Jacob Mox

History says they will draft right outside of the lottery, that would be my guess.

A table of the odds of receiving each pick, by team: Dallas: 42.0% 1st, 30.2% 2nd, 27.8% 3rd, 0% 4th, 0% 5th Minnesota: 26.1%, 28.5%, 38.5%, 7.0%, 0% Seattle: 16.7%, 20.8%, 33.7%, 27.7%, 1.2% Washington: 9.7%, 13.0%, 0%, 65.4% Chicago: 5.5%, 7.6%, 0%, 0%, 86.9%

With the 2026 WNBA lottery combinations announced — @kareemcopeland.bsky.social I believe had it first — here are the odds for each pick in the top five (assuming the process does not change from 2025)

@herhoopstats.com | @theixbasketball.bsky.social

This was clearly supposed to say “whoever doesn’t get the 2 seed will be the 3 seed”, whoops

Phoenix and New York are locked into 4 and 5, respectively.

6 Seed:
- GSV clinches with a win
- IND clinches with a GSV loss

7 Seed:
- IND clinches with a GSV win
- SEA clinches with a GSV loss

8 Seed:
- SEA clinches with a GSV win
- GSV clinches with a loss

Final scenarios, no flow charts needed:

2 Seed:
- LVA clinches with a win or an Atlanta Loss
- ATL clinches with a win AND an LVA loss

Whoever doesn’t get the 2 seed will be the two seed

And Seattle

Phoenix

Las Vegas

Adding some revised charts

ATL

Also, New York is locked into the 5 seed if you missed it

Seattle

LA

8 seed
Go 2-0, Golden State 1-0

Eliminated
Anything else

Indiana have basically the inverse of GSV

6 seed
Golden State 0-2 and Indiana 1-0

New playoff possibility charts, in order of simplicity

First up: Golden State

8 seed
Go 0-2 and Indiana goes 1-0

6 seed
Anything else

And lastly, Indiana. Win a game, or LA loses one, and they’re in.

Seattle gets a little to complex to list everything out, but the short version is this:

Clinch
1. Go 1-0 OR
2. LAS loses 1+ game

Eliminated
1. Go 0-1 AND LAS go 3-0

6 Seed
1. Go 1-0 AND GSV and IND go winless

Every other outcome is either a 7 or 8 seed

For Los Angeles:

Clinch
1. Go 3-0 AND Seattle OR Indiana go winless

7 Seed
1. Go 3-0 AND Seattle AND Indiana go winless

8 Seed
1. Go 3-0 AND Seattle 0-1 AND Indiana 1-1 OR
2. Go 3-0 AND Seattle 1-0 AND Indiana 0-3

Finally have some legible playoff seeding flowcharts, starting with Golden State.

6 Seed
1. Go 1-1 or better OR
2. Go 0-2 and Indiana goes 1-1

7 Seed
1. Go 0-2 and Indiana goes 0-2

8 Seed
1. Go 0-2 and Indiana goes 2-0

@theixbasketball.bsky.social | @herhoopstats.com

Everything to know about the WNBA revenue sharing debate - The IX Basketball A deep dive into the points of contention as the WNBA and WNBPA debate how revenue sharing should look in the upcoming CBA.

Confused about the WNBA revenue sharing debate? You're not alone. Luckily, @jacobmox.bsky.social has you covered with this handy explainer:

www.thenexthoops.com/wnba/everyth...

Dallas Wings WNBA Salary Cap Sheet Dallas Wings Salary Cap Sheet and Key WNBA CBA Info from Her Hoop Stats

We've updated our #WNBA Salary Cap Sheets with all the picks from tonight as well the recent trades. Check it out for all the information you need about player salaries from the best WNBA cap team in the business: @jacobmox.bsky.social and @richardcohen.bsky.social

herhoopstats.com/salary-cap-s...

This story has been rattling around my head for the last 5 years and it is nice to get it out

Revisiting the 2019-20 season's end for three mid-major programs - The Next How three mid-major programs navigated the 2019-20 season's abrupt cancellation due to COVID-19 in March 2020, with five years of hindsight.

Five years ago, Drake, Rider and Princeton saw magical seasons come to an abrupt end. Our @jacobmox.bsky.social looks back on those three teams and the impact COVID-19 had on the lives of so many players and coaches who were in the middle of their best seasons ever.

The New WNBPA Partnership With Unrivaled Changes The WNBA Landscape The WNBPA's new partnership with Unrivaled changes the calculations of how many of the best women's basketball players earn a living.

First at @forbes.com: my story on the new WNBPA partnership with Unrivaled and OneTeam has a chance to provide more than just a new revenue stream for the players. It changes the landscape anew amid current CBA talks with the #WNBA: www.forbes.com/sites/howard...

There have been 15 21-rebound games entering today. UMass’s Stefanie Kulesza has 21 with 16+ minutes to play.

@thenext.bsky.social @herhoopstats.com

Civil rights attorney, former Miss Kansas contestant killed in plane crash near DC airport As families and communities identify victims in Wednesday night’s plane crash near Washington, D.C., we’re learning that a well-known civil rights attorney and former Miss Kansas contestant is among t...

Kiah was set to join our faculty at Howard Law School in the Fall. She was a dedicated, brilliant civil rights lawyer poised to make a powerful difference in our world.

Our hearts are broken & we pray for her family & friends.

www.kwch.com/2025/01/30/c...

Of course you want to play the women's Silver Sword as well. Pick the winners of November MTEs and brag to your friends about how you're smarter than they are. forms.gle/ArRcRT7vW8xT... #WSilverSword24

She’s got the triple-double, still 3 steals to go for the quadruple

Through 3 quarters, Ally Becki of Ball State has 15 points, 9 rebounds, 9 assists and 7 steals. We’re officially on quadruple double watch. Five (official) all-time, and none since 2019 when Shakyla Hill recorded the second of her career.

@herhoopstats.bsky.social @thenext.bsky.social