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Lara Goscé

@laragosce.bsky.social

Assistant Professor in Modelling at LSHTM, TB modeller

316 Followers  |  250 Following  |  4 Posts  |  Joined: 17.11.2024  |  1.9815

Latest posts by laragosce.bsky.social on Bluesky

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U.S. issues sanctions against United Nations investigator probing abuses in Gaza The State Department's decision to impose sanctions on Francesca Albanese, the U.N. special rapporteur for the West Bank and Gaza, follows an unsuccessful campaign to force her removal.

The State Department's decision to impose sanctions on Francesca Albanese, the U.N. special rapporteur for the West Bank and Gaza, follows an unsuccessful campaign to force her removal.

10.07.2025 12:03 — 👍 371    🔁 134    💬 40    📌 22
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio has imposed sanctions on Francesca Albanese, the U.N. special rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territory.

Albanese says the move is an effort to “distract” from the genocide in Gaza.

10.07.2025 14:13 — 👍 451    🔁 164    💬 15    📌 18

New systematic review led by @hannahrickman.bsky.social shows annual risk of Mycobacterium #tuberculosis conversion in men and women diverges during adolescence and remains higher among men throughout adulthood.

www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

02.07.2025 14:57 — 👍 5    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
Figure 1. Estimated number of trial endpoints in the control group of a prevention-of-disease vaccine trial in a high disease-burden setting showing number of endpoints on the y-axis and time in months on the x-axis. For bacteriologically confirmed symptomatic tuberculosis disease endpoints only, we estimate 69 endpoints, and for combined bacteriologically confirmed asymptomatic and symptomatic tuberculosis disease endpoints, we estimate 151 endpoints. Scenario assumes symptomatic disease incidence before trial screening of 300/100 000 per year and following 10 000 individuals over 3 years. Prevalent symptomatic and asymptomatic tuberculosis disease are screened out in month 0 and are not trial endpoints. Active screening occurs every 6 months for both scenarios and participants self-presenting with symptoms suggestive of tuberculosis disease would also be investigated.

Figure 1. Estimated number of trial endpoints in the control group of a prevention-of-disease vaccine trial in a high disease-burden setting showing number of endpoints on the y-axis and time in months on the x-axis. For bacteriologically confirmed symptomatic tuberculosis disease endpoints only, we estimate 69 endpoints, and for combined bacteriologically confirmed asymptomatic and symptomatic tuberculosis disease endpoints, we estimate 151 endpoints. Scenario assumes symptomatic disease incidence before trial screening of 300/100 000 per year and following 10 000 individuals over 3 years. Prevalent symptomatic and asymptomatic tuberculosis disease are screened out in month 0 and are not trial endpoints. Active screening occurs every 6 months for both scenarios and participants self-presenting with symptoms suggestive of tuberculosis disease would also be investigated.

In our latest personal view in @lancetrespirmed.bsky.social, we argue for the inclusion asymptomatic #tuberculosis in vaccine trial endpoints to potentially reduce the size, length, and cost of trials.

doi.org/10.1016/S221...

@lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social @tb-lshtm.bsky.social

04.07.2025 11:25 — 👍 14    🔁 14    💬 3    📌 0
The Effects of Reductions in United States Foreign Assistance on Global Health Background: The United States (US) has traditionally been the largest donor to health programs in low- and middle-income countries. In January 2025 almost all s

A study in the Lancet recently looked at the cumulative impact of reductions in American aid. It found that, by 2040, 8 million more children will die before their fifth birthday. b-gat.es/44wCCQO

03.07.2025 23:22 — 👍 380    🔁 133    💬 8    📌 6

The facts are simple and devastating: Aid cuts have already cost lives, and the number of deaths will continue to rise. Here’s the evidence. ​

03.07.2025 23:21 — 👍 2712    🔁 730    💬 145    📌 43
Palestinians fleeing northern Gaza on 9 November 2023 amid Israel's bombardment and siege of the enclave, and intense fighting between the Israeli military and Hamas fighters in the north. Credit: Mohammed Zaanoun/TNH

Palestinians fleeing northern Gaza on 9 November 2023 amid Israel's bombardment and siege of the enclave, and intense fighting between the Israeli military and Hamas fighters in the north. Credit: Mohammed Zaanoun/TNH

LSHTM's Director writes to UK Government about #Gaza public health catastrophe

Professor Liam Smeeth's letter to the Prime Minister & Foreign Secretary urges action to prevent a greater #PublicHealth disaster:

👉 www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/n...

20.06.2025 13:32 — 👍 28    🔁 20    💬 0    📌 3
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25th anniversary celebrations of the Introduction to Infectious Disease Our special event will celebrate the 25th anniversary of the Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling and its Applications course, delivered by the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

Can you believe it’s already been 25 years!?

Come join us on 20 June 2025 at 4pm UK time to celebrate the 25th anniversary of the Introduction to #Infectious Disease #Modelling course delivered by @lshtm.bsky.social and @ukhsa.bsky.social!

