Number of People Chances Anyone is Infectious
1 1.4%
2 2.8%
3 4.2%
4 5.5%
5 6.9%
10 13.3%
15 19.2%
20 24.8%
25 29.9%
30 34.8%
50 50.9%
75 65.6%
100 75.9%
200 94.2%
300 98.6%
Happy Valentine's Day!
β€οΈππ
In a restaurant with 20 other people, there's a 1-in-4 chance of a COVlD exposure today, if nobody is testing/isolating. Risk is higher in the Northeast and especially the Midwest, lower elsewhere.
14.02.2026 23:25 β π 113 π 46 π¬ 1 π 0
I choo-choo-choose to protect you from long Covid.
A Valentine with a train wearing an n 95 mask and hearts are coming out the smoke stack.
Breaking the chain of transmission shows a lot of love.
Anyone -adults and children- can be debilitated by Covid, even well after the acute phase (initial symptoms), which is why Long Covid has been referred to as a mass-disabling event.
13.02.2025 14:12 β π 135 π 37 π¬ 2 π 1
This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Jan 31 - Feb 13, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Alberta's COVID Forecast outlook is SEVERE [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 18.6
About 1 of every 94 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 66,800-84,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: SEVERE; 16.7X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.8X higher
Hospitalizations: SEVERE; 17.5X higher
Deaths: SEVERE; 21.5X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
If you ARE HIGH RISK:
ALSO AVOID outdoor social gatherings
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 31 - Feb 13, 2026
ALBERTA
SEVERE [no change]
About 1 of every 94 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 16.7 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.8 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 17.5 x higher
-Deaths: 21.5 x higher
03.02.2026 23:26 β π 8 π 2 π¬ 1 π 1
Youβre a genius!
22.01.2026 22:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canadaβs COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 12.1
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 303,900-409,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: VERY HIGH; 10.5X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.4X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 10.6X higher
Deaths: SEVERE; 15.1X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 10.5 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.4 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.6 x higher
-Deaths: 15.1 x higher
22.01.2026 00:52 β π 160 π 85 π¬ 3 π 7
Five different illustrations from artists with Long COVID in round shapes on a black background. White text with purple highlights reads, βThe Sick Times. Drawing the elephant: Nine artists illustrating Long COVID and the ongoing pandemic. By Grae Salisbury."
Illustrators who bravely explore the ongoing pandemic in their work break down stereotypes, contextualize differing experiences, build community, and raise awareness. These artists create spaces where audiences can reflect and engage with stories that can broaden our understanding of ourselves and the world. In this way, art is not only a community-building tool, but also functions as a βmirrorβ: for those who struggle to look directly at the elephant in the room, they can engage with its reflection. β Grae Salisbury
"These artists have helped me remember that my life is valuable and worth protecting."
Grae Salisbury, an artist with #LongCOVID, rounded up some of their favorite illustrators who bravely explore the ongoing pandemic in their work. bit.ly/4jQ2gY9
21.01.2026 17:23 β π 70 π 33 π¬ 1 π 3
If I were paid to do this job, I'd be in the media and on social media every day.
I'd say:
1)get vaccinated for covid and the flu.
2) wear a respirator (N95) mask in crowded indoor spaces like public transit.
3) keep your holiday get-togethers safe by keeping things well ventilated and filtered.
27.12.2025 18:24 β π 345 π 106 π¬ 12 π 0
I've been asked by 3 media outlets in the last week to do interviews on the influenza season.
I still haven't seen our new CMOH, appointed Dec 18th, (or old one, for that matter. Or any public health official) in the media on this topic.
For the record, they are acutally paid, to do this.
1/2
27.12.2025 18:24 β π 375 π 147 π¬ 15 π 6
A paramedic transports an older man to the emergency department at a hospital in Toronto on Wednesday, April 22, 2020.
