futurism.com/white-house-...
The US is just straight up committing civilizational suicide. Excited for China's century
@jschardin.bsky.social
VP, Financial Services @ CFRA Washington Analysis. Longtime DC finreg and econ policy guy; history buff, tortured MN sports fan, Fargo native. #Timberwolves; opinions my own
futurism.com/white-house-...
The US is just straight up committing civilizational suicide. Excited for China's century
Plus the Fed getting a better handle on what it should do following the Depression.
04.08.2025 21:32 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)
Why do the jobs numbers get revised?
our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months
1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly
Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N
www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...
What
01.08.2025 23:07 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yeesh, a third of data in the CPI is estimated, not actually collected. This is of course entirely Trump's fault.
I don't know if that's the Trump admin fiddling with data, the BLS not having adequate resources to collect data thanks to DOGE cuts, or both.
But it ain't good.
"The CFPB received roughly 29,000 complaints in the first half of 2025 filed under the sub-category of domestic money transfers, up from roughly 1,300 complaints in 2024, a 2,051% year-over-year increase."
www.americanbanker.com/news/cfpb-co...
There is zero βmayβ about this. It will be a giant problem.
22.07.2025 23:10 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0J.J. McCarthy is the only first-round QB in modern NFL draft history to miss his entire rookie year because of injury. Here's the story of how the Vikings avoided a totally lost season and got him ready to enter camp this week atop the QB depth chart.
20.07.2025 13:02 β π 41 π 11 π¬ 2 π 0I worked GOTV in Austin in 2018 for a couple of weeks and ran out of Talarico's office. I told friends then, we need to keep an eye on this guy. He's impressive.
20.07.2025 01:47 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0No one who follows this stuff closely or affected by these issues thinks βeverything Trump is doing on immigration is exactly the same as beforeβ and in fact itβs this feigned cynical dumb guy moral flattening that kept people from recognizing the stakes.
19.07.2025 22:33 β π 116 π 15 π¬ 5 π 0π§ͺ The EPA is eliminating its scientific research arm and firing hundreds of scientists.
This move, enabled by a Supreme Court ruling, dismantles the office providing independent research for environmental policies.
#Climate
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission plans to lay off around two dozen staff members and has restructured its enforcement division by eliminating some management positions. www.law360.com/artic...
17.07.2025 22:15 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0My mother was never a big factor in terms of life.
16.07.2025 00:12 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0If you treat your friends like dirt and tell them they have no place else to go, they'll find someplace else to go. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/13/b...
13.07.2025 13:04 β π 120 π 31 π¬ 9 π 0This kind of smart, walkable, mixed-use development is illegal to build these days.
12.07.2025 09:03 β π 1657 π 418 π¬ 17 π 7I use the click-to-cancel FTC rule all the time to explain why the war on the admin state matters. The whole "shadowy deep state bureaucrats!!!!!" characterization really loses momentum once you flesh out what the shadowy deep state bureaucrats do
12.07.2025 00:00 β π 957 π 168 π¬ 11 π 3Quote with your favorite anti-fascist film
05.07.2025 14:43 β π 95 π 3 π¬ 0 π 30Night hot dogs just hit different, you know?
03.07.2025 04:23 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Update: Kootenai County Sheriff Bob Norris confirms that two firefighters have died as a result of the shooting and sniper fire is still occurring. Deputies believe the suspect intentionally set the fire to lure law enforcement and firefighters to the scene.
30.06.2025 00:46 β π 35 π 19 π¬ 1 π 4When I found out they were from California:
29.06.2025 19:19 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Swiss Re warns βextreme heat poses a growing threat to the insurance industryβ with βannual losses of $404-448 billionβ just to corporate fixed assets of listed companies by 2035.
29.06.2025 12:01 β π 362 π 105 π¬ 15 π 4Sam Vecenie on new Wolf Joan Beringer: "This is like the easiest pick in the world. Beringer is a real developmental player. He is an incredible athlete. Moves like a wing. Moves at a level that no other big in this class really achieves."
26.06.2025 03:14 β π 116 π 9 π¬ 5 π 0in the absence of additional information voters use ideology as a shortcut but this can be short-circuited/manipulated by campaigning and also simple temperament
25.06.2025 11:32 β π 39 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0New: House Republicans are seeking a 48% cut in GAO funding as part of their FY2026 Legislative Branch appropriations bill. This is the independent accounting arm of Congress. Democrats are strongly opposed. Republicans also seeking a 10% cut in Library of Congress funding.
The Trump administration has spent months illegally impounding funds in the name of waste, fraud, and abuse.
Congressional Republicans are now seeking to cut GAO, an organization dedicated to rooting out waste, frauds abuse, roughly in half.
The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with a final decision to be made by security authorities, Al Arabiya reports.
22.06.2025 13:18 β π 239 π 68 π¬ 13 π 21A few miles from where my mom grew up.
21.06.2025 22:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0