@enosarris.bsky.social
Baseball beer sandwiches music running
ποΈ Rates & Barrels βΎ
@enosarris.bsky.social, @iamtrevormay.bsky.social & I discussed JosΓ© RamΓrez's extension with the Guardians and the team's seven-year WS outlook, and how low Z-Contact% numbers for hitters can be misleading....
YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/3839b2
Adam Ottavino is joining PitchCon now for pitching talk!
Closing in on 40% of our $10,000 donation goal!
www.twitch.tv/pitcherlist
Episode thumbnail for the January 28th episode of Rates & Barrels featuring Pirates prospect Konnor Griffin. Konnor Griffin Photo Credit: Jamie Squire/Getty Images
ποΈ Rates & Barrels βΎ
@keithlaw.bsky.social joined @enosarris.bsky.social and I to discuss several prospects from his recently published Top 100 list, and the possibility of a fast track to Pittsburgh for Konnor Griffin....
YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/382b95
ah misremembered. anyway, I'm more Kylie on him than Pipeline. As I've said.
28.01.2026 21:26 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0ah oops! this is all started with me saying I'd trade him in response to that stuff. my bad.
28.01.2026 21:25 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Abrams. reading between the lines here: www.nytimes.com/athletic/699...
28.01.2026 21:21 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0I mean Kylie McDaniels has him 58th, I might have him in like the 60s or 70s if I had a prospect list, the Nationals said no thanks, it's not *everybody*
28.01.2026 20:57 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Have to time it with my ranks coming out, which is always right before/after Super Bowl for industry reasons.
28.01.2026 20:27 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Should be up next Tuesday! I'll probably have a chat next week too.
28.01.2026 20:15 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0yeah man, like I said last time we talked about this, of course I could just be wrong. I explained where I was coming from. Dunno why we need to keep going over this.
28.01.2026 20:14 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
SABR Analytics Conference logo
Congrats to all the finalists for the 2026 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards! sabr.org/latest/annou...
Voting for the winners begins next week. Thanks to @baseballprospectus.com, @fangraphs.com, @sportsinfosolutions.com, @ibwaa.bsky.social for their contributions to the selection process.
Episode thumbnail for the 2026 First Base Preview episode of Rates & Barrels featuring A's first baseman Nick Kurtz. Nick Kurtz Thumbnail Photo: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images
ποΈ Rates & Barrels βΎ
@enosarris.bsky.social and I continue our 2026 Position Preview series at first base....
YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37e9db
no I think it's a good question. poor stuff on the change, .350+ xwoBAs, only thing it does is whiffs.
22.01.2026 22:01 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0curves like that are pretty platoon neutral, and if he does get back to the 2024 one with very little sideways movement, that one was great against righties. cutter looks ok too, even if it's just the slider, harder.
22.01.2026 22:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0MacKenzie Gore is pretty good. He's been fiddling with his curve to kill horizontal, make it more Kershaw-like (he has some release similarities). His 4s has always been above-ave. Maybe just settle on this curve shape & just try to command it a little better, because 4s/CU/SL should be enough.
22.01.2026 20:37 β π 33 π 0 π¬ 3 π 0In fantasy auctions, you generally want to avoid buying the last guy in a tier because you'll generally end up overpaying for that player. Cody Bellinger fits that rubric for me. Might like this deal the least of the offseason.
21.01.2026 20:04 β π 42 π 0 π¬ 3 π 0
Episode thumbnail for the 2026 Catcher Preview episode of Rates & Barrels featuring Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh. Cal Raleigh Photo: Steph Chambers/Getty Images
ποΈ Rates & Barrels βΎ
@enosarris.bsky.social continue our 2026 Position Preview series with catchers.
(If you want to get into a lot of YouTube thumbnails, have a trident in your post-HR celebration.)
YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/37cee1
The Mets could start Bo Bichette (0 MLB games at 3B) & Jorge Polanco (1g at 1B) at 3B/1B on Opening Day
Only team in last 100 years to start 2 non-rookie INFs on Opening Day w/1 or 0 prior MLB games at that position:
1948 Dodgers: Jackie Robinson 2B, Billy Cox 3B
@EliasSports
I don't see what's cherry picking here. Things that matter to me, particularly early on in a career: Barrel rate, bat speed, swinging strike rate, how the team plays them, chase rate, swing shape (a bit). I use this rubric w/ every young player until they give enough sample to care about the rest.
16.01.2026 21:32 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0its still an inexact science, there's a ton of pre-contact information missing (how do they get on plane, early angles). totally could be wrong. My overall argument is that I'm unsure of the power, don't think he'll have defensive value, and the combo of that plus 30% strikeout leaves me cold.
16.01.2026 21:12 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0he has average bat speed. If he does add back some bat speed, he can comp to someone like Kerry Carpenter, with more Ks. So, yeah, if that hurt his bat speed, that would be interesting.
16.01.2026 20:43 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0given his bat speed (71.5), tilt (37), and intercept point (27) as they were last year (all relevant in sample he produced), his comps are Brandon Marsh (71.4/38/27.5), Ezequiel Tovar (71.6/36/29), Dillon Dingler (71.7/40/27.8). If he adds BS, they get better -- Kerry Carpenter, Bryan Reynolds.
16.01.2026 20:42 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Not three ticks
16.01.2026 19:56 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
love them, but I've seen this and the other one I RT'ed cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thu... so you're right, could be some growth, depends on your method. doubt he gets three ticks tho.
16.01.2026 19:51 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Lol
16.01.2026 18:17 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0bat speed doesn't usually go up, but maybe, sure. He's consistently had D and K problems though.
16.01.2026 18:08 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0sure, but it's kind of boring bat speed for his approach. has the nick Kurtz swing/contact point and is missing like three ticks of bat speed. so I think it'll be a bunch of Ks with not enough power behind it to make it worth while. With DH type D.
16.01.2026 18:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0yeah man I'm in the Bay Area I watched them. doesn't mean I can't be wrong, but I watched.
16.01.2026 17:57 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
"This suggests that Tucker could lose as much as 3 mph of bat speed over the next nine years" this part in particular i would push back on, i think that aging curve is much too aggressive. @enosarris.bsky.social
www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
Stewart big time
wish I could have some Eldridge shares to trade them away again
