Sasquatch

Does the leftward tilt of later ballots consistently happen in Spokane too?

I think the WA-05 congressional district is winnable right now for Democrats with the right candidate focusing on the right issues.

Here’s what I’d be looking for in a candidate:

100% agree--ideally said candidate drives a truck w/>100k miles and a 'Don't tread on me' flag

It's obviously early, lots of variables, blah blah blah. But these are the kinds of numbers that should have Baumgartner looking over his shoulder

Here is RM transit pointing out some of the issues w/true hsr in Cascadia

YouTube video by RMTransit Giving Amtrak Cascades the Upgrade It Deserves

youtu.be/aRYEjl2Q2rM?...

Still doubtful that true HSR makes sense vs substantial updates to the existing infrastructure for billions less. Makes more sense to upgrade existing Cascades + actual cross-mtn service to Yakima, Tri-Cities, and Spokane.

I don't see any dead animals mounted on the wall though? Is he really in touch w/the Mountain West?

No mention of the housing crisis, affordability, public transit, etc. But no, it's definitely all Trump and not a reflection on Bruce's empty suit do-nothing approach to the job

Restaurants with significant outdoor seating--preferably w/beer

👀

To Build Fast, Think Small | Sightline Institute How re-legalizing small apartment buildings would spur the homes city dwellers need now.

Allow small apartment buildings everywhere. Yes, everywhere.

www.sightline.org/2025/10/28/t...

There's persistent rumors that she'll run for AK governor next year--probably part of the reason that Peltola hasn't announced what she's running for yet

Legit thought you meant Pumpkin Spice Latte here

All those guys are from Seattle though (specifically Ballard)

Did you test any other D candidates? Or a generic D?

I find it telling that neither of the 2 names she dropped as potential members will actually be in the Senate next year

Trump approval and GOP genetic ballot are both at 41.5%--thoughts on Ds ability to convert disapprovers into D votes in '26?

Alaska already has very high cost of goods (greater sensitivity to tariffs)+ no state more impacted by 51st BS

Can you say more about how you selected states? Why is ID on the list, but not MT or AK?

Quick preview of numbers being released tomorrow… special for my Bluesky peeps:

Alaska Survey Research
October 10-15, 2025
N=2,083 adults (1,957 RV, 1,708 LV)

2026 Alaska US Senate (LV)

Mary Peltola (D) 48%
Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
Undecided 6%

Sullivan’s negative hits 50% for the first time.

I know it's just anecdotal, but I personally several ID families that vote blue, but are registered Republicans because the GOP primary is tantamount to election in much of the state. So I tend to doubt drawing trends purely from registration data

This just isn't true--W won every state between MN and the coast in '04, Dems have pulled CO and NM onto their side, and pulled NV and AZ into tossup status.

I just don't think a genetic white republican is capable of being nominated by today's GOP. And I didn't necessarily mean an actual leftist, or a shift to the left on specific policies--just that the opening is there for Ds to make an actual libertarian argument. Free trade + no kings bring an exmpl

This where I disagree. UT has moved more to the left under Trump than any other state. You're assuming a uniform national swing, whereas I'm arguing Dems make a purposeful effort to align more w/relatively well-educated secular states like MT and AK. More libertarian, less fed power, etc.

It really hasn't though. W won ID by 38% in 2004, and Trump won it by 36% in 2024, with about the same national pop vote. Now that's not significant movement the other way, and I 100% agree that ID isn't anywhere near flipping. But the idea that it's moved further to the right just isn't really true

Most of Trump's gains come from consolidating the McMullin vote in 2017--Kamala also gained over Hillary. That being said, ID is a loooong way from being competitive. AK, MT, and UT will all flip before ID.

It is, and the lack of investment in trying to win in MT is criminal

What do you even say at this point?

Things are happening at Portland's ICE facility tonight.

Read more of our protest coverage here: www.oregonlive.com/crime/2025/1...