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Marius Sältzer

@msaeltzer.bsky.social

Assistant Prof Digital Social Science Uni Oldenburg

2,198 Followers  |  1,238 Following  |  202 Posts  |  Joined: 12.09.2023  |  1.8266

Latest posts by msaeltzer.bsky.social on Bluesky


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Reforming Primary Elections The American system of partisan primary elections for the House of Representatives and the Senate is often blamed for contributing to political polarization and conflict in Congress. These concerns ha...

I’m excited to share a new book, Reforming Primary Elections: Voters, Campaigns, and the Future of Congressional Politics, exploring how reforms could improve primaries. In our chapter, @msaeltzer.bsky.social & I analyze candidates in primaries. Free download: www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...

16.02.2026 11:05 — 👍 8    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Solche Hasskommentare gegen Frauen gibt es tausendfach im Netz. Häufig ist es unmöglich, die Menschen dahinter zu ermitteln. In einem Fall, den ich für die @taz.de recherchiert habe, sprechen aber zahlreiche Hinweise dafür, dass dahinter ein hochrangiger Jurist aus Niedersachsen stecken könnte: (1)

16.01.2026 11:47 — 👍 457    🔁 133    💬 12    📌 7

Flossenschlag :D

17.01.2026 12:48 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Same. Ich fand drachen schon bei GoT den nervigsten Faktor 😁 finnspan hab ich auch nicht da es eher für Anfänger sein soll.

17.01.2026 12:21 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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a little girl is asking why not both while standing in a kitchen . ALT: a little girl is asking why not both while standing in a kitchen .

Wingspan bekommt bald eine neue Erweiterung.

17.01.2026 12:11 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Cover page of the article. "Affective States: Cultural and Affective Polarization in a Multilevel-Multiparty System" by Dylan Paltra, Marius Sältzer and Christian Stecker. "Affective Polarization—the growing mutual dislike among partisan groups—has been identified as a major concern in democracies. Although both economic and cultural ideological divides contribute to ideological polarization, their affective consequences can differ. This paper argues that cultural polarization becomes especially consequential when mobilized by far-right parties. Using data from 116 elections in Germany’s 16 states (1990-2023), we combine more than 550 state-level manifestos with more than 150,000 survey responses to examine how party polarization translates into voter affect. Our analyses show that both economic and cultural polarization increase affective divides, but cultural disagreements fuel hostility only in the presence of the Alternative for Germany (AfD). Acting as a cultural entrepreneur, the AfD amplifies the emotional impact of cultural divisions such as immigration, employing affective rhetoric and provoking strong rejection from other parties and voters. These findings highlight the catalytic role of far-right parties in transforming ideological competition into affective polarization."

Cover page of the article. "Affective States: Cultural and Affective Polarization in a Multilevel-Multiparty System" by Dylan Paltra, Marius Sältzer and Christian Stecker. "Affective Polarization—the growing mutual dislike among partisan groups—has been identified as a major concern in democracies. Although both economic and cultural ideological divides contribute to ideological polarization, their affective consequences can differ. This paper argues that cultural polarization becomes especially consequential when mobilized by far-right parties. Using data from 116 elections in Germany’s 16 states (1990-2023), we combine more than 550 state-level manifestos with more than 150,000 survey responses to examine how party polarization translates into voter affect. Our analyses show that both economic and cultural polarization increase affective divides, but cultural disagreements fuel hostility only in the presence of the Alternative for Germany (AfD). Acting as a cultural entrepreneur, the AfD amplifies the emotional impact of cultural divisions such as immigration, employing affective rhetoric and provoking strong rejection from other parties and voters. These findings highlight the catalytic role of far-right parties in transforming ideological competition into affective polarization."

🚨Publication Alert!
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵

01.12.2025 12:07 — 👍 83    🔁 19    💬 7    📌 0
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A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.

Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.

osf.io/rn6h3/files/...

29.11.2025 15:13 — 👍 107    🔁 38    💬 1    📌 5

But explaining regression takes longer every year?

28.11.2025 16:55 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

22.11.2025 09:36 — 👍 318    🔁 117    💬 4    📌 12

Well you are three dimensional already so you habe a head start in terms of terribleness

27.10.2025 21:03 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

With a paper oubliette....

