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sean

@theabd.substack.com

Retired lifeguard

392 Followers  |  437 Following  |  4,480 Posts  |  Joined: 07.07.2023  |  2.3822

Latest posts by theabd.substack.com on Bluesky

Economists be normal for one gd minute challenge, difficulty: impossible

12.08.2025 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Oh I thought you said ligma male

12.08.2025 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"tariffs, by definition, cannot be inflationary" says the guy Trump just nominated to be in charge of defining and measuring inflation.

(He also also wrong. He's playing with MV=PQ reasoning, and assumes a supply shock won't ↓Q.)
[Source: www.aging.senate.gov/download/05/...

12.08.2025 11:52 β€” πŸ‘ 363    πŸ” 88    πŸ’¬ 22    πŸ“Œ 3

Remember the BLS also calculates the inflation (the CPI) and a host of other price indices. This role requires confirmation from the Senate, so perhaps there is hope we can avoid an unforced error in the expertise behind our economic data.

12.08.2025 00:43 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump's nominee for BLS commissioner, EJ Antoni, is disastrously terrible. He's a 1200%, 1300% maybe 1400% in-the-tank Trumper, with few credentials beyond a history of misrepresenting or misunderstanding economic statistics. He has shown no commitment to truth
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

11.08.2025 23:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1445    πŸ” 523    πŸ’¬ 80    πŸ“Œ 67

I don’t think I have ever publicly criticized any Presidential nominee before.

But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.

He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.

11.08.2025 23:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2928    πŸ” 755    πŸ’¬ 135    πŸ“Œ 38
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This reply bot is cracking me up. It’s so sad!

11.08.2025 19:41 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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CBO/JCT data shows the distributional effect of OBBBA vs current law baseline. Ouch. www.cbo.gov/system/files...

11.08.2025 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 87    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 4

To the extent the bottom two quintiles of workers have adopted more conservative cultural views (speculative based on 2024 election results), the GOP calculus might be it’s now easier to jam them on economic policy (which is their desired outcome anyway).

11.08.2025 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
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Still goes hard

11.08.2025 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Seems high pressure! I’d certainly be disqualifying for anyone in my family to get that high up

11.08.2025 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Probably better open up telework again to keep your employees safe…

11.08.2025 14:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hard to pick which β€œanalysis” of his is my favorite.

On the left, he made a quadratic β€œmodel” that assumed boomers were *just* set to start unretiring, until COVID and then Joe Biden.

But on the right, you have this absolute masterpiece….

10.08.2025 23:59 β€” πŸ‘ 299    πŸ” 72    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 17
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I pick up new details every time I rewatch this movie

11.08.2025 00:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Erika McEntarfer, fired as BLS head by Trump

…got her PhD in 2002

…has 47 publications

…which have 1327 citations

10.08.2025 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 928    πŸ” 306    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 9

BBC International Editor Jeremy Bowen has confirmed that the entire Al Jazeera team in Gaza City has been killed.

10.08.2025 22:33 β€” πŸ‘ 12295    πŸ” 9915    πŸ’¬ 623    πŸ“Œ 1656
Nvidia, AMD to Pay 15% of China Chip Sale Income to US, FT Says Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. agreed to pay 15% of their revenues from chip sales to China to the US government as part of a deal with the Trump administration to secure export…

I have many questions www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

10.08.2025 21:38 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

A lot of replies to this thread argue from where they wish the world were vs where it is. β€œWhat about morality…” things like that. This idea is more based on the world that is

10.08.2025 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why American fast-food chains are struggling β€” Axios Low-income consumers are increasingly steering clear of fast-food restaurants amid concerns about the broader economy.

Is anyone going to link the steep decline in fast food consumption by lower income households to inflation (particularly food inflation) and a signal of increasingly tight budgets among already constrained households? stocks.apple.com/AjRHQyXzCRra...

10.08.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The greatest punk song

10.08.2025 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My neighbor in college was charged with indecent exposure for pissing off his boat after getting into it with another boater while he was drunk. It was one of the charges along with boating under the influence. I’m not sure if it was to get him to plead guilty, but he was legit shook by the prospect

10.08.2025 13:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe they used it just to try to get him to cop a plea, but he was terrified about it when I talked to him last

10.08.2025 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A neighbor of mine in college was drunk on his boat and got into it with another boater. Among the things he was charged for was dui (or bui I don’t know), public intoxication, and indecent exposure, which he said had him staring down offended status. Dunno the result of the case. It was his sr year

10.08.2025 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Junior Caminero's bat split in half and the end stuck in the infield dirt like a lawn dart

10.08.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 362    πŸ” 74    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 17

The Day the Earth Stood Still

It isn’t my favorite but I think it was an incredible and under appreciated performance. Keanu does detached intrigue really well

09.08.2025 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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"Democracy is communism." These people are even dumber than I am. And I work pretty hard at this, so I wouldn't have thought that possible.

09.08.2025 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 123    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 4

come treat yourself on this beautiful friday night ‡️‡️‡️

09.08.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œI just bite off more than I can chew, then I chew it” is never not hilarious to me

09.08.2025 01:25 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Anybody who has worked hands-on with private sector data understands it cannot replace government statistics.

Look no further than the National Association of Business Economist's statement from last week for what practitioners think: files.constantcontact.com/668faa28001/...

08.08.2025 20:15 β€” πŸ‘ 63    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Nah, it’s best to let this season go, in terms of expectations. No addition by subtraction, especially wrt Tatum

08.08.2025 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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