Adam H. Smiley

I was a ‘go, go, go’ academic. My days were blurred by meetings, lab work, and deadlines, yet I still felt behind.

www.science.org/content/arti...

Wow, this meta analysis was entirely fictional. This thread reveals that it appears to be AI generated bullshit loaded with fake citations.

We are entering a very worrisome situation where AI can generate papers that look real at a glance—this one fooled me too.

The committee’s ranking of them is also rude 😒

wtf is a FIFA peace prize? that's like being an NFL laureate in physics

Excited to announce DID lab's first paper!

psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...

We find that children as young as 6 show political ingroup preference!

First paper of very talented @annie-schw.bsky.social!

In JEP: General's special issue on political development (1/3)

My first registered replication report, study on the illusory truth effect, and study published in PB&R with @lkfazio.bsky.social ‼️Preprint here: osf.io/preprints/ps...

Previous research found that the illusory truth effect was smaller for conspiracy statements than for trivia statements...

Excited to post the latest version of my JMP: The female labor supply constraints of spousal jealousy bit.ly/4nn9apn

I use two field experiments to study the role of spousal jealousy in constraining married women’s employment. More below 👇:

New post with grad student @ugurozkusen.bsky.social out in @spspnews.bsky.social's Character & Context on a new JEP:G paper using intergroup contact on social media to reduce prejudice.

Read the Character & Context post: tinyurl.com/28hyccs7
Read the full paper in JEP:G: tinyurl.com/mpkhsjay

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"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou WORKING PAPER 34524 DOI 10.3386/w34524 ISSUE DATE November 2025 Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

令 1 1 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 Year Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social

New paper in press at JPSP! An adversarial collaboration focusing on a large-scale test of how strongly implicit racial attitudes predict discriminatory behavior. Pre-print here: osf.io/preprints/ps...

About half the TV ads I’ve seen this week (in Nashville) are related to this race

This is the scandal. Trump isn’t targeting dangerous people. He’s targeting peaceful immigrants. Almost exclusively.

That is an awesome fireplace!

1st paper in thread. The 2nd & my last submitted paper of 2025 is my big theory paper that took over a year to write. Some of you have generously invited me to speak about it but very few have seen the paper. I propose what I call Racial Contrast Theory, to examine Black-Asian relations
osf.io/easwg

How one conservative Christian family is pushing back against ICE A coalition of activists, everyday citizens and people of faith — including theologically conservative Christians — who have pooled resources and learned new technologies to mount an effort they say i...

NEW: Earlier this month, I spent the day with the Luhmanns — a family rooted in theologically conservative Christianity.

In the morning, the homeschooled teenage sons tracked ICE.

In the afternoon, the mother aided an immigrant mother whose partner was deported. religionnews.com/2025/11/25/h...

Vengeance (2022) - Ashton Kutcher as Quentin Sellers - IMDb Vengeance (2022) - * Quentin Sellers: You're a playlist guy. * Ben Manalowitz: What does that mean? * Quentin Sellers: When some computer recommends you a bunch of songs based on your favorites and a...

Full quote here: www.imdb.com/title/tt1197...

There a quote from (my favorite movie) “Vengeance” about the downside of playlist algorithms that hits pretty hard for me:

I mostly just listen to artists/albums I like, podcasts, or occasionally search for a playlist (e.g., “hot country” or “Christian coffeehouse”) that fits the vibe I’m going for. I forgot discover weekly existed until I saw your post haha

Almost never

Postdoctoral Researcher Positions!

The Office (US) characters as academics, a thread.

Creed Bratton: got a TT job by mail in 1964, without an interview. somehow hasn't retired yet. Invented some method used by the entire field. Completely nuts but still friendly

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Chart showing U.S. adults who are Republican or lean toward the GOP are more religious than Democrats and Democratic leaners. For instance, 52% of Republicans say they pray daily, compared with 35% of Democrats. And 41% of Republicans say they go to religious services monthly or more often, compared with 24% of Democrats.

Chart showing about eight-in-ten Republicans identify with a religion, including large majorities of each racial and ethnic group. Democrats are less likely than Republicans to identify with a religion. About six-in-ten Democrats do, while four-in-ten are religiously unaffiliated, meaning they identify as atheist, agnostic or “nothing in particular” when asked about their religion. Most Black Democrats (79%) identify with a religion, as do smaller majorities of Hispanic Democrats (67%) and Asian Democrats (60%). White Democrats are almost evenly divided between those who identify with a religion and those who are religiously unaffiliated. Looking at Christianity

40% of Democrats are religiously unaffiliated (Republicans are half as likely to be unaffiliated).

Across measures, Republicans report more religiousness.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/11/20/religiousness-varies-a-lot-by-race-among-democrats-relatively-little-among-republicans/

The replication crisis has shown that social psych is largely built upon sand rather than solid ground. While practices have improved dramatically we’re still trying to figure out which “older” theories hold and which do not. And I personally struggle to track what has replicated vs. not.

Partisan Communities and Affective Polarization - Adam H. Smiley, Cheryl R. Kaiser, 2025 American communities have become increasingly politically homogeneous, with affective polarization, a form of animosity between political groups, concurrently o...

Not sure if this is what you’re looking for, but might be applicable! journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

GenZ version of dplyr in R

Hadley Wickham made a GenZ version of dplyr 😂

hadley.github.io/genzplyr/

I used a screenshot of this thread in my research methods class today when I was talking about how many positions AI positions universities are hiring for lol

SPSP Scholars at Undergrad Institutions: Submit Your Research for SPSP's PUI Invited Talk Series Submission Deadline: December 2

👋Don't forget to submit your research for the SPSP PUI Invited Talk Series! This initiative is a great way to highlight outstanding scholarship at Primarily Undergraduate Institutions.

📌Deadline: December 2

👉Apply here: ow.ly/szRj50XuKnH

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump SEDITIOUS BEHAVIOR, punishable by DEATH! 655 ReTruths 1.93k Li... 11/20/25, 9:21 AM

🚨 Trump calls for the death of Democratic senators and representatives who produced a video advising members of the military and intelligence communities not to follow illegal orders:

But what about muffuletta-ing?!

A scatter plot titled "Fair and square? Russian federal elections, 2000-21" which visualizes the results of Russian federal elections. The x-axis represents voter turnout in percentage, ranging from 0 to 100%. The y-axis represents the percentage of votes for Putin, Medvedev, or the United Russia party, also ranging from 0 to 100%. Each dot on the plot represents a polling station. A cluster of dots appears in the upper right corner, indicating high voter turnout and a high percentage of votes for the specified candidates. A dashed rectangle highlights a grid-like pattern of dots at numbers ending in zero and five, with an annotation suggesting this pattern indicates potential foul play. The source is cited as Kobak and Shpilkin (2021).

Now this is how you detect whether an election was stolen. Humans choose rounder numbers.

by @TheEconomist