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Aidan Milliff

@aidanmilliff.com.bsky.social

Political scientist https://www.aidanmilliff.com

1,570 Followers  |  889 Following  |  125 Posts  |  Joined: 27.05.2023  |  2.2221

Latest posts by aidanmilliff.com on Bluesky

I'm looking forward to presenting on this panel, which I'm sure will not be as ominous as our title makes it sound!

06.08.2025 14:07 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What am I missing? It seems like this graphic shows that Mamdani also got ~7pp more of the first-choice vote than Cuomo. Doesn't that mean Mamdani would have won without ranked choice...even assuming that *zero* Lander voters made a strategic adjustment?

05.08.2025 19:02 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here's the letter that NSF sent UCLA last week about cutting its research funding

NSF says UCLA is doing affirmative action by asking applicants' their zip codes, family income and what HS they went to, and that they can discuss race in personal statements

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

04.08.2025 23:48 β€” πŸ‘ 517    πŸ” 160    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 80

I've been at Georgetown for ~23 years. I've been on the PhD admission committee for the Government Department for well more than half of that time.

AMA.

04.08.2025 16:49 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A Pregnant Teenager Died After Trying to Get Care in Three Visits to Texas Emergency Rooms It took three ER visits and 20 hours before a hospital admitted Nevaeh Crain, 18, as her condition worsened. Doctors insisted on two ultrasounds to confirm β€œfetal demise.” She’s one of at least two Te...

Texas 18-year-old died of sepsis after 3 ER visits Despite bleeding and pain, 2 hospitals sent her home because the fetus had a heartbeat. The 3rd confirmed fetal deathβ€”but it was too late. She died. This is the deadly cost of abortion bans. Abortion is health care
www.propublica.org/article/neva...

31.07.2025 10:43 β€” πŸ‘ 915    πŸ” 621    πŸ’¬ 82    πŸ“Œ 77

My RA sent this interview with RADM Huan Nguyen because his testimony about un-predictability, lack of agency, and becoming a refugee from Vietnam is really compelling.

I waited too long to click the link and ... the Navy deleted the page. I wonder why?

www.linkedin.com/posts/us-nav...

29.07.2025 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

GMU is, to put it mildly, *far* from a bastion of progressive thought (the Antonin Scalia law school; an econ program that trumpets its Ludwig von Mises/Austrian Economics curriculum). Every college or university president needs to understand if they come for Mason, they will come after you too.

11.07.2025 11:20 β€” πŸ‘ 440    πŸ” 161    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 13

the president does not actually have the power to fire a university president or a museum director, but if elites simply roll over under pressure, then effectively he does

27.06.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 10823    πŸ” 2721    πŸ’¬ 238    πŸ“Œ 145
Preview
β€˜This is bull——”: National Science Foundation employees protest HUD's takeover Dozens of National Science Foundation employees crowded the agency’s headquarters in Alexandria, Virginia, Wednesday to protest the news that the Department of Housing and Urban Development, or HUD, w...

Another day testing the limits of resilience.

The Alexandria NSF building was designed for the NSF merit review process (gold standard), complete with a floor devoted to panels.

Now we aren’t allowed to have in person panels.

The loss of US science leadership will haunt this country for decades.

25.06.2025 23:13 β€” πŸ‘ 923    πŸ” 446    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 40
Preview
Army Eliminates Office for Minimizing Civilian Deaths on Battlefields The Civilian Protection Center of Excellence, which once housed roughly 30 staff, has been folded into the Army's dense web of unrelated bureaucratic policy shops.

Great, important scoop by @stevenbeynon.bsky.social www.military.com/daily-news/2...

14.06.2025 20:09 β€” πŸ‘ 400    πŸ” 207    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 13
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I think the subgroup results in A3 (STEM vs. non-STEM) is consistent with the possibility that some of this effect is driven by things like SB 266 (affects some fields more directly than others) rather than PTR (universal)

23.05.2025 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Florida Senate Bill 266 - Wikipedia

That law was succeeded by a new bill in the next legislative session which is in force and does pretty similar stuff.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida...

23.05.2025 20:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just FWIW, the institution of post tenure review coincided with a lot of other changes to Florida Higher Ed (like attempt 1 at the Stop WOKE Act), so I don't know if this paper is really isolating the effect of PTR.

23.05.2025 18:24 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

academic folks: Harvard international students may need to begin immediately transferring out in order to avoid having to leave the country

If it sounds insane, that's because it is

what will your institutions do to help?

22.05.2025 19:07 β€” πŸ‘ 332    πŸ” 119    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 4

At this point I'm pretty sure that Trump is simply trying to destroy Harvard as an institution as a way of demonstrating his power and make everyone else submit.

