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Jason Murphy

@jasemurphy.bsky.social

Author of one(1) book. Journalist. Economist. #rstats #mecfs #ausecon. May be found walking his dog in Melbourne, Australia.

5,593 Followers  |  2,997 Following  |  2,212 Posts  |  Joined: 11.07.2023  |  2.3032

Latest posts by jasemurphy.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The failure mode of gumboots. A photo essay...

03.08.2025 09:09 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I knew we got rid of shillings, didn't know we ever used Fahrenheit! The song references someone flying in from the coast, perhaps I can square that with the Fahrenheit if it's the old school meaning of flying, a quick trip?

27.07.2025 22:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Are you saying Australia used to use Fahrenheit?

27.07.2025 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The use of Fahrenheit in the song How to Make Gravy is just an egregious blunder by Paul Kelly, a man whose instincts are usually very good. No Aussie talks about it being a hundred degrees at Christmas.🦐

27.07.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 1

If you get out that book at a 4 year old's birthday party, a whole lot of elder Millennials will start reminiscing, hard.

27.07.2025 04:09 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Actually the kid is 4. He just wanted that one!

26.07.2025 07:48 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Shout out to my beloved who has *nailed* this cake from the venerable book.

26.07.2025 05:57 β€” πŸ‘ 77    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

Why did you put the best song in this lowly position, Australia?!?

26.07.2025 05:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The video at the top of the thread is the context for sense-checking the data. Were Waymos crashing at the same rates as human-driven cars, there'd be videos of it everywhere. What we get instead is viral videos of waymos being stuck and confused. That's their fail mode.

25.07.2025 00:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the way the human input works is to get a car out of a tight spot when it gets stuck. they don't do reactions to accident situations.
I accept that Waymos get stuck in dumb ways in odd situations and can be bad for traffic.

25.07.2025 00:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Driverless cars have an incredible potential to ruin the urban form. They could make our current definition of sprawl look very petite and cute.
But pretending the cars aren't safer isn't going to win you those arguments.

25.07.2025 00:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Yes it's losing money.
I'm confused by the insistence that they are not driving in the same places as people.
That is literally true - the operating space is bounded. But is the space so small and artificial the conclusion they're safer is unsound? imo no.

25.07.2025 00:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Safety Impact We're voluntarily sharing our safety data to demonstrate how the Waymo Driver is making roads safer in the places we currently operate. See the stats.

I recommend having a squizz at the data and forming your own view on what it really shows. waymo.com/safety/impact/

24.07.2025 23:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That's a great question. Waymo have done 100 million miles cumulatively. And they do 250,000 trips a week. Not as many as human drivers. But enough to generate a big sample. If the cars were going to crash at the same rate as human drivers, we'd see evidence.

24.07.2025 23:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Meanwhile the driverless Waymos are being permitted in larger areas. The tech is continuing to work well without any catastrophic safety incidents that we know of.
imo the trajectory here is one that will save a lot of lives.

24.07.2025 23:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't think I'm comparing unfairly! The video above shows plenty of crashes in 60km/h zones on city streets. There's one in the first 13 seconds.

24.07.2025 23:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Looks good/ promising up there!

24.07.2025 23:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

those bells!! iconic.

24.07.2025 23:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Do you have space in your home for an appliance almost the size of a fridge? I sure don't. My roomba is annoying enough.

24.07.2025 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The evidence of the safety upside of Waymo is in already. These things are going to be excellent.

24.07.2025 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Australian Car Crash / Dash Cam Compilation 47
YouTube video by Dash Cam Owners Australia Australian Car Crash / Dash Cam Compilation 47

Ever seen a video of a self-driving cars getting, say, lost in a carpark and someone's scoffing like, UGH! these things! They will never be useful!?
Here's what I think of as a "comparator dataset" where we look at the actual status quo. www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWTC... 1/2

24.07.2025 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Despite everything the share price is nearly double where it was last year. Gotta be the most precarious stock in the index!

24.07.2025 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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those days are over I think

24.07.2025 00:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

He has a new "masterplan" in the works.
He says to expect "teething pains".
but then ...
β€œtesla will be the most valuable company in the world by far.”
(!)

23.07.2025 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

He will be "shocked" if they are not making 100,000 a month of these within five years.

23.07.2025 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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He is talking a *lot* about his Jetson's robot:

23.07.2025 21:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Listening to Tesla's q2 earnings call and Mr Musk's demeanour at the beginning was stable and smooth.
But within just 15 minutes he is slurring his words and leaving long pauses. This could get fun by the time we arrive at Q&A !

23.07.2025 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Giving a country 'map measles' - dots all over the map - just because rich countries have that? No.

23.07.2025 01:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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14 years and 7 months old. This Curly Coat Retriever is somehow both on her last legs *and* still desperate for two walks a day.

23.07.2025 01:31 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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I tried rice cooker. Hmm. Not sure about what I've done here. Will keep experimenting...

18.07.2025 10:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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