As H3N2 sweeps across Canada, what to know about flu's heart attack risk https://globalnews.ca/news/11589225/flu-risk-heart-attack/
π πΌπΏπ² π»π²ππ β’ CanadaHealthwatch.ca π
23.12.2025 20:15 β π 27 π 19 π¬ 1 π 4
3 tables showing total expected hospitalizations since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%), total expected ICU admissions since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%), and total expected deaths since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%)
Tables available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index
Page 19 (Reported deaths, ICU, hospitalizations by age)
Graph showing Estimated new daily infections resulting in daily life activity-limiting symptoms lasting >3 months, by province, since Dec 2021. (5 week rolling averages)
Graph available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index
Page 13 (Long COVID)
Infections in Canada this week are expected to result in 3,800 hospitalizations, 770 deaths (people who die at least 1 year earlier than they would without COVID) and 20,000 new long COVID cases serious enough to limit daily life activities.
22.12.2025 22:46 β π 35 π 16 π¬ 1 π 1
Graph showing estimated new daily infections for Canada, the provinces, and territories (5 week rolling averages)
Graph available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index
Page 11 (Infections)
WHAT'S NEW THIS WEEK?
About 1 in 55 people in Canada is currently infected (521,000-683,000 infections/week).
The most recent estimate for the United States (Dec 15) is 1 in 63 infected (www.pmc19.com/data/index.php).
22.12.2025 22:46 β π 15 π 5 π¬ 1 π 0
This image shows gauges with the Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:
Canada: HIGH - 10.0
Alberta: VERY HIGH - 12.4
British Columbia: HIGH - 7.6
Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 10.3
New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 10.5
Newfoundland & Labrador: HIGH - 9.1
North: VERY HIGH - 10.3
Nova Scotia: HIGH - 9.9
Ontario: HIGH - 9.2
Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 6.6
Quebec: VERY HIGH - 10.4
Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 14.0
A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
Canadian COVID Forecast: Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
22.12.2025 22:18 β π 234 π 138 π¬ 14 π 13
This is horrible. I hope everyone pulls through.
21.12.2025 18:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Plague Poems β The Three-Hundred-and-First Week
If they respond (and they will respond) to the mask you wear and the precautions you take by telling you that at this point nobody cares about the pandemic anymore, remember: the fact that they feeβ¦
The start of Covidβs 7th year
is the perfect time to revisit
the pandemic hobbies
you have abandoned:
you can get back to baking
and puzzles, reading
and calling friends;
and you can even get back
into doing what you can
to protect other people.
*
301
librarianshipwreck.wordpress.com/2025/12/19/p...
19.12.2025 21:04 β π 67 π 18 π¬ 0 π 0
The Injunction Against Bill 26 Has Been Lifted: Affirming care ban to come into effect. Despite our best efforts, today the Government of Alberta was able to bring an end to the injunction against Bill 26 on the basis of its use of the notwithstanding clause. This is a cruel and dangerous move by a government that will harm vulnerable young people. Egale Canada and Skipping Stone will not stop fighting. Together, with lawyers from McCarthy TΓ©trault LLP, we will be seeking a new injunction based on constitutional arguments not subject to the notwithstanding clause. To the trans youth and families in this province, know that while the Government has violently taken away your rights, they can never legislate away your transness, your beautiful existence or how deserving you are of all the beauty and happiness this world has to offer.
Heartbreakingly, despite our best efforts, today the Government of Alberta was able to bring an end to the injunction against Bill 26 on the basis of its use of the notwithstanding clause.
This is a cruel and dangerous move by a government that will harm vulnerable young people.
19.12.2025 00:23 β π 66 π 39 π¬ 4 π 2
The pandemic is not over! We are not βpost-COVIDβ. Outbreaks in hospitals, acute care, schools are still happening.
19.12.2025 03:17 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Not a single acknowledgment that getting infected (possibly repeatedly) with a novel virus at a very young age can have serious consequences to child development.
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
***itβs the ongoing, unmitigated pandemic!***
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
βThe increase in vulnerabilities in core areas of development is likely due in large part to broad social changes since the pandemic, including rising rates of poverty and increasing amounts of time kids spend on screens, Dr. Guhn said.β
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Hmmmm⦠what happened in 2020?
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
βin areas of development that include communication skills and general knowledge, social competence, emotional maturity, language and cognitive development, and physical health and wellbeing, a higher percentage of children are vulnerable compared to the cohort surveyed between 2017 and 2020.β
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
βThe findings are based on data collected from teacher surveys regarding 33,625 children in their kindergarten year between 2021 and 2025.β
09.12.2025 03:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Thank you for having principles.