22.05.2025 19:09 β€” πŸ‘ 147    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 1
Secretary Kristi Noem
@Sec_Noem
This administration is holding Harvard accountable for fostering violence, antisemitism, and coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party on its campus. 

It is a privilege, not a right, for universities to enroll foreign students and benefit from their higher tuition payments to help pad their multibillion-dollar endowments. 

Harvard had plenty of opportunity to do the right thing. It refused. 

They have lost their Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification as a result of their failure to adhere to the law. 

Let this serve as a warning to all universities and academic institutions across the country.

Secretary Kristi Noem @Sec_Noem This administration is holding Harvard accountable for fostering violence, antisemitism, and coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party on its campus. It is a privilege, not a right, for universities to enroll foreign students and benefit from their higher tuition payments to help pad their multibillion-dollar endowments. Harvard had plenty of opportunity to do the right thing. It refused. They have lost their Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification as a result of their failure to adhere to the law. Let this serve as a warning to all universities and academic institutions across the country.

Harvard's Student and Exchange Visitor Program Decertification
I am writing to inform you that effective immediately, Harvard University's Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification is revoked.
As I explained to you in my April letter, it is a privilege to enroll foreign students, and it is also a privilege to employ aliens on campus. All universities must comply with Department of Homeland Security requirements, including reporting requirements under the Student and Exchange Visitor Program regulations, to maintain this privilege. As a result of your refusal to comply with multiple requests to provide the Department of Homeland Security pertinent information while perpetuating an unsafe campus environment that is hostile to Jewish students, promotes pro-Hamas sympathies, and employs racist "diversity, equity, and inclusion" policies, you have lost this privilege.
The revocation of your Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification means that Harvard is prohibited from having any aliens on F- or J- nonimmigrant status for the 2025-2026 academic school year. This decertification also means that existing aliens on F- or J- nonimmigrant status must transfer to another university in order to maintain their nonimmigrant status.
This action should not surprise you and is the unfortunate result of Harvard's failure to comply with simple reporting requirements.
On April 16, 2025, I requested records pertaining to nonimmigrant students enrolled at Harvard University, including information regarding misconduct and other offenses that would render foreign students inadmissible or removable. On April 30, 2025, Harvard's counsel provided information that he represented as responsive to my request. It was not.
As a courtesy that Harvard was not legally entitled to, the Acting DHS General Counsel responded on my behalf and afforded Harvard another opportunity to comply. Harvard again provided an insufficient response.
Consequences must follow to send a clear signal to…

Harvard's Student and Exchange Visitor Program Decertification I am writing to inform you that effective immediately, Harvard University's Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification is revoked. As I explained to you in my April letter, it is a privilege to enroll foreign students, and it is also a privilege to employ aliens on campus. All universities must comply with Department of Homeland Security requirements, including reporting requirements under the Student and Exchange Visitor Program regulations, to maintain this privilege. As a result of your refusal to comply with multiple requests to provide the Department of Homeland Security pertinent information while perpetuating an unsafe campus environment that is hostile to Jewish students, promotes pro-Hamas sympathies, and employs racist "diversity, equity, and inclusion" policies, you have lost this privilege. The revocation of your Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification means that Harvard is prohibited from having any aliens on F- or J- nonimmigrant status for the 2025-2026 academic school year. This decertification also means that existing aliens on F- or J- nonimmigrant status must transfer to another university in order to maintain their nonimmigrant status. This action should not surprise you and is the unfortunate result of Harvard's failure to comply with simple reporting requirements. On April 16, 2025, I requested records pertaining to nonimmigrant students enrolled at Harvard University, including information regarding misconduct and other offenses that would render foreign students inadmissible or removable. On April 30, 2025, Harvard's counsel provided information that he represented as responsive to my request. It was not. As a courtesy that Harvard was not legally entitled to, the Acting DHS General Counsel responded on my behalf and afforded Harvard another opportunity to comply. Harvard again provided an insufficient response. Consequences must follow to send a clear signal to…

If Harvard would like the opportunity of regaining Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification before the upcoming academic school year, you must provide all of the information requested below within 72 hours.
Please be advised that providing materially false, fictitious, or fraudulent information may subject you to criminal prosecution under 18 U.S.C. Β§ 1001. Other criminal and civil sanctions may also apply.
I expect full and complete responses to the following requests:
1. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding illegal activity whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years.
2. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding dangerous or violent activity whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years.
3. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding threats to other students or university personnel whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years.
4. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding deprivation of rights of other classmates or university personnel whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years.
5. Any and all disciplinary records of all nonimmigrant students enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years.
6. Any and all audio or video footage, in the possession of Harvard University, of any protest activity involving a nonimmigrant student on a Harvard Univer…

