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Tom Arup

@tomarup.bsky.social

Work on climate change, sovereign risk, sovereign bonds, investment, engagement, macro economics and capital markets for PRI.

850 Followers  |  40 Following  |  18 Posts  |  Joined: 11.08.2023  |  1.8203

Latest posts by tomarup.bsky.social on Bluesky

The faltering Australia energy transition is a good reminder that basically all large-scale electricity infra in Australia has been built by governments and then sold off for operation (to mixed results). Not sure why we think it will be different this time?

09.10.2023 22:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Brisbane faces record high petrol prices as Sydney and Melbourne warned of looming spikes Cuts to global supply coinciding with school holidays sends prices up to $2.38 a litre

Fossilflation…
t.co/YPpPmZPVTW

28.09.2023 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How many headlines like this at the moment? The main losers from this are homeowners and renters. Too many governments around the world are obsessed with industry protection at expense of the communities they are supposed to represent.

www.reuters.com/markets/euro...

24.09.2023 23:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

As good as a Don’t Look Up example as I’ve seen for a while

07.09.2023 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Quick update on work I'm leading at the UN PRI. A global collaboration of investors seeking to engage with Australian governments on climate change will expand to 25 with approximately US$8 trillion (AU$12.2 trillion) in assets under management.

www.unpri.org/news-and-pre...

06.09.2023 06:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ultimately Commonwealth statement does not go further than its climate statements in budget and other places. Next step is for Commonwealth to produce more sophisticated and integrated climate risk disclosure providing more quantitative information on sovereign climate change exposure to the economy

30.08.2023 05:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In a welcome step Commonwealth in its statement says it will continue to engage with investors on climate issues

30.08.2023 05:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Court still to approve terms of the settlement. But it the proposed terms the Commonwealth to publish a statement recognising fiscal impacts for climate change and transition and recognising uncertainty over the impacts (if at all) on Australian Government bonds.

30.08.2023 05:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Commonwealth Treasury and @EGLawyers
have settled a landmark legal challenge over the alleged failure to disclose climate risks associated with Australian Government bonds.

equitygenerationlawyers.com/wp/wp-conten...

30.08.2023 05:19 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just like to remember who the main contributors to the problem is ;)

29.08.2023 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And making the problem infinitely and unmanageably worse

29.08.2023 02:24 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Agree not understanding consequences of risk work an issue (unless this is a coded message to me given my work then def an issue!!) but bigger driver of sovereign divestment is pretty simply a whole bunch of folks doing whatever they can to keep spewing fossil fuels into atmosphere

29.08.2023 02:23 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Agree. The project is how to make these sovereigns more investable/investment resilient in face of inevitable climate damage, not lead a retreat to EU solar farms and tech. Going to take Govts, MDBs, investors and the rest to coordinate in some fashion

29.08.2023 02:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This a bad but predictable outcome. Will be worse in developing countries. Investors need to be engaging proactively with policy makers to push them to move faster of climate impacts and emissions mitigation rather than reactive withdrawal of capital.

www.afr.com/markets/debt...

29.08.2023 01:24 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is fair, and I am in part sounding off because we let it get this late and now will pay for it (literally) in the most inefficient and wasteful way. Agree seeing full report is always highly preferably to glimpses, but its being dripped out for a reason (i.e. to soften ground)

23.08.2023 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This of course is what a disorderly transition looks like. Government's have the levers to try bring some order to what is inevitable. But continuing to put off your homework and fiddling at the margins ain't going to cut it.

22.08.2023 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The fact our "best" response to potential supply issues in coming years is to use public money to subsidise coal power is embarrassing. No exploration of energy efficiency and demand management options? No harder intervention to assist renewable build?

www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw...

22.08.2023 23:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
β€˜Way off the pace’: Just four green energy projects reached sign-off Commitments to building new wind and solar projects are less than half of what is needed to reach 2030 targets, Clean Energy Council figures show.

Deeply troubling. There's been too much back patting about market inevitability of the energy transition. Stalling renewable build a consequences of a decade of inaction and a public sector still unwilling to take scale of action needed to hit net zero.

www.afr.com/companies/en...

22.08.2023 23:33 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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