27.11.2025 23:08 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Add your COVID advocacy artwork to the WHN bulletin board!
26.11.2025 03:28 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Clearing the PR pollution that clouds climate science.
Graphic recording, graphic medicine & comics journalism in Calgary/Moh'kinsstis, Canada. And I write a weekly newsletter full of comics from my old drawing book. Subscribe for free! samhester.substack.com
Author of Straphanger, Shanghai Grand, Devilβs Picnic | Words NYT NatGeo Smithsonian WSJ | Talks: http://taras-grescoe.com/contact
https://www.highspeed.blog
https://linktr.ee/tarasgrescoe
IG: https://www.instagram.com/i.ride.trains/
Author of a growing pile of books (Solidarity; The Age of Insecurity; Remake the World; Democracy May Not Exist, but We'll Miss it When It's Gone; The People's Platform), maker of documentaries, schemer with the Debt Collective, editing at Hammer & Hope.
I write about building a fairer and more inclusive society and innovation's role in doing that on the Deep Dives newsletter: https://orbitpolicy.substack.com/. Founder & Principal, Orbit Policy. Toronto via the UK.
Career coach, writer, introvert, HSP, health advocate, mom warrior. Find your voice & your purpose. I post about health, well-being, work, life, leadership, cats, health (deliberately repeated), and politics, too. Some see a weed; I see a wish.
29/MΓ©tis/Queer
Calgary author. BA English (Hons.)
Founder of BerryHouse.ca & WriteClub.ca
Author of PRAIRIE BOYSPIRIT
I write about poetry, Indigenous lit, craft, tech criticism, & intersectionality
I follow back!
π brennan.day | π blog.brennanbrown.ca
Local AB Web Series on AB Politics. Alleged Media Magnate. Locally crowd funded. content available everywhere you listen to podcasts & YouTube!
Tips to info@thebreakdownab.ca!
Support at https://patreon.com/thebreakdownab
NDP leadership candidate| MP/DΓ©putΓ©e Edmonton Strathcona
Change starts with us | Γ nous le changement π
https://www.heathermcpherson.ca/link_in_bio
Dad. Movement builder. NDP leadership candidate fighting for the 99%. / Père. Organisateur. Candidat à la chefferie NPD pour les 99%.
https://linktr.ee/avi.lewis
MSc. Popβn & Public Health. Black. Immigrant. Chaotic bi. She/her. Public health & liberation. Opinions mine.
I make the Public Health is Dead podcast ππ€
πStolen MST land (Vancouver)
πΈοΈ publichealthisdead.com
Support the show: http://ko-fi.com/daniella3774
Professor, Health Promotion, views are my own. Evidence-informed decision-making is important. Integrity matters. N95 wearer. Dog mom. (She/her) π¨π¦
Father, science enthusiasts, reason over hype, human rights, one planet. He/Him. Climate RaDiCaL that wants a livable future for my children. Leave it in the ground. CA.
Candidate for Calgary City Council, Ward 7
Music fan. UK science teacher in an FFP3 mask.
The right mask makes it easy to sing, perform, teach, or speak in public.
#N95 #FFP2 #FFP3 #YallMasking
He/him
Red River MΓ©tis β Scotch-breed β RCAF Veteran β Feral theologian β aerospace/electrical β P.Eng. β he/him β lawful chaotic β Disabled β rrmc rmc sfu uec β nd
Professor of Biology & Institute for Health Computing, U of Maryland; explores how viruses impact human & environmental health;
'Asymptomatic' (JHU Press - https://bit.ly/asymptomatic_book)
&
'Science Matters' (https://substack.com/@joshuasweitz)
Respiratory and Sleep Medicine
Neurobiology and Long CΓΆvid
WHN Long Covid Working Group Vice Chair
Accelerating Social & Gender Justice for 2SLGBTQIA+ People. Addressing rising anti-2SLGBTQIA+ hate and challenging government inaction on π³οΈβπ issues. #CdnPoli. MomentumCanada.net