If Harvard would like the opportunity of regaining Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification before the upcoming academic school year, you must provide all of the information requested below within 72 hours. Please be advised that providing materially false, fictitious, or fraudulent information may subject you to criminal prosecution under 18 U.S.C. Β§ 1001. Other criminal and civil sanctions may also apply. I expect full and complete responses to the following requests: 1. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding illegal activity whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years. 2. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding dangerous or violent activity whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years. 3. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding threats to other students or university personnel whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years. 4. Any and all records, whether official or informal, in the possession of Harvard University, including electronic records and audio or video footage, regarding deprivation of rights of other classmates or university personnel whether on or off campus, by a nonimmigrant student enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years. 5. Any and all disciplinary records of all nonimmigrant students enrolled in Harvard University in the last five years. 6. Any and all audio or video footage, in the possession of Harvard University, of any protest activity involving a nonimmigrant student on a Harvard Univer…

Here's the letter Noem sent Harvard, as posted on X. Nothing alleges ANY specific violation of the Student and Exchange Visitor Program. Nothing. She cites no law violated, no regulation broken, no policy ignored.

I don't care what you think of Harvard; this is clear weaponization of government.

22.05.2025 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2008    πŸ” 712    πŸ’¬ 87    πŸ“Œ 73
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This is not a game, this is affecting people's lives... I can only imagine what it's like to be a student at Harvard right now -- not to mention that this hangs as a threat over every single international student in the US.

22.05.2025 18:24 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3

*IR and comparative should be more like Americanists in ≀1 way.

15.05.2025 15:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

what and spare everyone else the horror?

14.05.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I hate that image more every time I see it πŸ˜†

14.05.2025 19:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"Imagine the auto industry without 3D printing. NSF funded that. Artificial intelligence? NSF. MRI machines that help doctors diagnose you? NSF. Doppler radar technology that makes aviation safer by conquering wind shear? NSF. Duolingoβ€˜s underlying programming? NSF. The internet itself? NSF."

14.05.2025 03:12 β€” πŸ‘ 653    πŸ” 346    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
The Risks of the Latest India-Pakistan Crisis - War on the Rocks

If you're wondering about how bad things can get between India and Pakistan, listen to my discussion here (taped late last week) with Sameer Lalwani. This episode is outside the paywall. warontherocks.com/episode/thin...

07.05.2025 20:36 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
Call for Papers and Policy Panel Proposals: 2025 ESOC Annual Meeting CALL FOR PAPERS AND POLICY PANEL PROPOSALSSubmission Deadline: June 16, 2025The Empirical Studies of Conflict (ESOC) Project is holding its Annual MeetingΒ October 9-10, 2025Β in Washington D.C.The Annu...

Our call for the 2025 Empirical Studies of Conflict (ESOC) Annual Meeting on Geostrategic Opportunity and Upheaval on October 9-10 is up! Submissions due on June 16. W/ Yuri Zhukov @laiabalcells.bsky.social @austinlw.bsky.social @renardsexton.bsky.social More here: esoc.princeton.edu/events/2025/...

07.05.2025 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"Bright young men from UChicago Econ arrive to help your government" has worked out 0/1 times in the past.

30.04.2025 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Currently in FirstView: β€œSynthetically generated text for supervised text analysis.” @ahalterman.bsky.social proposes using LLMs to generate synthetic training data for training smaller, traditional supervised text models.

28.04.2025 21:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Great new paper by Stagnaro & Amsalem in NatComm:
Detailed fact-based informational module about gun control leads to persistent reductions in polarization (attitudes move towards midpoint). Seeing the evidence cited by other side makes opinions more moderate www.nature.com/articles/s41...

24.04.2025 00:29 β€” πŸ‘ 50    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 5

Guy, do you find when you review that people aren't including the corresponding tables in the appendices? If so, I agree that would be super annoying. But in my experience, when I see coef plots, the table is usually somewhere too.

23.04.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
List of school shootings in the United States (2000–present) - Wikipedia

Actually, it seems like this was the 600th en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...

17.04.2025 21:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There are students at FSU who, in 20 years on earth, have barricaded themselves in classrooms for *two* mass shootings.

This is the sixth mass shooting in Florida this calendar year, and the 575th school shooting in America this century.

What is wrong with us.

17.04.2025 21:06 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Unbelievable. I know we all expect it, but it's unbelievable.

17.04.2025 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@aidanmilliff.com is following 20 prominent accounts