Eno Sarris

maybe we agree! I think he's a 3.6 type guy with great Ks that's capable of winning a Cy or throwing up a stinker in any single year. But the projections I use say 3.45 guy, so yeah there's some disagreement there.

He has a 3.83 career SIERA, 3.88 career ERA

there's a magnitude thing there. he hasn't always underperformed his peripherals by as much as he did last year.

I'm using that as 27th percentile where 99th percentile is great and 1st percentile is terrible.

Why Dylan Cease got that bag t.co/hwtoQxCssE

Too Much Math About an Old Adage Did you learn “hard in and soft away” as a young baseball fan? I did, and I never tire of finding ways to prove that saying using major league data.

good stuff here, Steele being up there is fascinating blogs.fangraphs.com/too-much-mat...

Thumbnail for the Dec. 1st episode of Rates & Barrels featuring Brandon Nimmo getting doused with Gatorade. Brandon Nimmo Thumbnail Photo: John Jones-Imagn Images

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I returned from Thanksgiving break to discuss the Nimmo-Semien deal, Sonny Gray to Boston, Dylan Cease to the Jays, Ryan Helsley to the Orioles, and Raisel Iglesias' return to Atlanta.

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/35df59

September 17, 2023 Milwaukee Brewers optioned OF Joey Wiemer to Nashville Sounds.

and then Wiemer, Encarnacion, Luciano, Matos all go bye-bye. Totally possible. Only thing: There are only two free agent OFs projected to be average or better, and you know who they are and they are $$$$. Maybe a trade instead.

it's pretty bad as it is now. They won't have any allegiance to the righties they do have... Thomas could play CF I like that one.

I mean whatever, put a catcher in that spot. But the Luis Matos spot is super intriguing... Marco Luciano, Jerar Encarnacion, Matos, no options: pick your defensively-challenged right-hander! Want contact, power, or youth? Can't have even two of those things in one guy.

oh god Luciano out of options too. If you're going to have a random righty with little defensive value on the bench... Matos or Luciano or Encarnacion is pretty funny decision. I might pick Luciano for the bat speed and youth, but Matos for contact I get.

ah insert backup catcher there I guess

Tyler Fitzgerald has an option, new Giant Joey Wiemer does not. So I suppose the bench right now is all righties: Knizner, Koss, Wiemer, and Luis Matos (who is also out of options). If Matos could play a decent CF, they wouldn't need another OF on bench. This will probably change again. #Buildabench

eh just do it again do it better

The Slider Moves Differently to Different Locations Surprising, and also totally logical, at the same time…

haha ten years later! blogs.fangraphs.com/the-slider-m... (good piece, totally more relevant now that we have stuff models)

Union fires back at Rob Manfred's 'extremely revealing' defense of rogue agent

"Mr. Manfred’s comments suggesting there’s ‘nothing to see here’ both mischaracterize the facts & are extremely revealing of the league’s general approach to labor negotiations. There is nothing 'business as usual’ about ... a ‘mole’ for the commissioner’s office"

www.nytimes.com/athletic/682...

oh yeah I have some working ranks I haven't published. He's 29th right now, just ahead of Ryan Pepiot and Nick Pivetta.

Randy Jones of the San Diego Padres posing with his left hand inside his baseball glove in the 1970s.

RIP Randy Jones, 75, one of the most beloved players in San Diego Padres history and the 1976 NL Cy Young Award winner. Here's his SABR bio: sabr.org/bioproj/pers...

what are you asking?

Bregman's D started as elite, so coming off that, he's still an asset in the field, I have him as at least an average player for four or five years of the deal, Polanco isn't projected to be average next year.

Four potential bargains in MLB free agency, from Tatsuya Imai to Cody Ponce These four free agents represent the best potential values for what they might get on the open market this offseason.

Tatsuya Imai's fastball comps really well to Joe Ryan's fastball once you account for arm angle and movement. But it's faster.

He's on my list of four free agents that could be bargains on their projected deals: www.nytimes.com/athletic/681...

Talked w/ @enosarris.bsky.social about all the trendy, young SPs going in the 100-200 range of early drafts + two must-draft sleepers going after pick 200 on today's @rotowire.bsky.social pod!

🎧 www.pod.link/838315493/ep...
📺 www.youtube.com/live/XVD8FzW...

Episode thumbnail for the Nov. 17th episode of Rates & Barrels featuring Mariners first baseman Josh Naylor. Josh Naylor Thumbnail Photo: Luke Hales/Getty Images

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I discussed Naylor's return to Seattle, Clase & Ortiz, more hardware for Ohtani, Judge, Skenes and Skubal, rumors and reports from the SP market, and my wild weekend activities....

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/354984

Important educational content

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾

@enosarris.bsky.social and I are back from First Pitch Arizona to discuss several things we learned for our fantasy baseball seasons in 2025 as we begin prepping for 2026....

YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels
Audio: pod.fo/e/3525f5

extreme slot splitter guy with interesting fastball like him, but both a bit of an unknown in terms of MLB track record

How much did Emmanuel Clase’s alleged actions cost the Cleveland Guardians? The difference between a 1-0 count and an 0-1 count is equivalent to the difference between facing Mike Trout and Luis Rengifo.

The math behind what Emmanuel Clase's alleged actions cost the Guardians www.nytimes.com/athletic/680...

fastball is Joe Ryan's but he sits 95 and touched 100, great splitter, yesavage's reverse slider. Like a low-slot Yesavage too, but better command... probably. Improved his walk rate year over year three times.