or could join the EU, I would like to put a basic question:

If these allies/trade partners can't even finish ratifying CETA, how the h-e-hockey sticks can we even contemplate a political conversation on membership?

Perhaps bandwidth should refocus.

07.05.2025 14:45 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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The way my Lenten Rose is just bursting… so satisfying

04.05.2025 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Canadians bombarded with rightwing content on Musk’s X ahead of election FT analysis finds network of social media accounts attacking Liberal leader Mark Carney

www.ft.com/content/743c...

26.04.2025 15:28 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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As foreign actors work to influence Canada's election, how safe is your vote? | CBC News This is the first federal election since the final report on foreign interference was delivered. Advocates and security officials alike say they're seeing adversaries wage influence campaigns aimed at...

ICYMI yesterday - link to listen in this story:

www.cbc.ca/news/politic...

19.04.2025 10:33 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Β© CBC/Radio-Canada 2025. All rights reserved.

Personal plug!
I've had a side project on the go while also covering daily (election! trade!) news for the last few months.
I'm hopeful it lands at a poignant moment as we're all thinking carefully about disinformation.
Airing on CBC Radio One at noon... or listen here:
www.cbc.ca/listen/live-...

18.04.2025 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
CBC.ca - Program Guide - Programs

If you're near your radio tomorrow, I hope you'll tune in:
www.cbc.ca/programguide...
(And if you aren't: this special feature is also a podcast...
URL to follow)
@CBCWorldReport @CBCTheHouse

17.04.2025 13:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ensuring National Security and Economic Resilience Through Section 232 Actions on Processed Critical Minerals and Derivative Products By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, including the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, as

The new critical minerals Section 232 investigation will also cover "derivative products β€” the manufactured goods incorporating them."

That could make this a pretty big deal.

15.04.2025 22:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I feel compelled to point out -- no laughing please! -- that Congress could put a stop to this tariff nonsense.

02.04.2025 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 195    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 3

@janycemcgregor is following 20 prominent accounts