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Dylan Lance Armbruster

@dylanarmbruster3.bsky.social

MS student in Statistics BS in Statistics

16 Followers  |  36 Following  |  34 Posts  |  Joined: 13.11.2024  |  2.2855

Latest posts by dylanarmbruster3.bsky.social on Bluesky

Perfect

20.11.2025 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not p-hacking but definitely some sort of cheating verb.

20.11.2025 16:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Do you talk about the arguments for NHST?
psycnet.apa.org/record/1997-...

18.11.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Confidence Intervals are inverted hypothesis tests.... p-values are fine.

18.11.2025 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wikipedia is good. But I found two Statistics Encyclopedia's that do what I want from Wiki better at times.

16.11.2025 16:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not a Bayesian but maybe you could also add what your goal is? For example are you interested in applied Stats or Math/theo Stats. Im interested in the latter so I'm going to read this one at some point
www.amazon.com/dp/038796098...

08.11.2025 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Causal Data Science Meeting - Home Fostering a dialogue between industry and academia on causal data science.

Register here (for FREE): www.causalscience.org

Can't join? Subscribe to get a notification when the recording is out: causalbanditspodcast.com

**Read the report: genderedinnovations.stanford.edu/case-studies...

6/6

#CausalSky

05.11.2025 08:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Laughs in C++

04.11.2025 20:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Statisticool.com Statistics, Poetry, Investing, and other Articles

statisticool.com/mathstat/rep...
Worth reading WRT Replication Crisis.

17.02.2025 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The third installment of the β€œhow should we actually construct our causal graphs anyway” series is out now! πŸ‘‡πŸΌ

Nick & I ask the question: can we just get an LLM to tell us what belongs on the graph?

17.12.2024 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I have a few of Neyman's papers saved. Reading about his inductive inference is interesting.

10.12.2024 20:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That is surprising to my noob stat brain.

09.12.2024 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

you if all you have is college algebra. But I think it's a great work book to get your feat wet! I've read both the book and workbook in it's entirety and I think the authors have written one of the best HS stat books.

09.12.2024 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Mathematical Methods in Statistics a Workbook Buy Mathematical Methods in Statistics a Workbook on Amazon.com βœ“ FREE SHIPPING on qualified orders

There are two books I think you can still use. Statistics by Freedman and Mathematical Methods in Statistics by Freedman is a solid choice if you want to learn about Statistics and some probability. The latter will challenge..

www.amazon.com/Statistics-F...

www.amazon.com/Mathematical...

09.12.2024 16:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think Statistics and Probability courses are worth the effort if it is calculus based probability. So, if you were in HS and had to choose between AP Stats or AP Calculus. AP calculus is worth more of your time. Despite that, if you really don't plan on getting up to Multi variable Calculus...

09.12.2024 16:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I can grant that for now. Why do you suppose that is? I would imagine the one with a higher mathematical exposure would have the better understanding. Or from a Philosophical one.

09.12.2024 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Would you say the same thing if they went from Bayesian to Frequentist? If yes, then it seems like an advantage independent of what the switch is to. I'm a BS in Statistics, and I know that interpretation is wrong and why it is wrong. This is a critique of the education system.

08.12.2024 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That's frustrating but I see your point. That individual is equivocating on the word probability πŸ₯²

07.12.2024 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They preface it with a promise of "this is what you want to know anyway". But imagine if we did that with say, calculus. A student doesn't quite understand integrals. Would we suggest them just do something else? As a stats/math tutor, I find this a bad solution.

07.12.2024 18:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"I see too many people casually using Bayes as just another stat method"
I'm a student, so I don't really encounter this in person. But online, I've seen people say they don't understand Freq method interpretations. As a solution, some suggest to just go with Bayesian methods.

07.12.2024 18:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

What do you mean by Elementary statistics? The prereq for measure theory requires a solid understanding of proof techniques and Real Analysis.

06.12.2024 23:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

But a Freq wouldn't say that right? That would be why I think the above is just a strawman of a property they didn't announce they had.

06.12.2024 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The mere fact that they randomized gives the investigator a good argument for it. Would you agree?

05.12.2024 23:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

By null results, do they just mean failed to reject? Or do they actually mean the point estimate was 0?

05.12.2024 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"Sometimes people try to elaborate by explaining that in Frequentist statistics, the confidence interval either contains the true parameter (1) or not (0);"
I don't like this explanation either but, for me it's because it's a strawman.

05.12.2024 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Richard Morey on the "The fallacy of placing confidence in confidence intervals"
YouTube video by Zoltan Dienes Richard Morey on the "The fallacy of placing confidence in confidence intervals"

He talk at the University of Sussex for those that want a video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvUS...

04.12.2024 16:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
In Defense of the Neyman-Pearson Theory of Confidence Intervals on JSTOR Deborah G. Mayo, In Defense of the Neyman-Pearson Theory of Confidence Intervals, Philosophy of Science, Vol. 48, No. 2 (Jun., 1981), pp. 269-280

Check this out then,
www.jstor.org/stable/187185 .

04.12.2024 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If you think of CI's as providing initial precision, instead of finial precision, it helps with some of the confusion people have.

04.12.2024 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I almost used Rice and Hogg on my own. But I found that I didn't appreciate the examples Rice used (would often not be given the chance to work on the example myself). And for Hogg, I wasn't at the level of mathematical maturity that was assumed.

27.11.2024 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Mathematical Maturity via Discrete Mathematics (Dover Books on Mathematics) Buy Mathematical Maturity via Discrete Mathematics (Dover Books on Mathematics) on Amazon.com βœ“ FREE SHIPPING on qualified orders

I would say I appreciated reading definitions and theorems a lot more after reading this (www.amazon.com/Mathematical...) when I did Discrete Math.

27.11.2024 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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