24.10.2025 12:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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My son found this in the forest and brought it home and the Star Trek nerd in me wants to kill it before things get out of hand

23.10.2025 18:09 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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We are hiring! We are looking for two post-docs in our interdisciplinary research group “SCEPTIC” at the University of Oldenburg, 4+years, on the dynamics and drivers of (dis)trust in digital environments, more info below 👇

20.10.2025 16:03 — 👍 9    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 1

feel free to contact me or @guzoch.bsky.social or @annanosthoff.bsky.social about details.

17.10.2025 09:15 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Postdoctoral Researcher // University of Oldenburg

The other position focuses on Survey Research / Experiments, applying quantitative methods, causal inference, and experimental designs to investigate trust and inequality in digital societies.
uol.de/en/job/postd...

17.10.2025 09:15 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Postdoctoral Researcher // University of Oldenburg

One position focuses on Computational Text Analysis / LLMs, using natural language processing and large language models to study digital (dis)information and trust
uol.de/en/job/postd...

17.10.2025 09:15 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

There is a lot of stuff going on in Oldenburg, and we look for people who want to explore new roads as part of a young, interdisciplinary team. If you are interested in working with NLP methods across disciplines or are interested in the societal consequences of lost trust, apply!

17.10.2025 09:15 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Job Alert! We are hiring two post-docs (full time, 4+ years) in our project SCEPTIC - Social, Computational and Ethical Premises of Trust and Informational Cohesion with @annanosthoff.bsky.social @guzoch.bsky.social and Prof. Andreas Peters (uol.de/informatik/s...)

17.10.2025 09:15 — 👍 28    🔁 32    💬 3    📌 2

Super happy to get Dylan to Oldenburg! After some big chances we are building a great pol sci department with an applied NLP focus here. Look out for further job ads soon!

24.09.2025 08:45 — 👍 21    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
A large tower, the meaning building of the Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg is seen behind trees.

A large tower, the meaning building of the Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg is seen behind trees.

Some personal news! 📰

I am very excited to share that I have started a new PhD position with the fantastic @msaeltzer.bsky.social at the University of Oldenburg. I will be working alongside the amazing @alonadolinsky.com and @klingelt.bsky.social in their new CONSTRUCT project. 🧵

24.09.2025 08:39 — 👍 44    🔁 1    💬 7    📌 1

Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Great news for everyone involved 🫡

22.09.2025 14:49 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I'm never gonna hear the end this, now. 😆 So happy for you!

04.09.2025 12:46 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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I feel overwhelmed and incredibly honoured to announce that I have been awarded an @erc.europa.eu Starting Grant for my project “VisibleQueers”, fully titled as “Making the Queers Visible: Partisanship and Support among Sexual and Gender Minorities in Eastern and Western Europe”.
#ERCStG

04.09.2025 10:01 — 👍 242    🔁 30    💬 45    📌 1
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New job ad: Assistant Professor of Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College apply.interfolio.com/172357

Please share with your networks. I am the search chair and happy to answer questions!

21.08.2025 18:50 — 👍 178    🔁 168    💬 2    📌 8
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This may look like unity but political leaders only arrange themselves in a sine wave when they are in heavy distress.

18.08.2025 19:32 — 👍 13    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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📢 New Publication Alert!
Our (@msaeltzer.bsky.social)
latest article, "Issue congruence between candidates' Twitter communication and constituencies in an MMES: Migration as an exemplary case", has just been published in Parliamentary Affairs.
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...

13.08.2025 17:57 — 👍 23    🔁 11    💬 1    📌 0

I am looking for a PhD student in Comparative Politics @powimz.bsky.social. My research focuses on political (in-)equality, representation, and responsiveness. I would be grateful if you could help to spread the word.
stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de#/jgu/job/49637

07.08.2025 08:11 — 👍 92    🔁 112    💬 0    📌 5
08.08.2025 18:14 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Beyond rationality. Toward a more comprehensive understanding of the use of negative campaigning | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core Beyond rationality. Toward a more comprehensive understanding of the use of negative campaigning - Volume 17 Issue 3

☀️ Vol 17.3

Arguing that current views on #NegativeCampaigning are too narrow, these authors (🧵⬇️) outline a complete model building on personality traits, values, social norms and attitudes toward #NegativeCampaigning across 12 elections 🇩🇪

buff.ly/EHKUM1w 📖 #OA #PoliSky

06.08.2025 07:14 — 👍 12    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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a man in an apron is cooking in a kitchen with a sign on the wall that says no smoking ALT: a man in an apron is cooking in a kitchen with a sign on the wall that says no smoking

Hear me out: The Bear, but for a Post doc who founds an open access journal

27.07.2025 14:08 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

@msaeltzer is following 20 prominent accounts