Catalist says that, if anything, it decreased by the tiniest amount.
20.05.2025 15:14 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0@pisomerandomguy.bsky.social
Slightly left of center. Anti-anti-optimistic. No more or less random than anyone else. Data analyst/scientist by trade, election forecaster by hobby. Episcopalian, Ace, Xennial, #ActuallyAutistic. Chicagoan. https://pisomerandomguy.substack.com/archive
Catalist says that, if anything, it decreased by the tiniest amount.
20.05.2025 15:14 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0... but when voter turnout goes up it's often both the cause and effect of bad things.
The majority of the country that is low enough on conscientiousness and interest in politics that they don't reliably vote maybe shouldn't! (2/2)
I honestly think the world is better when voter turnout is lower.
I don't like thinking that way because I have a strong moral view that voting is important, and in theoretical principle democracy would be better if everyone voted all the time ... (1/2)
2 fucking headlines right next to each other
21.02.2025 18:43 β π 3542 π 1538 π¬ 83 π 72On Gabbard (like with RFK) I think weβre going to find out years from now that people close to the White House directly threatened senators with more than just the possibility of a primary.
11.02.2025 00:57 β π 324 π 58 π¬ 8 π 5we should probably teach kids to code more just to demystify this shit. like itβs not easy, but itβs very learnable. letting people think Being Good At Computer makes you a genius polymath has been such a disaster.
06.02.2025 05:26 β π 2370 π 405 π¬ 66 π 30there is no central election infrastructure in the united states
06.02.2025 05:37 β π 526 π 43 π¬ 24 π 4you can tell the leftists who say both sides are the same are lying because there's only one side where they feel like they're in physical danger if they protest it
01.02.2025 16:26 β π 229 π 40 π¬ 2 π 2cannot be said enough that for a decade a critical number of americans have simply refused to accept that he means what he says
02.02.2025 01:44 β π 47285 π 6568 π¬ 1219 π 240economically this administration is basically Herbert Hoover's tariff policy mixed with Liz Truss level cuts
the social policy is basically Miller's immigration restrictionism mixed with postliberal/NatCon
i do not think this is a plausible social formation for long term governance
I think this might be assuming too much logic/competence from Trump. Are you sure he actually considered people with higher rank than Hegseth, or that even if he did he valued rank highly in his decision?
01.02.2025 21:13 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yeah, what not enough people are considering is that the impact of these tariffs on America doesn't end at whatever inflation/currency things happen.
There will be retaliatory actions and they will hurt in their own ways!
Good morning. It is currently 10am EST. If you believe the President, ostensibly you now have to pay massive tariffs on roughly 43% of all goods brought into the United States. Yet there is STILL not any official documentation on any of this.
01.02.2025 15:11 β π 2212 π 423 π¬ 67 π 55The funniest thing is that "can you trace your ancestry in the US back to 1776" would exclude a higher % of White Americans than Black Americans.
31.01.2025 15:48 β π 99 π 6 π¬ 2 π 1Gesticulates
31.01.2025 03:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A chart showing egg prices surging to historic highs under Trump
A chart showing coffee prices surging to historic highs under Trump
Trump's War On Breakfast
30.01.2025 02:08 β π 4 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Of course, some of this will get shut down by courts etc. but some of this is going to slip through. And I'm just going by what he's done/talked about in the first week, I'm sure there will be more.
ICE raids and militarizing the border are probably popular but that's pretty much it.
- Jan 6 pardons (people don't care much, but unpopular in the abstract)
- Funding freezes
- Ending birthright citizenship, esp. for even children of documented workers
- Tariffs are mixed in popularity in the abstract but the corresponding price increases are definitely not
(Unfortunately, this is certainly not meant as a statement that it will not work)
28.01.2025 17:30 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Traditionally, authoritarians trying to consolidate power in democracies try to do popular things to get people on their side so they have support for crackdowns and consolidation of power, and then they do the less popular things once they have the power.
Trump's strategy seems ... different.
AYITL is so terrible. I refuse to accept it as canon.
28.01.2025 03:31 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0yeah I have friends with autism who are socially awkward (and friends with autism who aren't!) and the thing that often stresses them out is the thought that they might accidentally cause pain
24.01.2025 04:50 β π 420 π 40 π¬ 13 π 2That doesn't seem like a great explanation for why the big surge is with 12th-graders in 2017, though?
24.01.2025 00:41 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0But there's definitely nothing to see here.
19.01.2025 23:04 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0And the ban passed committee unanimously with support from Ds and Rs across the ideological spectrum after they viewed classified material about it ...
19.01.2025 23:04 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0And also ...
www.axios.com/2024/03/21/s...