More info 👉 www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...

28.05.2025 10:39 — 👍 7    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 3
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Tuberculosis and climate change: analytical framework and knowledge gaps This report explores the intersection of tuberculosis (TB) and climate change, highlighting how climate-related challenges such as food and water insecurity, displacement, and disrupted healthcare acc...

TB & climate change: @who.int report out now, building on an analytical framework we developed to explore the intersections and implications for the TB epidemic. Key message? TB should be considered a climate-sensitive disease www.who.int/publications...

30.05.2025 08:30 — 👍 34    🔁 26    💬 1    📌 0
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Amid all the bad news in Global Health, perhaps some good news? A first analysis on the risk of false positive diagnoses in community-screening for tuberculosis using Xpert shows our clinic-based data is likely (very) wrong and overestimates false positives by >80%: tinyurl.com/yfecute9.

27.05.2025 14:50 — 👍 25    🔁 10    💬 3    📌 1

Postdoc (London, UK)
Position available in the world-leading tuberculosis (TB) Modelling group at LSHTM
with @raclark18.bsky.social‬ @richardwhite321.bsky.social
at LSHTM @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2314

20.05.2025 19:07 — 👍 6    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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Tuberculosis and the climate crisis in Latin America: a predicament of poverty, migration and displacement Tuberculosis (TB) has long been associated with poverty and displacement, through food insecurity, overcrowding, poor living conditions and reduced access to healthcare, which significantly increase t...

Climate-driven migration and displacement and their potential impact on TB in Latin America gh.bmj.com/content/10/4... @cfmcquaid.bsky.social @reinhouben.bsky.social @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social

10.04.2025 13:59 — 👍 9    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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Climate change and tuberculosis: an analytical framework Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health...

Climate change is likely to exacerbate determinants which drive TB, the world’s leading infectious disease killer. Commissioned by WHO, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and TB:
medrxiv.org/cgi/content/...
@lshtm.bsky.social @who.int

21.02.2025 09:30 — 👍 18    🔁 13    💬 1    📌 2
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Modelling the cost-effectiveness of Epstein-Barr virus vaccination in England (UKHSA-LSHTM PhD scholarship) at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Modelling the cost-effectiveness of Epstein-Barr virus vaccination in England (UKHSA-LSHTM PhD scholarship) at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, listed on FindAPhD.com

Three PhD opportunities in modelling at @lshtm.bsky.social and @ukhsa.bsky.social on:
Homelessness/Housing and TB: shorturl.at/FJ57W
EBV and cancers in the UK: shorturl.at/IRHJk
Climate change and TB: shorturl.at/R7f50

20.02.2025 15:55 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

PhD position (London, UK)
Quantify the effects of climate change on TB
with @cfmcquaid.bsky.social @reinhouben.bsky.social @laragosce.bsky.social
at @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social @tb-lshtm.bsky.social @lshtm.bsky.social
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2253

07.02.2025 19:23 — 👍 2    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
2025-26 UKHSA-LSHTM PhD Scholarship | LSHTM The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) is pleased to invite applications for a 3-year full-time PhD studentship, starting in September 2025, held between the Faculty of

New PhD opportunity at LSHTM @lshtm.bsky.social @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social and UKHSA
www.lshtm.ac.uk/study/fees-a...

04.02.2025 17:41 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
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Potential impact, costs, and benefits of population-wide screening interventions for tuberculosis in Viet Nam: a mathematical modelling study Background Population-wide screening may accelerate the decline of tuberculosis (TB) incidence, but the optimal screening algorithm and duration must weigh resource considerations. Methods We calibra...

1/ 📢 In our new PREPRINT - tinyurl.com/2pmudzrk - we evaluate how symptom-agnostic, population-wide screening interventions could significantly reduce the TB burden in Viet Nam. These require a substantial front-loaded investment but yield lasting cost savings. 🧵 #Tuberculosis #TBSky

06.01.2025 17:27 — 👍 20    🔁 15    💬 1    📌 3
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Modelling the epidemiological and economic impact of digital adherence technologies with differentiated care for tuberculosis treatment in Ethiopia Background Digital adherence technologies (DATs) with associated differentiated care are potential tools to improve tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes and reduce associated costs for both patients a...

Our ASCENT modelling paper on Digital Adherence Technologies (DAT) for TB treatment is now out in BMJ Global Health gh.bmj.com/content/9/12... DATs may have limited epidemiological impact but can reduce costs and have important budgetary implications. @cfmcquaid.bsky.social @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social

10.12.2024 12:42 — 👍 9    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 1
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Reflecting on this year’s #TB #UnionConf2024 and am so inspired by the brilliant minds and groundbreaking research being done to combat this global health threat. Special shoutout to the TB Modelling Group @lshtm.bsky.social 🫁

17.11.2024 19:56 — 👍 19    🔁 5    💬 2    📌 2

@laragosce is following 19 prominent accounts