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Santiago Moncada

@santiagomoncada.bsky.social

187 Followers  |  721 Following  |  35 Posts  |  Joined: 26.10.2023  |  1.887

Latest posts by santiagomoncada.bsky.social on Bluesky

One could also try to limit semiconductor exports to Russia so they can't build advance missiles as fast, but the only way to do it effectively would require secondary sanctions and there's no appetite for that

07.07.2025 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A recurrent theme throughout this war has been that Western decision-makers, driven by inherent risk aversion, are being pushed ever closer to a position where they will sooner or later have to accept tremendous risks to avert Ukrainian defeat and its catastrophic consequences.

07.07.2025 10:05 β€” πŸ‘ 638    πŸ” 146    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 13

Beschaffungsprozess von Eva Einheit 01 "Bayern" und Eva Einheit 02 "Brandenburg" dauert noch, weil das FaxgerΓ€t noch nicht repariert werden kΓΆnnte wegen mangelnder Ersatzteile

01.07.2025 12:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Das kann nicht echt sein 🫠

18.06.2025 09:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The disrespect these people have for the lives of their allies soldiers that went to fight and die in wars they started is astonishing. It's also strange that some people on this side of the Atlantic still believe we are friends

11.06.2025 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You're only allowed to wear that if you can dance Salsa

06.06.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Isn't that just Responsible Statecraft or whatever their awful magazine is called?

02.06.2025 21:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have been repeating this for the past 2 years and it’s time to repeat it once again to everyone in the west now complaining about escalation risks:

If we in the west don’t help Ukraine, they will help themselves. And we will have no control over how they do that.

01.06.2025 19:35 β€” πŸ‘ 548    πŸ” 115    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 4

Schelling rolling in his grave rn

26.05.2025 14:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

After nearly 10 years of Brexit debate, it's quite remarkable to see how many commentators and policymakers in the UK still can't get their heads around the reality that most of their counterparts in the EU don't think much about the UK at all.

15.05.2025 10:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1393    πŸ” 252    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
Colombia’s Stolen Children BogotΓ‘ must do more to stop armed groups from recruiting minors.

Hundreds of children are fighting in #Colombia's conflict, as armed groups depend on their unpaid labor to sustain the scale of their fight.

Today, I write in @ForeignAffairs on how recruitment happens and why we must get the kids out of this war.

www.foreignaffairs.com/north-americ...

08.05.2025 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Are there gonna be illegal Anime and telenovela rings because they're too expensive?

05.05.2025 10:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How does this even work? Does Netflix have to pay the us government the same they paid for streaming rights? What if they make a movie outside the US but it's their movie. Do they pay the govt. The production value? Also foreign films are a national security threat? Sounds like North Korean Policy

05.05.2025 09:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Belllingcat CEO Eliot Higgins, on how disordered discourse is destroying democracy
YouTube video by Cambridge Disinformation Summit Belllingcat CEO Eliot Higgins, on how disordered discourse is destroying democracy

I've just come back from the Cambridge Disinformation Summit where I gave the opening keynote, titled "Demanufacturing Consent - How Disordered Discourse is Destroying Democracy", featuring everything from Fake Hooves to Jackson Hinkle being the worst.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-FV...

25.04.2025 19:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1885    πŸ” 571    πŸ’¬ 74    πŸ“Œ 76

Any so-called security expert who still believes he can separate international alliances from domestic politics is utterly and completely kidding himself.

#Vance

14.02.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 185    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3
Post image

The gravity of USAID's shuttering in #Colombia go well beyond gaps in the budget line.

Programs have been shut down in a way that could endanger communities and devastate U.S. access and credibility for many years. It also stands to destabilize #Colombia's delicate security🧡

06.02.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 47    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 14

Es freut mich sehr, das wir so wahrgenommen werden :)

31.01.2025 06:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Am Vormittag den Opfern der Faschisten von gestern gedenken, um am Nachmittag den Faschisten von heute die Hand zu reichen. Ein zutiefst beschΓ€mender Tag fΓΌr dieses Land und fΓΌr eine Partei, die sich immer noch christlich nennt.

29.01.2025 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 6726    πŸ” 2021    πŸ’¬ 101    πŸ“Œ 68

Oh Gott. Was ist diesmal?

19.01.2025 13:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Moron doctrine

23.12.2024 13:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We are also on Bluesky now! Follow for @hdhiik.bsky.social!

23.12.2024 11:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fantastic NYT framing as always

22.12.2024 18:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Turning the Monroe doctrine into the Moron doctrine

22.12.2024 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So the Russians are negotiating keeping their Syrian bases and therefore their supply lines to Africa. Even after they bombed the rebels for years while the west just waits and squanders an amazing opportunity to cut said supply line. Another wasted chance...

12.12.2024 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

it's a bad day for the international network of dictators who live in similar palaces

08.12.2024 07:05 β€” πŸ‘ 4096    πŸ” 712    πŸ’¬ 113    πŸ“Œ 23

People voted for Trump to "improve the economy", only for him to immediately proceed to nuke it by starting trade wars with the US's three largest trading partners.

27.11.2024 10:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Es ist unglaublich, dass sie trotz alles was danach geschehen ist, nicht in der Lage ist, das Projekt als ein Fehler anzuerkennen

26.11.2024 22:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Kinda just developed from the MA thesis I don't know where that would fit

26.11.2024 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The lack of discipline of Trump and his courtiers means that any trust that was low to begin with between US military, intelligence, and law enforcement institutions will evaporate as each agency and unit hoards information out of fear that others in Washington or the White House will leak it.

26.11.2024 10:51 β€” πŸ‘ 118    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 2

Really can't wait to see all the FAZ columnists make a huge U turn on the issue

21.11.2024 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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