Europe in a Changing World

European Moments What story should Europe tell in the 21st-century?

Europe can’t secure itself without Turkey. Yet distrust and limited cooperation still block real partnership. How Brussels and Ankara can bridge the gap — read the new paper by Galip Dalay (Chatham House; Oxford Univ., Dahrendorf Programme) europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...

The fight for Europe's future History of the Present (three weeks ending 30 June 2025)

Before Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, it is worth recalling the article by @fromtga.bsky.social: "For the foreseeable future Europe will face a revanchist Russia determined to regain effective control over as much of its former empire as it can" timothygartonash.substack.com/p/the-fight-...

9 years ago today, a narrow majority of Brits voted for #Brexit. Even bigger than economic cost is that to Britain's soft power, international clout & sense of strategic direction.
How can you be a 'bridge' with no firm foundations on either the EU or (now) the US river bank?

Robert Kagan über Trump, Europa und den Zerfall der transatlantischen Ordnung Wie viel Vertrauen bleibt zwischen Europa und den USA, wenn Amerikas Führungsrolle schwindet? Robert Kagan und Dimitar Bechev im Gespräch an der University of Oxford.

“Trump will never stop being hostile toward Europe.”
An insightful take on US–EU relations by foreign policy experts Robert Kagan (Brookings) and @dimitarbechev.bsky.social (Dahrendorf Programme). It's in German—but easy to follow and well worth translating www.aufruhr-magazin.de/europa/rober...

Poland's new president is bad news for Europe A bitterly divided country will be hamstrung just when Europe needs it most

Poland will be politically hamstrung just when Europe most needs it to be strong. My first take on Poland's presidential election in my History of the Present Substack newsletter (subscribe – it's free!).
timothygartonash.substack.com/p/polands-ne...

“I’m not sure we will have free and fair elections in two years in the United States,” said Robert Kagan at Oxford Kagan delivered the prestigious Dahrendorf Lecture at St Antony's College, Oxford, as a requiem for the American order—and called on Europe to re-arm.

Is antiliberalism the new global ideology?
Interesting take on Robert Kagan's Dahrendorf lecture by @ezgibasaran.bsky.social
ezgibasaran.substack.com/p/im-not-sur...

Key notes from Dahrendorf Lecture by Dr.Kagan •Ideological component in Trump’s anti-liberal policies •Europe is increasingly vulnerable, caught between an anti-liberal US & Russia •EU must strengthen its security to protect liberalism @stiftungmercator.bsky.social @fnfreiheit.bsky.social

The Dahrendorf Lecture, "After Paradise: The US, EU, and UK in a Disordered World" by Dr. Robert Kagan (Brookings Institution), is happening tonight! Save the link and join the livestream at 5 GMT podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K... @stiftungmercator.bsky.social @fnfreiheit.bsky.social

Key insights from the Dahrendorf workshop on Europe–China relations:
🔹Trump policies brought the EU and China closer.
🔹It's the right time to rethink and restructure the partnership.
🔹Opportunities in trade, security, tech & climate.
🔹Shared status quo power = stronger global influence.

A New World (Dis)Order is the theme of this year’s Dahrendorf Lecture and Colloquium. How will Europe navigate this new reality? International experts are coming to Oxford to discuss global political challenges. Join the livestream of Friday's lecture by Dr. Kagan podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K...

Are Europeans now from Mars and Americans from…Krypton? Join us online for the Dahrendorf Lecture by Robert Kagan, this Friday, May 2, 5 pm UK time. @dahrendorfoxford.bsky.social @dimitarbechev.bsky.social
Link: podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K...

In the new Trumpian era, liberal democracies must hold their noses – and engage with difficult partners | Timothy Garton Ash New polling says much of the world will welcome Trump. Europe will need to be more transactional abroad – but less so at home, writes Guardian columnist Timothy Garton Ash

1. Only 22% of EUropeans say they regard the US as an 'ally'. Less than Russians who say that of Chinese and vice versa. For me one of the most startling results of our latest global poll with @ECFR
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Is there a "Trump effect" on the transatlantic alliance? 🌍

🇪🇺 Just 1 in 5 Europeans now view the U.S. as an ally—a sharp decline from two years ago.
🇺🇸 In contrast, half of Americans see the EU as an ally, with a rising share (24% → 32%) calling it a necessary partner.

What’s driving this shift? 🤔

Alone in a Trumpian world: The EU and global public opinion after the US elections Citizens of global powers are upbeat about a second Trump presidency – but this is by no means universal, particularly among traditional US allies.

Unsere neue Umfrage könnt ihr hier lesen 👇https://ecfr.eu/publication/alone-in-a-trumpian-world-the-eu-and-global-public-opinion-after-the-us-elections/

European Moments What story should Europe tell in the 21st-century?

Explore here: europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...

European Moments What story should Europe tell in the 21st-century?

Read the full report here: europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...

What does Trump’s return mean for geopolitics? Could it even de-escalate conflicts? 🤔 Interestingly, our poll reveals optimism about easing tensions in Ukraine 🇺🇦, the Middle East, and U.S.-China relations 🇺🇸🇨🇳:

In their new report, @fromtga.bsky.social, Mark Leonard, & Ivan Krastev analyse insights from 28,549 participants 🌍 across 24 countries. Global views on Trump’s re-election are sharply divided—Europe is deeply concerned, while nations like 🇮🇳, 🇨🇳, & 🇧🇷 see new opportunities:

European Moments What story should Europe tell in the 21st-century?

"Alone in a Trumpian World," our latest global opinion poll covering 24 countries is out now 🌍. It reveals how people worldwide view Trump’s re-election, its impact on global conflicts, and the shifting role of Europe in geopolitics. Read the full report:
europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...