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Roger Nusbaum

@randomroger.bsky.social

Investment Advisor, fire chief, blogger.

560 Followers  |  77 Following  |  796 Posts  |  Joined: 01.09.2023  |  1.5619

Latest posts by randomroger.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The Pursuit Of Robustness Bob Elliott from Unlimited Funds got interviewed by Brad Roth from Thor Financial which was posted at ETF.com. Bob has a fascinating backgr...

The Pursuit Of Robustness

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/the-...

17.02.2026 02:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Philosophy From Marshall Mathers Let's start with this graphic from Gallup ; The trend probably isn't surprising, we are more divided and dysfunctional than we've ever been ...

Philosophy From Marshall Mathers

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/phil...

15.02.2026 21:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Problems That Will Never Be Solved Yahoo hit on a subject that has been happening more frequently lately and that we looked at just once, the extent to which increases in Med...

Problems That Will Never Be Solved

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/prob...

15.02.2026 00:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Getting AI To Fall In Line Barron's had a short profile on the recently listed iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF (IALT) which is similar compare to the longe...

Getting AI To Fall In Line

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/gett...

14.02.2026 00:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Their Model, Our Funds Alpha Architect Tweeted a link to its model portfolios . They are essentially the same batch of funds in different weightings depending on t...

Their Model, Our Funds

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/thei...

11.02.2026 22:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Scathing Rebuke Of Bitcoin Larry Swedroe went off on Bitcoin. His substack post reads like he's angry. There are some points I agree with and some points I do not.Β  T...

Scathing Rebuke Of Bitcoin

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/scat...

11.02.2026 00:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stop Fidgeting We had a structure fire this afternoon, right after the market closed so this post will be very short. Not much drama in the picture, the fi...

Stop Fidgeting

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/stop...

10.02.2026 00:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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The Legend Of The One Fund Portfolio Meb Faber's most recent podcast had a couple of interesting things to say about trend following and one thought provoking idea that we've h...

The Legend Of The One Fund Portfolio

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/the-...

08.02.2026 23:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Guessing/extrapolating that the price will have a large decline after already having a large decline.

07.02.2026 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Deconstructing Autocallables Earlier this week, I spent some time trying to dig in more to autocallable ETFs with the help of Copilot. The basic idea is that autocallabl...

Deconstructing Autocallables

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/deco...

06.02.2026 23:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Looking Around Corners This morning's email from Bespoke led off with the following quote from author William S. Burroughs. β€œThe best way to keep something bad fro...

Looking Around Corners

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/look...

05.02.2026 22:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I don't know about a death spiral for Bitcoin but one for Strategy certainly seems more plausible.

05.02.2026 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Just Take A Breath It's not getting a lot of attention but Bitcoin has taken quite a hit over the last few months.Β  I threw Strategy (MSTR) on the chart too wh...

Just Take A Breath

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/just...

04.02.2026 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Leverage & Derivative Income? Go On, I'm Listening NEOS is launching three ETFs that offer 1.5X covered call exposure of their call funds. So their covered call ETF SPYI references the S&P 50...

Leverage & Derivative Income? Go On, I'm Listening

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/leve...

04.02.2026 00:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A Leveraged Fund Actually Did Better? Just a couple of very quick snippets tonight. Netflix (NFLX) has taken quite a hit over the last seven months or so with the attempt to buy ...

A Leveraged Fund Actually Did Better?

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/a-le...

03.02.2026 01:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Been a rough 21st century for Akamai.

02.02.2026 00:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Insanity And Stability All In One Blog Post Yesterday, I said I wanted to give the insanity spilling out over the weekend time to "breathe" and then things got more insane. Peter Attia...

Insanity And Stability All In One Blog Post

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/02/insa...

01.02.2026 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A Complicated Benefit Of Working In Your 60's This is shaping up to be an insane weekend coming after Friday's fallout, the chatter being driven by the release of more (all the remaining...

A Complicated Benefit Of Working In Your 60's

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/a-co...

31.01.2026 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Fed Chair Pick: Contender Kevin Warsh Explains How He Would Overhaul the Central Bank In Kevin Warsh’s view, the next Fed chair can reset the institution’s credibility by overhauling the way the central bank thinks about its relationship with the markets, the economy, and the rest of t...

Warsh says. β€œI fundamentally disagree. At the core, I think inflation comes about when the government spends too much and prints too much.”

Ok, does he think the government will spend less and will print less if he gets in?

www.barrons.com/articles/kev...

31.01.2026 02:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"Braking News," Gold & Silver Markets Are Broken The title of this post is a nod to a satirical account on Twitter I follow who always Tweets about braking news. While I think the title is ...

"Braking News," Gold & Silver Markets Are Broken

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/brak...

30.01.2026 21:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Accessing & Harnessing Sophisticated Strategies The excitement over providing retail access to private equity seems to have turned with more skepticism. Cliff Asness introduced the term vo...

Accessing & Harnessing Sophisticated Strategies

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/acce...

30.01.2026 01:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Duration Is Just Another Alt In promoting his latest podcast with Michael Batnick, Ben Carlson listed talking points including "diversification is working again." When I...

Duration Is Just Another Alt

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/dura...

29.01.2026 00:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you Dave πŸ˜€

28.01.2026 14:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
This One Will Piss Some People Off Bloomberg wrote about what looks like the unraveling of the Yale Model which of course the illiquid alt focused strategy that David Swensen...

This One Will Piss Some People Off

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/this...

28.01.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Is A Fourth Turning Real? Should We Worry About It? Grant Williams sat for Matt Zeigler's podcast earlier this month and they covered a lot of ground mostly related to the Fourth Turning. Th...

Is A Fourth Turning Real? Should We Worry About It?

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/is-f...

26.01.2026 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Taking TPA To The Next Step We've had some fun in the last few posts looking at Total Portfolio Approach (TPA) which is where we get constructing a portfolio around gro...

Taking TPA To The Next Step

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/taki...

25.01.2026 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Another Cambria ETF That Is Shredding It's been a while since we checked in on the Cambria Endowment Style ETF (ENDW) which I believe was the second ETF created out of a 351 conv...

Another Cambria ETF That Is Shredding

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/anot...

24.01.2026 23:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Friday Antifragility These sorts of memes always crack me up and are fitting for a wild week on the geopolitical front.Β  We probably all have thoughts and opinio...

Friday Antifragility

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/frid...

23.01.2026 22:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Risk Parity 2.0? Ray Dalio was pounding the table on the debasement in Davos this week. Good timing for the new Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF (BPR...

Risk Parity 2.0?

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/risk...

22.01.2026 23:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Duration Still Stinks The other day I said it would not be a black swan if rising interest rates were a contributing factor to the next large decline for equities...

Duration Still Stinks

rogersplanning.blogspot.com/2026/01/dura...

21.01.2026 02:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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