Rich

What Happened to Ukraine's Ballistic Missile Defense? Explaining the Reported Drop in Patriot's Effectiveness Explaining the Reported Drop in Patriot's Effectiveness

Hi all,

I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the reported drop in Ukraine’s ballistic missile intercept rate from 37 to 6 percent, as covered by the Financial Times.

Access the full post here:

missilematters.substack.com/p/what-happe...

Short summary below.

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NEW: Russia appears to be accelerating the informational and psychological condition-setting phase — “Phase 0” — of its campaign to prepare for a possible NATO-Russia war in the future.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar100625

You CANNOT call yourself
"pro science" if you support vaccines yet believe and support falsehoods about "chemicals," food ingredients, pesticides/farming, and biotech.

That's cherry-picking.

It’s exactly the same tactic that people you demonize do when it comes to being anti-vaccine.

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Trump on Tomahawks for Ukraine:

"Yeah, I sort of made a decision pretty much… Yeah. I think I want to find out what they're doing with them. You know, where they're sending them. I guess I have to ask that question."

We are planning to use them as missiles are used 🙃

Every day I’ve been getting angrier when I think about how maga, the so called alpha male bros, always punch down at people who are less fortunate or struggling.

This isn’t manliness. It’s cowardly, it’s shameful, and it makes you look like a tiny little douche face

In today’s Vatnik Soup REBREW, I’ll reintroduce an American political commentator and pro-Kremlin propagandist, Tucker Carlson. He’s best known for his promotion of crazy conspiracy theories and for his support of authoritarian regimes around the world.

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This evening, President Trump is ordering 400 members of the Texas National Guard for deployments to Illinois, Oregon, and other locations within the United States. No officials from the federal government called me directly to discuss or coordinate.

Yea covid for sure

Totally divorced from reality.

MORE: The Kremlin is trying to prevent the United States from providing Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in order to retain the sanctuary that Russia enjoys in its rear.🧵 (1/7)
isw.pub/UkrWar100525

🇺🇦 Zelensky: There must be responsibility for this war for everyone who started it, starting with Putin, but not ending with him alone. When our meeting with Prime Minister Schoof began, a report came about a Russian strike on our city of Sumy - a drone strike on a maternity hospital building.

Said Russian Trojan horse about another Russian Trojan horse.

Everyone has their personal favorite fuckmerkel moment, but mine is when she said sending ammo to Ukraine won’t help Ukraine and when she vetoed the supply of PURCHASED weapons in her final days as chancellor

Russians attacked a maternity hospital in Sumy‼️

A drone struck the facility’s roof, sparking a fire. Fortunately, there were no casualties. Everyone had taken shelter in time.

At the moment of the attack, the perinatal center housed 11 babies, 35 patients, and 120 staff.

Fixed it for you Frau Merkel

Utterly shameful and embarrassing. Frau Merkel would rather blame those who were right than admit she was wrong.

🇺🇦 Zelensky: In its fourth year of full-scale war, Russia continues to receive components for weapons.

During the massive combined strike, Russia used 549 weapons containing 102,785 foreign-made components – US, China and Taiwan, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea and the Netherlands.

We do not hate merkel enough

NEW: Russian President Putin continues attempts to deter the US from sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by linking improvements in the US-RU bilateral relationship to concessions from the US on the war in Ukraine. (1/5)

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Oct. 5, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar100525

Did she fall head first?

This is on you, Angela. You fed Russia with money and rewarded every act of aggression with shiny new pipelines. The least you could do now is have the decency to shut the hell up.

Really, truly amazing that OpenAI wants us to believe that they are worth a trillion dollars but also they are so desperate for revenue that they created an infinite SlopTok app that opens them up to a billion lawsuits just so that they can maybe someday make it even worse by filling it with ads.

🇺🇦‼️ Russia simply laughs at the West, rejecting all peace initiatives and continuing terror. We will fight so that the world does not remain silent, — President Zelensky.

Half of the goal sum is here! Could you please help me to boost this fundraiser further with your reposts?
Thank you for everyone who shared and donated to this fundraiser already!

🇨🇳 China unveils mobile drone launch system, initially for light shows but with clear military potential — TWZ

The system has set a world record for having more than 11,000 drones in the air at the same time.

Literally did more than Just Stop Oil

Good. Ukrainian sanctions must continue!

🇨🇳 Three Chinese reconnaissance satellites flew over the Lviv region 9 times today from 00:00 to 11:30. The satellite was also detected in the morning over Dnipro.

Earlier, intelligence had already warned that China was providing Russia with satellite data for missile strikes.

Text card: Listen for dangerous words. Be alert to the use of the words extremism and terrorism. Be alive to the fatal notions of emergency and exception. Be angry about the treacherous use of patriotic vocabulary. #OnTyranny

One of the lessons I discuss in "On Tyranny":
Listen for dangerous words.

When people start doubting that Trump actually wants to work with dictators, they might ask themselves why the two states he is working hard to limit military sales to are Taiwan and Ukraine.