Spencer Keys

Emphasis on “kindly” or “respond”?

Angus Reid Institute poll showing 50% approval of trump among Conservative voters, while voters for every other party disapprove by over 94%

Trump has put Poilievre in a difficult position, with polls showing that Canadians despise the US presidents while half of Conservative voters like what he's doing.

The way I watched the pilot getting progressively pissed off about how the law works only to have the show call me out in text and call me an uptight nerd 👏👏👏

who did this

U.S. men's hockey with Curt-Schilling-in-Boston levels of good will squandering. A 25-mile lead in the good will marathon and they tripped on their dicks right at the finish line.

it's important to note for the discourse on bsky, the Liberals Arguing With Liberals app, that the effect here is concentrated almost entirely among conservatives and independents

there is not really evidence here of a specific "liberals becoming conservative" effect of the x algorithm

still frame from the beginning of Twin Peaks it is February 24th and Special Agent Dale Cooper arrived in the town of Twin Peaks

Good morning

“Oh, it’s just the Northern Lights!”

Yeah, "confirm with me" instructions are not a thing I've seen LLMs-derived tool calls do successfully. Even with the confirmation tools designed into the "agentic" workflow, there's no guarantee. I consider agents always on with full access, even if the software tells you it's safe.

I friend used to say that when he actually meant hydrocolonic and it was my first exposure to the term so that’s now all I hear. The anchoring effect is real.

Using detailed address-level microdata, we trace movement chains originating with the initial residents of The Central and document three main findings. First, we show the building generated a substantial number of local vacancies. We identify 180 specific addresses that became vacant because of moves into The Central. Scaling to account for data coverage suggests the new tower induced more than 500 local vacancies in the three years after construction, by setting off chains of moves. Second, while The Central units were expensive on a per-square-foot basis, the homes vacated by movers were significantly cheaper. Homes left behind by those moving into The Central were about 40% less expensive. Unlike much of the prior literature, which track the changing neighborhood characteristics of movers

Even more evidence that building new housing decreases rents: Researchers tracked the residents of a newly built luxury condo building and found that they freed up less expensive apartments nearby.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

One of the first things we were taught at Quantico was that there is never a moment in which you are not representing the Bureau; but, then again, we earned our place there, and weren’t granted its directorship as a sinecure for partisan malfeasance and a willingness to disregard the constitution.

Trying something to help visualize land usage per household (which I think is one of the most useful ways to think about cities)

Proportional and worthwhile.

I am never going to get over the fact thar so many Americans died that corpses stacked up in nursing homes and hospital morgues, that refrigerator trucks had to be brought in for the overflow, and that the big takeaway from Important Pundits is there should have been *less* mitigation.

Just read something where someone said Clarice Starling ran so Dana Scully could fly.

What problem is Trump's new global 10% tariff meant to solve?

If it's about leverage, ask: How much leverage do you get from a tariff that disappears in 150 days?

If it's onshoring: Who builds new factories based on tariff that disappear before the factory is built?

It's a tax. That's all it is.

Thereby undermining even the minority case of businesses that didn’t pass along tariff costs because now they look like chumps for trusting Trump and lost out on the windfall.

Hey journalists, get off Twitter.

The political effects of X's feed algorithm https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10098-2 Received: 16 December 2024 Accepted: 4 January 2026 Published online: 18 February 2026 Open access • Check for updates Germain Gauthier,5, Roland Hodler?5, Philine Widmer35 & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya3,4,5 m Feed algorithms are widely suspected to influence political attitudes. However, previous evidence from switching off the algorithm on Meta platforms found no political effects'. Here we present results from a 2023 field experiment on Elon Musk's platform X shedding light on this puzzle. We assigned active US-based users randomly to either an algorithmic or a chronological feed for 7 weeks, measuring political attitudes and online behaviour. Switching from a chronological to an algorithmic feed increased engagement and shifted political opinion towards more conservative positions, particularly regarding policy priorities, perceptions of criminal investigations into Donald Trump and views on the war in Ukraine. In contrast, switching from the algorithmic to the chronological feed had no comparable effects. Neither switching the algorithm on nor switching it off significantly affected affective polarization or self-reported partisanship. To investigate the mechanism, we analysed users' feed content and behaviour. We found that the algorithm promotes conservative content and demotes posts by traditional media. Exposure to algorithmic content leads users to follow conservative political activist accounts, which they continue to follow even after switching off the algorithm, helping explain the asymmetry in effects. These results suggest that initial exposure to X's algorithm has persistent effects on users' current political attitudes and account-following behaviour, even in the absence of a detectable effect on partisanship.

A new paper shows that less than 2 months of exposure to Twitter’s algorithmic feed significantly shifts people’s political views to the right.

Moving from chronological feed to the algorithmic feed also increases engagement.

This is one of the most concerning papers I’ve read in awhile.

On iPhone look up color filter under Display

It appears we have reinvented the motivation for a majority of denunciations to the NKVD, 1933-36, from first principles.

It’s independent but still off the rails.

The better theory is that the Trump presidency was created by SCOTUS rather than SCOTUS being beholden to Trump and Trump succeeds or fails at the pleasure of John Roberts, Neil Gorsuch, and Amy Coney Barrett.

Don't congratulate John Roberts or the Supreme Court.

Congratulate Rick Woldenberg, the Chicago-area leader of Learning Resources, an educadtional toy company that had the courage to sue the president of the United States to save his family business.

As well as everyone else who stepped up.

Trump Has Many Options if the Supreme Court Strikes Down Tariffs A weak Congress means a deep toolbox for the president.

Remember, there's lots of other ways Trump can try and do tariffs, given how supine Congress is, as Stan and Clark pointed out back in December (which was when we first expected this ruling to come down!!!)

foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/05/t...

So big deal stuff from SCOTUS that will likely curb the hissy fit tariffs but there are plenty of others they can pivot to.

Presumably you sympathize.

I suspect the person above means you and your sister sell after your mother has passed away. This doesn’t affect your mother while alive or living in her home.

I’m not looking to get in the middle of an argument between two people I don’t know on the internet but I deal with deferred tax often.

God, the list of uppances that are coming is going to be long and distinguished.